Poll: If Election Were Held Today, Trump Would Beat Biden By A Lot

The Federalist ^ | 7/13/2020 | Elizabeth Vaughn

[Shady]

I think a lot of them are...

[LS]

I don’t do polls. Quit in 2016.

But GOP has SIGNIFICANT voter registration gains vs Ds since 2016: 200,000 in NC; nearly 200,000 in FL; 13,000 in NV; 10,000 in NM; and after falling behind in 2018, Rs re-took the lead in IA; also about +8,000 in NH.

There is also evidence today from a WI paper that Rs outregistered Ds in both Dane and Milwaukee Counties.

This is the real news. Not polls.

[CurlyDave]

I would love to see the internal polling, which is usually considered to be much more accurate than the public polls.

[Salvey]

I spoke with an 88 year old friend yesterday. She said that she thinks that Trump is a jerk and a buffoon, in response to which I said, “Yeah, but I believe you’re gonna vote for him.” Her response was, “You betcha. Hubby and I love his policies and will definitely vote for Trump.”

[clearcarbon]

The poll results have to be fabricated to make the election appear to be close so that demRATs can contest the election results if they lose.

[tflabo]

One silent group could be the Asians. Usually the Dems get their votes but in this caustic, turbulent environment they could potentially swing the other way in quiet fashion.

[joma89]

Yet biden is up by 15 points nationally? We are constantly being manipulated by leftist propaganda. Do not believe what is published. Vote for President Trump in November!

JoMa

[SunkenCiv]

My guess is, the repeal of Prop 209 in Cali, added to the shutdown and other corruptions, are going to cause the DNC to shift much needed resources at the worst possible time, and the California Asian vote shift will be part of that.

[Fraxinus]

She said that she thinks that Trump is a jerk and a buffoon, in response to which I said, “Yeah, but I believe you’re gonna vote for him.”

Trump pick fights that I sometimes think are unwise, but seriously, Biden? Biden has not been right about any foreign policy in his entire career, and that was before he was showing obvious signs of senility.

[TECTopcat]

agree-and we can’t sit back and just say-oh he will pull out miracle again, polls are wrong-the trend has not been good for us lately, good news is elections are not held in July

we need to work and pray

[richardtavor]

Remember folks, most polls don’the contact cell phones because it costs money. How many folks even use their land lines anymore? Polls are useless and advertising tools, which are great if you are selling a car,but lousy if you are electing a President.

[reformedliberal]

...evidence today from a WI paper that Rs outregistered Ds in both Dane and Milwaukee Counties.
_______________________________________________________

Is there a link for this?

[Dave W]

Well, of course. I don't think that is new news. Urban centers often dictate the vote of entire states including Illinois because that is where the voters live.

People are constantly being reminded how red the country is...it really isn't all that red. Hillary won only 400 counties and Trump won the rest - about 2,800 counties. Many of those red counties have hardly anyone living in them - they are rural and sparsely populated. It's great to see all that red but the reality is, the urban and populated counties are generally very very liberal. Many voting 80% for the dem, so it is tough to win the popular vote.

[Dave W]

DC already gets 3 electoral votes - since 1960 per constitutional amendment when they were first given the right to vote in presidential elections.

[Dave W]

I think we know how the internal polling is going because Trump replacing Parscale as campaign manager. I highly doubt he would change leaders if he was winning in his own internal polls. I think July has been tough for Trump. I did hear someone on the radio who is privy to internal polling in Texas from last week. Trump up by 2 and the congressional generic ballot has republicans up only by 1 in Texas. He is very nervous (I forget his name).

That is probably why Biden announced a few days ago that he is going to buy ads in Texas. Follow the ads since they should indicate how a candidate is doing in internal polling.

[Dave W]

It's been firmly established that polls incorporate cell phones in their polling for a number of years now. They replicate the percent of cell versus landlines. Also, it does not cost anymore money to call a cell than a landline.

Most polls call numbers that are randomly generated anyway, so any phone in America has an equal chance of being called, whether cell or landline.

[daler]

I’m beginning to believe the media conducting and pushing these polls showing an almost unbelievably huge margin for Biden is all part of a strategy (once Trump wins) to again claim the Russians, voter fraud or some other factor was “obviously” in play.

So that, like his first term, the left can try to delegitimize the next four years of the Trump presidency.

Not a lot else makes much sense re these laughable polls.

[IrishBrigade]

‘...exactly. If a poll says Trump is winning, Freepers get excited. If one says he’s losing, Freepers go with meaningless.’

everybody does that; human nature...but what is true that polls this far out are utterly meaningless...

[riverdawg]

I propose that DC be given back to Maryland, so that its Representative in the House would have full voting privileges. That would leave the Senate unchanged, however.

[xrmusn]

but what is true that polls this far out are utterly meaningless...
= = = = = = = = = = = = = =
Almost right...UTTERLY MEANINGLESS

‘They’ keep ‘cooking the books’ and one should need NO further proof than 2016 when HRC ‘passed out’ from drinking all that ‘victory champagne’ she was 20 points ahead in the poll.

Reminiscent of a Picture of Harry Truman holding up a NEWSPAPER headline:

“Dewey Defeats Truman”