My Prediction For The 2022 Election

The Reason For My faith ^ | 10/18/22 | Chuck Ness

[ConservativeInPA]

Thanks. Excellent. Not really something I think about, but when seeing those predicted gains it jumped into my head. I’ll have to do some reading and edjumacate myself now.

[Jeff Chandler]

[pfflier]

The key is independents. The electorate is split roughly 33% Republican, 33% democrat and 33% Independents. The party faithful will vote for their own even if they have to hold their noses doing it.

The independents determine the outcome of most (honest) elections. The polls I am seeing show independents going for Republicans.

[Disambiguator]

Unless fraud is greatly attenuated, it won’t matter. I’ve heard that Trump actually won California in ‘20.

[OneVike]

Would not shock me but then again we know Gavin Newsom did not win the recall election they stole that one also

[cotton1706]

These are absolutely run the table figures/results.

But I have 56 Republican senators on my list as well.

Quite possible given the last midterms under Democrat presidents.

Republicans gained 9 seats in 2014.

[LongWayHome]

GOP will take congress...235-240 seats at the very best.

As for the senate...51 seats at best.

[Roman_War_Criminal]

Unless Nuclear War hits and Bidet calls for Martial Law and Emergency Powers - thus halting the elections.

Never underestimate these evils sons of satan.

[LachlanMinnesota]

And, of course, the Dominion Voting machines will have their vote as well...

[38special]

The rats are gonna steal the same states they stole in ‘20

[PermaRag]

Those using 1994, 2010 or 2014 (all glorious midterms for the GOP) as models — especially TURNOUT models — for 2022, are living foolishly in the too-distant past.

The massively increased early voting, drop boxes, mail-in voting, etc. which exists today makes those good old days totally irrelevant. And then there’s the massively increased fraud which goes with all that, which hasn’t been addressed nearly enough in critical places (but, but muh 2021 elections in Virginia!!!).

The correct midterm turnout model for 2022 is 2018, and not 1994, 2010 or 2014. Increased turnout results in an increased number of uninformed, ignorant, easily emotionally manipulated idiots casting ballots — and that obviously heavily favors Democrats just like it did in 2018 and 2020 no matter how much we talk about “broken glass Republicans”, “enthusiasm gaps” favoring Republicans (like the experts assured us would occur in 2020, then it didn’t happen).

But hey, if we win ALL the close ones....!

Governor:

R->D flips: Maryland and Massachusetts for sure. Oklahoma of all places is looking much worse than expected. Arizona would be great for Kari Lake hold but that outcome is far from certain. Katie’s people count the votes.

D->R flips: Oregon maybe, Wisconsin and Nevada possibly, there’s supposedly a good chance in Kansas. Pipe dream flips (as in “put down the crack pipe”): Minnesota, Michigan, Maine, New Mexico, Colorado, New York, Pennsylvania. It would take a 1994-style landslide for much, if any, of that to happen.

Senator:

Maybe we hold PA, but don’t bet the farm on it. Best (only real) pickup chances: Georgia and Nevada. Keep dreaming: Arizona, Colorado, Washington, New Hampshire. Tossups in North Carolina, Wisconsin. If things go REALLY bad then one or more of Iowa, Ohio and Utah are in play. Bonus: if Tshibaka can beat Murkowski in Alaska that’s as good as a pickup from a Democrat.

State Houses: Democrat gerrymanders could easily give the Rats full control in Minnesota and Michigan. PA House is a tossup at best in 2022 with the GOP poised to lose about a dozen seats and therefore lose control. Republicans will make pickups in seats in many state legislatures which they already control. What state Houses or Senates are realistically likely to flip the right way? Any?

[C210N]

Unless Nuclear War hits and Bidet calls for Martial Law and Emergency Powers - thus halting the elections.

I'm with you, sort of.

I'll go with WWIII, and thus 'preventing' any 'Rat blowout.

Too much is ramping up in Ukraine, Taiwan, with BRICS+, inflation/economy, supply chain, and on and on.

[Disambiguator]

I think they’ve been stealing California for decades.

[nwrep]

My predictions:

Gov: R+1 to 29-21 US Senate: R 0, remains 50-50, Dems keep control US House: R + 20 to 233-205

[TornadoAlley3]

https://youtu.be/dBURLdhmmZ8

It will be a wipeout. 254 house seats and 54 senate seats.

[nwrep]

Thank you! :-)

[TheConservativeTejano]

I hope and pray you are right....

Me too!!!

[convoter2016]

Let’s take the advice of the main stream media. They say that at most there are four Senate seats at play: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Nevada. Ohio will prove not to be that close since Trump beat Biden by 8 points in 2020. Arizona could be the fifth close senate race. So these five Senate seats are currently held by 2 Republicans and 3 Democrats. At most the Republicans will gain 3 seats to have a 53-47 majority. I think you are being too optimistic.

[George from New England]

“Unless Nuclear War hits and Bidet calls for Martial Law and Emergency Powers - thus halting the elections.

Never underestimate these evils sons of satan.”

I’ve been saying this too.

[atc23]

My prediction is that this is the year “Hispanics” fall out of favor with the democrats. They’ll be labeled “Christian Nationalists” “Adjacent White Supremacists” and “Brown White Supremacists” when the demographics are finished.