Do you think NY illegally charged then convicted Trump for an expired misdemeanor charge which morphed into a felony for another unnamed and uncharged crime just to have him go on probation ?
It is a possibility.
It really depends on what the end game is for the Democrats (who are orchestrating all this).
If all they want is to be able to label Trump as a “Convicted Felon” then yes, they will do what damage they can but no jail time.
However, if their end game is to provoke his supporters into violence then yes they will (try to) jail him.
The people behind all this may be insane, but are they also stupid? They have to see everything they have tried has failed to separate the man from his supporters.
Since I am not a mind reader I have to say it could go either way.
There is a old saying, beware of what you wish for, you might get it. The Democrats have gotten their wish but what will be the unintended consequences?