Free Republic

People have simply got to stop with the quoting of names for Vice President.

If a person has had a political career, they are disqualified. They Are Swamp.

He’ll need someone largely unheard of, and don’t freak about that not bringing Electoral Votes from this state or that state. The GOP is 27% of the electorate. Independents dominate at 45+%. No particular GOP name was going to add any votes anyway. Only an Independent might.

If you have heard of someone, they are disqualified as Swamp.

THERE IS NO WE.

There is nothing noble about “governance”. These are self declared elites that are promoted by other self declared elites.

The correct vote is Democrat vs Hogan. He’s Swamp Filth.

Get it through your head. There is no nobility or moral high ground to supporting the GOP. Governance is going to fail. That failure should be applauded, not fought.

There is no we.

Replacement of GOP and Dem seats with Independents is inevitable. The issue of Garvey is irrelevant since the Dem will have to be prosecuted.

In pretty much all elections, 10% of GOP voters vote Democrat, and 10% of Dem voters vote GOP. There is nothing new in this.

The question asked matters.

If a voter was 90% likely to vote Trump, and now 10% of them are less likely, perhaps that means they are now 89% sure. That means they still vote Trump.

10% is about right in this. But these media people are living in the past. The two “major parties” no longer are. Polling makes clear both are 27% of the electorate. They are fringe parties.

Independents are 45%+ of the electorate.

This poll sampled 2% of the electorate — 10% of 27%.

Independents inevitably will have their own caucus.

You simply can’t be 47% of the electorate and still associate yourself with a fringe party for long.

This is a bit dangerous.

The best Trump message is populism, rejection of the elites of the Swamp. All of them. Too many articles of meetings with elites is not a good thing.

Remember . . . the major parties are now fringe. 27% each. 47% Independents decide everything and they reject the Swamp.

It’s why Trump support down ticket should not be presumed. We should start seeing more Independents into Congress. The Senate currently has 3.

A measure of more likely to vote for Trump and less likely to vote for Trump gets into the world of how hard a button gets pressed.

Those people may have already made up their minds. Now they are more sure or less sure, but it doesn’t change which chad gets punched, as it were.

Nothing can be done.

It’s the most difficult conclusion, but it is real.

GDP is pretty much entirely dependent on the government spending more money than tax revenue — and nothing can be done about that other than population reduction.

The way to understand what GOP candidates are the most worthless are those who declare themselves to be fiscal conservatives and who vote for, and then celebrate, some measure that saves $7 billion. They get to point at that and declare themselves fiscal conservatives, when what they really are is Swamp filth.

It is a substance created from nothingness by central banks effortlessly and entirely by whimsy. They will enshroud the process with talk of yield curves and reserve ratios, but the truth is Bernanke exposed reality for all to see, and that’s forever.

Money is a substance created from nothing by decree. It doesn’t HAVE to make any sense. There are no economic laws. Nothing associated with money has to have any logical meaning. Society uses it to ease transfer of food from farm to mouth. That’s more or less it.

So what is the answer? Total upheaval. Total drainage of the Swamp. Destruction of nearly everything.

No politician can run on that policy.

Oh and buying precious metals is failure. It is failure to accept all of the above. You measure things in dollars, you are failing to understand it came from nothingness.

What has value? Calories. Buy farmland, just to get rid of the dollars.

Probably best I not waste time on explaining the difficulty of jamming or spoofing GPS.

Learn what decibel loss can be expected if a signal source is below the hemispheric receive pattern.

Learn about spread spectrum.

Learn about Kalman filter weighting in a navigation solution with multiple sensors.

Learn about C/A, P, and Y code, and why it largely won’t matter since the Russians have their Glonass, the Chinese their own Beisomething, the EU its own, India, Japan . . . all have navigation satellite constellations.

In a general sense, if artillery guidance is failing, it is not GPS obfuscation that is doing it. It is standard practice for KFs to unweight GPS in a nav solution.

The Russians have another technology doing this. Far superior to ours, as usual.

Reminder.

There is no such thing anymore as an October surprise.

Early voting dominates. Any surprise will have to be summer.

There is a much more dangerous scenario in play here.

The Russians may not be jamming GPS (this is a VERY hard thing to do, the signal is coming from above and the receive antenna is generally designed to be hemispheric — meaning excludes signals not from upwards).

The more dangerous scenario is they have figured out how to localize EMP and disrupt circuitry. If they have, the sooner people just surrender the better, because there will be no defeating that.

Putting aside spectacle and just examining credible scenarios, the most obvious one would be the same imaginary ISIS K group provided with Russian missiles with big payloads on a ship off the France Atlantic coast.

Fire and hit some military target near an Olympic venue, kill 100s and have some website contact the media and take ISIS K credit.

And that would be that for hitting Russian targets.

Nothing can be believed that was not factual pre 2022.

For example, “90% of microelectronics imports are from China”. Note the phrasing. 90% of imports. Not 90% of all microelectronics.

Russia has foundries that produce 28 nm chips en masse, and even more foundries that produce 45 nm chips en masse.

The splashed announcements of sub 10 nm chips out of TMSC via ATML are for the very highest end smartphones and graphics engines.

The 28 and 45 nm technology is for the bulk of society, for cars, WiFi, GPS (Glonass), bluetooth, nearly all appliances.

So when an article says 90% of imports are from China, that doesn’t mean 90% of semiconductors in use in Russia are from China. All the pre 2022 evidence you might search for is very clear that self sufficiency exists there.

The following video is a channel that existed on Youtube pre 2022. He’s Australian. Not a propaganda conduit, and make no mistake here, such things do exist. That’s why it’s best to look for the oldest video a channel has and if it is pre 2022.

This is an old car show, outside Moscow. Filmed a year ago. So May 2023. Vast majority of those cars have chips in them.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bphqUsin2Qc

(btw notice all the military age men wandering around. The claims that they all fled Russia clearly wrong)

Numbers.

The article celebrates recovery of 1200 tons of lithium per year.

Global consumption 300,000 metric tonnes per year.

This is small potatoes.

The problem with the story is Trump’s lead extends to likely voters in the polling. One of the basic definitions of “likely voter” is one who voted in recent elections.

So it is not clear how they reach their conclusion. Yes, the young did not vote in the last election. They were not old enough, but Trump’s polling results are not young dependent.

I suspect this is article is about black men, who maybe did not vote last time, but their numbers are not big enough to define the current Trump lead.

I just did a search for ceasefire Ukraine.

There is a Reuters report of such a thing, quoting unnamed Russian sources. There are no clips of Putin saying this.

Nothing can be believed unless there are direct quotes.

The writer is a Los Angeles lawyer. Automatically suspect.

And near the beginning he gets a factual matter wrong . . . that the time frame for Democrat panic is October.

Wrong. Early voting dominates now. It will be weeks before October that panic would set in.

Rather too often there is talk of jamming and corrupting coordinates and things like that.

Facts:

1) GPS is a spread spectrum signal. A navigation solution requires lock-on to 4 spacecraft orbiting about 10,000 miles up. The signal arrives from above. If you want to jam it, your transmitter needs to be above, and the jamming source, to spread its bandwidth over the wide spectrum of the signal, has to deliver big kilowatts of power at the relevant 1GHz+ frequency. It’s not easy.

2) GPS has an encrypted mode. It transmits a low precision signal, a high precision signal and an encrypted high precision signal. When the encryption is turned ON, it is on the satellites. Every receiver on the footprint of that satellite (which would include Africa and the Mediterranean/Europe) would be denied precision unless they have the decryption key. Commercial aircraft and ships don’t have it. It’s for military use.

3) Russia has its own constellation of satellites that generate its own high precision navigation solution. (China has one, and the EU as well, and Japan and India) Turning on encryption, originally installed to deny enemies use of the precision signal, doesn’t deny Russia anything, since they aren’t using GPS.

4) These stories of jamming are likely not correct. Now, jamming probably does destroy drone activity. Drones have signals in 2 directions, the video from the drone, and the piloting commands to the drone. You need only jam one of those directions to render them largely useless. If you really want to talk about the Russian electronic warfare advantage, talk about how they are undoing Ukraine drone activity. If you can do that, you don’t spend a $10million intercept missile on a cheap drone.

5) If the Russians have found a way to destroy the electronic function of artillery, regardless of navigation issues, and achieved huge rendering of Ukraine artillery useless, then it’s time to surrender. And I mean everyone, not just Ukraine. That would be a localized, focused EMP. That is game over.

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Whether he will be able to navigate the perilous, weed- and snake-infested waters of The Swamp is another question. I have recommended he bypass Washington altogether, beginning with holding his inauguration elsewhere. I don’t think he will, though, and I think it is an open question whether he can triumph over the entrenched elite that actually governs the country.
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This is the key. The rejection of elitism and entrenched power. Not abortion. Not guns. Not taxes. Not spending. Not foreign affairs. Not race politics.

The key is the Swamp. And the border, which largely is a problem caused by the Swamp.

The world of politics is filled with a class of people who declare themselves elite, usually by virtue of a meaningless undergraduate degree and even more meaningless graduate degree in some completely undemanding discipline like sociology or political science or history.

It’s never engineering. Or physics. Or geology. Or math. Always these soft pseudo sciences that generate an academic credential that the Swamp has incrementally declared necessary to be hired into government.

Somehow, a billionaire has become the leader of populism. The chief opponent of the Swamp.

No. The only opponent of the Swamp.

The most credible scenario would be “ISIS-K” getting funded and provided weapons to launch on US population centers from Mexico or some Caribbean island.

Then you can have some brand new website suddenly calling themselves the voice of ISIS-K take credit for it.

The weapon fragments will be clearly Russian, but of course the fragments now hitting Russian targets are clearly American.