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Is A Brokered Convention In The GOP's Future?
TalkingSides.com ^ | 01/20/12 | CaroleL

Posted on 01/20/2012 10:42:47 AM PST by CaroleL

The GOP primary process isn't going according to the usual script. Longtime frontrunner Mitt Romney is stumbling at just the wrong time and no longer looks like the presumptive nominee, Newt Gingrich is surging again but after so many ups and downs, his prospects seem as unstable as his temperament. Ron Paul keeps raising enough money to remain in the race and play a serious spoiler role in state after state. And Rick Santorum, buoyed by the recent news that he actually won in Iowa, has become the anti-Newt in the race to be the anti-Romney. Could these characters and their campaigns be just the opening scenes in what may be a summer blockbuster - a brokered Republican Convention?

(Excerpt) Read more at talkingsides.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: blogpimp; mittromney; newtgingrich; sarahpalin

1 posted on 01/20/2012 10:42:53 AM PST by CaroleL
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To: CaroleL

What ever it takes to get a Conservative as President.


2 posted on 01/20/2012 10:47:46 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: CaroleL

No, I expect Newt to arrive with over 50%.
Romney and Paul each under 25%.
Santorum will likely bag it after Florida.


3 posted on 01/20/2012 10:48:01 AM PST by G Larry ("I dream of a day when a man is judged by the content of his Character.")
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To: CaroleL
It would be weird to see Romney and Newt with 35% of the dels, Santorum with 20%, and "Roswell" Paul with 10% of the dels, and have the brokered convention...

Then, all bets are off
4 posted on 01/20/2012 10:48:36 AM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: CaroleL

No. I am a Santorum supporter who will support Newt if he s better positioned to beat Romney. Paul will not win a single state except maybe VA.

IF Newt stumbled or had a serious new scandal support would go to Santorum. If individual governors want to run as favorite sons to act as brokers at hw convention, they better act soon. I predict they won’t, lest they expose their own inability to control the votes.


5 posted on 01/20/2012 10:50:13 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (May Mitt Romney be the Paul Tsongas of 2012.)
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To: CaroleL

Breibart list of top 10 left off one of my favorites, Alan West.


6 posted on 01/20/2012 10:53:23 AM PST by Signalman
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To: CaroleL

We haven’t even had the third primary/caucus yet, and people are already talking about a brokered convention?

Calm down, people.


7 posted on 01/20/2012 10:54:11 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Parley Baer

Amen .... Amen


8 posted on 01/20/2012 10:54:32 AM PST by taxcontrol
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To: CaroleL

The writer must think it is 1960. It is impossible for a modern political convention to be brokered. Modern day political conventions are three day infomercials for the parties, nothing more.


9 posted on 01/20/2012 10:56:18 AM PST by Patrick1 (" Let's all pray Kim Kardashian's divorce won't have an impact on her craft.")
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To: CaroleL

Here is a more complete analysis of this possibility: http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/01/19/the-horserace-for-january-19-2012/


10 posted on 01/20/2012 10:59:31 AM PST by rob777
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To: Patrick1
It is impossible for a modern political convention to be brokered.

It's only impossible until a large enough segment of the party wants it to be brokered. The same conservatives who provided the shellacking in 2010 just may orchestrate a brokered convention in 2012.

11 posted on 01/20/2012 11:02:26 AM PST by CaroleL
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To: CaroleL
Frankly, considering the vitriol that has been directed at each of the remaining 4 candidates--not only by the other candidates, but more significantly perhaps by the committed supporters of the others, a brokered convention where the supporters of Romney, Gingrich, Paul & Santorum might all come to accept someone like Paul Ryan, or the Governor of Virginia, or Senator Rubio, would make a lot of sense.

One obvious reason: Such a result would take away the Obamanist's ability to run recordings of the present candidates lambasting one another. For another, it would offer a more youthful look. Finally, the three individuals, mentioned, are clearly more Conservative than Romney, Gingrich or Santorum.

William Flax [Truth Based Logic]

12 posted on 01/20/2012 11:11:16 AM PST by Ohioan
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To: Ohioan

Marco Rubio barely knows where the Senate washroom is yet. Didn’t we just elect a neophyte senator? How’s that working out? I’m not convinced that either Sen. Rubio or Gov. Jindal are natural born citizens, as their parents were not US citizens at the time of their birth.


13 posted on 01/20/2012 11:15:58 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (You can't invade the US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.~Admiral Yamamoto)
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To: CaroleL

Ditto to that!


14 posted on 01/20/2012 11:24:34 AM PST by SuzyQue (Don't believe everything you think.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I thought that Jindal’s parents were citizens?


15 posted on 01/20/2012 11:25:56 AM PST by SuzyQue (Don't believe everything you think.)
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16 posted on 01/20/2012 11:32:54 AM PST by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Rubio shows a clarity, when discussing how our economic system is supposed to work, that is among the best in Congress, regardless of seniority. By contrast, neither McCain or Bush was ever really able to articulate the same--not by a mile.

The evil of Obama is not his lack of seniority; he totally rejects the premises upon which Americans declared their independence; has total disdain for the premises that were incorporated in our Constitution. Had we had a conservative candidate in 2008--an articulate one, to boot--the campaign would have been radically different. We certainly had enough ammunition to expose what Obama was about. It was simply never employed.

For one example of a way to have gone after Obama, which may be too politically incorrect for some people, yet still effective: Race & Ethnic Politics--America. 2008.

Or here is one that focuses on the type of Community Organizer that he was: Community Organizer.

One who is squeamish about challenging the Leftist racial agenda--i.e. turning minorities against the mainstream--could tone down the above, slightly, and still put Obama on the defensive. That McCain allowed Obama to be the one on offense for months on end, is where the election went awry.

William Flax

17 posted on 01/20/2012 11:41:39 AM PST by Ohioan
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To: G Larry

It is really too early to tell, but I agree with G Larry. I expect Newt to win the South Carolina primary partly because he took King(,) John(ny) to task for spreading dispicable rumors two days before the election. Gee, when have we ever seen that before? Almost every time the Lamebrained Media want to destroy a conservative candidate. The American people are fed up with the loony leftists trying to destroy people with rumors and innuendo. I for one am grateful that Newt did and Italian In-Ur-endo to John King.

If Newt wins in Iowa, I look for Romney’s support to erode in Florida. Why? Because Romney has his talking points and seems scripted—just as Zerobummer was in 2008.

Paul has hit his high water mark now that we are entering states in which the primaries are open only to registered Republicans. The leftists in the #Occupy#Soros movement, which by the way is little mroe than the #Bowel movement, won’t be able to vote for Paul.

I look for Santorum to bow out after Florida and for Newt to win about 60% of the delegates to the convention from Saturday in South Carolina and for him to have 50% or more of the delegates by the convention with neither Romney nor Paul to have any real power. Newt will make nice to them as he shows them back to Texas-CD-17 and to Salt Lake City.

Neither will be in a Gingrich administration.


18 posted on 01/20/2012 11:49:06 AM PST by MIchaelTArchangel (Romney ruined Massachusetts. Now he wants to ruin the nation.)
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To: MIchaelTArchangel

Dr. Pauls support grows slow and steady every day - because he is a true hard core conservative.

Cut $1 TTTrillion from Federal Budget in year ONE
End the Bailouts (Audit the Fed)
Defend our Borders

Simple Core Conservative Principles.


19 posted on 01/20/2012 11:56:41 AM PST by vooch
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“I’m not convinced that either Sen. Rubio or Gov. Jindal are natural born citizens, as their parents were not US citizens at the time of their birth.”

You would be right and they both know it which is why neither of them is pushing for the VP slot.


20 posted on 01/20/2012 12:43:03 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: CaroleL
"Ron Paul keeps raising enough money…"


21 posted on 01/20/2012 1:20:24 PM PST by bksanders (Â…tagline redacted by SOPA)
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To: Patrick1
Retro is in!
22 posted on 01/20/2012 1:29:52 PM PST by bksanders (Â…tagline redacted by SOPA)
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To: SuzyQue

Nope. Google it.


23 posted on 01/20/2012 2:26:18 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (You can't invade the US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.~Admiral Yamamoto)
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To: CaroleL
A brokered convention is the last refuge of sour grapes.
24 posted on 01/20/2012 4:15:38 PM PST by Joe the Pimpernel
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To: SuzyQue

Jindal’s parents weren’t naturalized until after he was born. Neither he nor Rubio is a NBC.


25 posted on 01/20/2012 4:19:47 PM PST by little jeremiah (We will have to go through hell to get out of hell)
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To: little jeremiah; 2ndDivisionVet

Then we shouldn’t advance either of them as potential candidates.

Thanks for the info.


26 posted on 01/20/2012 6:02:16 PM PST by SuzyQue (Don't believe everything you think.)
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To: vooch

Paul is not a constituionalist. He thinks states should be able to allow the unborn to be slaughtered. That is a gross misunderstanding of the Constitution. He also voted for homos in the military, another unconstituional as well as leftist POV. Paul will never win, although he could be a spoiler.


27 posted on 01/20/2012 6:32:51 PM PST by little jeremiah (We will have to go through hell to get out of hell)
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To: SuzyQue

Even if one of them were the Pefect Candidate, it’s not worth messing with the constitution.


28 posted on 01/20/2012 6:33:54 PM PST by little jeremiah (We will have to go through hell to get out of hell)
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To: little jeremiah

I completely agree. Rubio in particular, enjoys a lot of support here.


29 posted on 01/20/2012 6:39:06 PM PST by SuzyQue (Don't believe everything you think.)
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