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Five Ways that Barack Obama Could Win A Second Term
Illinois Review ^ | February 6, 2012 A.D. | John F. Di Leo

Posted on 02/06/2012 7:57:05 AM PST by jfd1776

The economy is in a tailspin, with the worst statistics in decades, even after the Administration has made use of every statistical trick to tweak the way the numbers are calculated and reported.

With honest reporting, unemployment would be recognized as being close to 20%... the Administration would be recognized for the most mind-blowing corruption in history… and the foreign policy disasters of 2011 would be recognized as having turned over at least two more Middle East countries to the islamofascists and jeopardized our security in countless ways.

And yet… while such a record should guarantee the incumbent a resounding Carterite defeat in November, there are still at least five ways in which he could get a second term (not counting the slim possibility of martial law and the termination of free elections).

Option One: An Economic Boom

The economy roars back, unemployment plummets, and everybody's happy again. Well, we don’t have to “worry” about this one. The Obama Administration has taken hundreds of steps (you might even say "trillions") to ensure this doesn’t happen, from raising taxes and hidden fees in Obamacare and elsewhere during their glory days of the Pelosi Speakership… to the crippling regulations that have shuttered factories and discouraged start-ups… to the unprecedented borrowing that swiftly dried up America’s investment capital as surely as untold millennia turned the inland sea of the southwest into the desert you know as the Grand Canyon.

As miserable as it is to be living this depression, at least we don’t have to worry about economic blessings rebuilding President Obama’s reputation… though he and his spinmeisters will certainly do their best to manipulate the statistics, telling the most gullible among us that a change from a laughably inaccurate 8.6% unemployment rate is improving marvelously to an equally inaccurate 8.3% unemployment rate, even though even this miniscule claimed improvement is well within the margin of error.

No, there’s no doubt about it. This economy isn’t roaring back until some time after the Destroyer-in-Chief is out of office.

Option Two: An October Surprise

It is always possible for foreign affairs to make a sudden appearance on the scene at the end, making a president look more decisive, more presidential, more worthy of re-election. This could be a war, or a need for air strikes, or a daring rescue of tourists or college students or businessmen or embassy personnel. In a world as dangerous as ours today, there are dozens of countries in which such an event could appear.

And there is no question that some in the White House are analyzing ways to make the most of what occurs, or to manufacture something – something justifiable, worthwhile, and impressive, of course, showcasing America’s righteous use of power in the hands of The One. The ongoing Iranian nuclear threat, the ongoing Venezuelan incursions into Colombian territory (no, on second thought, he won't touch that one), the myriad efforts of islamofasciast terrorists to damage large or small on Western target… all these must present an irresistible temptation to some in the Administration, and if timed right and managed well, they could change the dynamic come Election Day.

Granted, a bad economy usually trumps foreign policy successes, as we remember from George H.W. Bush’s experience, and famously, Winston Churchill's experience across the Pond. But you never know; anything is possible, especially nowadays.

Option Three: A Weak Opponent

This is a two-party country (anyone who believes in third party involvement or third party voting at the presidential level needs to beware of flying pigs and dancing unicorns). There is therefore only one option for those who want Barack Obama defeated, and that’s the eventual Republican nominee, whoever he or she is.

At this point, it is likely – not guaranteed, but almost certain – that the Republican nominee will be someone with severe trouble with the Republican base, whose ability to draw from the middle and to convert Democrats is also suspect. Mitt Romney’s moderate history and Rick Santorum’s big-spending history scare conservatives; Newt Gingrich’s fondness for wacky ideas scares moderates and conservatives alike; Ron Paul’s foreign policy scares everybody.

Nobody is perfect, so the primary electorate must weigh their relative weaknesses against each other, hopefully settling on the one whose positives best make up for his negatives, the one they think most likely to convince the most non-Republicans to vote for him. The Republican primary electorate has a record of stubborn squeamishness in this regard, tending toward whomever the conventional wisdom (a.k.a. the enemy) tells them is the safest choice. Hence the Republican Party’s peculiar nomination record: since WWII, amazingly, the conservative party has only nominated two conservatives for the presidency.

If the Republican opponent isn’t an absolute dynamo, the combined forces of incumbency and the still-bewitched mainstream media could yet defeat him, despite all evidence. So the choice of a nominee is as important this year as ever.

Many in the punditry believe that anyone can defeat Barack Obama this year, so the primary electorate doesn’t have to be so squeamish this time. Don’t be so sure. And the primary electorate may not even have the final word on the matter; while the odds are severely against it, there could be a brokered convention from which a new dark horse could arise, a remote possibility on which many dreamers are pinning all their hopes this spring.

Option Four: Vote Fraud Triumphs

Vote fraud always plays a role in American elections. For all the pretenses of corrupt embarrassment Jimmy Carter, who has spent decades flying around the world purporting to be the great arbiter of honest elections (when not further meddling in the housing market at home), American elections have been growing progressively more corrupt since Carter’s presidency.

Contrary to the popular belief that the graveyard vote of Chicago is the only mote in the eye of the American political system, there are dozens of different methods for Democrat theft… the old-fashioned graveyard vote of Chicago’s south side is a dusty antique at the back of their toolbox.

Democrats get immigrants, legal and illegal, to vote before they have citizenship. They are famous for filling buses with patronage workers who go from polling place to polling place all day, voting on behalf of dead, moved-away, or downright fictitious names. They hold voter registration drives in prisons, even in states where felons are banned from voting. They have recruited such felons to stand outside polling places and scare voters away. They have been caught abusing the doped and dazed residents of nursing homes, the drunks of skid rows, the mentally handicapped. No form of abuse is too low for the Democrats as they fish for illicit votes (and just in case you’re wondering, there’s no need to fear a libel lawsuit for this paragraph, because court records from coast to coast serve as such clear evidence that a judge would have to toss such a lawsuit as frivolous).

Obviously there are honest Democrats, but the corruption of their party is so widespread that vote fraud has occurred – and been prosecuted - in practically every state in the union. In an effort to make fraud harder to catch, they have even done away with elections altogether in some places; Washington state for example has an almost entirely mail-in election, and more and more states use this criminal-enabling method through “early voting” and no-justification absentee voting.

While several Republican legislators have taken firm measures in recent years to reduce such fraud by requiring presentation of a state-issued or federal-issued ID to vote in person, few have moved beyond this necessary, but woefully incomplete, starting point.

Most disturbing of all, the Democrats have taken to pushing a program called National Popular Vote (NPV), an end-run around the Electoral College that would eliminate the constitutional protections against vote fraud that isolate each state’s votes.

Under the Electoral College system, no matter how many votes a machine may steal, it can only win its state once. So at least the fraud is isolated.

But with NPV, stealing a hundred thousand more than they need in Illinois, New York, or California, for example, would enable them to effectively steal the election by getting Republican states to force their electors to vote for the national popular vote winner even if the Republican won their state. And the NPV effort has already succeeded in getting numerous gullible and corrupt states, and even numerous gullible Republicans (like Illinois' own Jim Edgar!), to sign onto this suicide pact.

If we want a prayer of winning, we must both wipe out vote fraud and reverse the unconstitutional cancer of the National Popular Vote movement.

Option Five: The Republican Base Sits It Out.

Some Republicans are guaranteed to be dissatisfied with whoever is nominated; there is no question about that. Conservatives will think the candidate is too liberal; moderates may think the candidate is too conservative. Some may fear that the ethnicity, religion or background of the nominee will doom him, so they won’t bother to participate. Some may still vote for him, but won’t work for him, because he’s not their kind of Republican.

All these are recipes for disaster.

All the Republican needs to win in November is to pick up a few points from the middle. In light of the economic, social, and foreign policy destruction of this four-year national nightmare, there should be no trouble picking up those few points, as long as the Republican base holds together.

But if the Republican base is fractured – if we lose five or ten points because our own people aren’t happy – then we’ll never pick up enough converts to make up for it. The Republican base – that means the social conservatives, the economic conservatives, and the foreign policy conservatives, the self-described moderates, from paleocon to neocon to tea partier to libertarian to Rockefellerite – must hold together.

Even if the nominee isn’t perfect – and he won’t be, whoever he is – we need every vote to stop the nightmare. We can concentrate on moving forward afterward, but all patriots must agree that the first step is to stop the bleeding; we must defeat Barack Hussein Obama in November.

In Conclusion…

Some of this is clearly out of our control. Individual voters can’t change what happens in foreign affairs; can’t convince other states to mandate criminal sentences for vote fraud or to reject the pernicious corruption of NPV. But there is much that we CAN do.

We can, and in fact must, apply pressure to states' attorneys, police forces, and legislators in our own states to criminalize fraud and to defeat NPV. We can, and must, work throughout the primaries for whoever we believe to be the strongest candidate, then unite behind the Republican nominee after the convention.

And then all patriotic Americans must work through November, toward the election of a Republican president who – whoever he or she is – will most certainly fire Obama’s appointees, retract his executive orders, and sign the bills of the Republican Congress.

And simultaneously, we must work to elect as solid and effective a Republican Congress as possible, because they’ll be the policy drivers. Any Republican president will sign their bills; we need a good Congress to ensure that what they send him is as helpful as we can get.

2012 will not be an end in itself. The revolution that began in 2010 will take decades to accomplish, though it could be killed in its infancy after just two short years, if the Republican side of the divide fails to give it our full effort.

As my boss often reminds me at my day job, “the perfect is the enemy of the good.” The Democrats have done the damage they’ve done incrementally; we cannot expect to elect some superhero who can wipe out a century of villainy in a single term. We must change the country’s direction – pulling back from the cliff and setting back on the right course – and we must use the same incrementalism to move back toward the economic prosperity and cultural honor as the Framers designed for us.

Faster may well be better and more desirable, but think about it: you don’t get anywhere by staying home, just because you don’t like the speed limit signs along your route.

Copyright 2012 John F. Di Leo

John F. Di Leo is a Chicago-based Customs broker and international trade compliance lecturer. A former county chairman of the Milwaukee County Republican Party, he has been a recovering politician for over fourteen years.

Permission is hereby granted to forward freely, provided it is uncut and the byline and IR URL are included. Follow me on LinkedIn and Facebook!


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Miscellaneous; Politics
KEYWORDS: generalelection; obama; primary

1 posted on 02/06/2012 7:57:20 AM PST by jfd1776
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To: jfd1776

Or, all five happen.


2 posted on 02/06/2012 7:58:52 AM PST by Rinnwald
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To: jfd1776

Given the quality of the ‘Pubbie opposition, I am more interested in finding a way for Obama to LOSE!

Right now, if I were a betting man, I’d be laying bets for Obama 2012.


3 posted on 02/06/2012 8:04:18 AM PST by Little Ray (FOR the best Conservative in the Primary; AGAINST Obama in the General.)
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To: jfd1776

“work for...the election of a Republican president who – whoever he or she is – will most certainly fire Obama’s appointees, retract his executive orders, and sign the bills of the Republican Congress.”

Really? How many conservative judges did Willard appoint during his governorship in MA? Will he dismantle ObamaCare, which is based in large part on RomneyCare? Pardon us if we are very skeptical of this agiprop.


4 posted on 02/06/2012 8:06:34 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: jfd1776
No 3rd party will win for at least 8 years, IMHO. Only Romney or Gingrich can win the republican nomination. Unless opposition to the Kenyan unites around the republican nominee, whoever that is, the Kenyan wins.

That truth sucks but it is the truth and the republic is in the balance.

5 posted on 02/06/2012 8:10:55 AM PST by muir_redwoods (No wonder this administration favors abortion; everything they have done is an abortion)
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To: jfd1776
Option One: An Economic Boom => will not happen

Option Two: An October Surprise => always happens, but never has had much effect

Option Three: A Weak Opponent => doesn't matter. Voters will be voting against Obama, not for the GOP candidate. The GOP primary is being fought so hard because it will choose the next POTUS, not the general election

Option Four: Vote Fraud Triumphs => always good for about 1% of the popular vote in the past. Double that for Obama. Will be especially bad in PA. This is the only option that has any merit.

Option Five: The Republican Base Sits It Out => not a chance.

6 posted on 02/06/2012 8:11:41 AM PST by kidd
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To: jfd1776

Option Six: A large amount of dumbed down voters.


7 posted on 02/06/2012 8:13:11 AM PST by stbdside
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To: kidd
GOD I hope you're right, but today daily Rasmussen is downright depressing. Comrade Zero's overall approval % is up to 50.

WTF is wrong with people in this country???

8 posted on 02/06/2012 8:17:21 AM PST by Marathoner (In the 80s we had Reagan, Johnny Cash and Bob Hope. Now we have Obama, no cash and no hope.)
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To: jfd1776

Option Seven: Massachusetts Mormon RINO Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee.


9 posted on 02/06/2012 8:19:24 AM PST by Carl Vehse
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To: jfd1776

Democrats get immigrants, legal and illegal, to vote before they have citizenship.
In Los Angeles hundreds of people in front of stores getting mexicans to sign up to vote.


10 posted on 02/06/2012 8:19:48 AM PST by Vaduz
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To: jfd1776

Option 6, Zero declares martial law.


11 posted on 02/06/2012 8:20:17 AM PST by DownInFlames (h)
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To: jfd1776

1. Because he is black
2. Romney is the nominee
3. Because of voter fraud
4. Because the MSM and BHO lie about the alleged recovery, cooking the books
5. Because he is black


12 posted on 02/06/2012 8:28:09 AM PST by svcw (Only difference between Romney & BH is one thinks he will be god & other one thinks he already is.)
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To: DownInFlames

Many of BHO executive orders are, maybe, setting the stage for just that.
(very far fetched) BHO could just declare all Republicans terrorist and arrest us without cause other than his thought that we are terrorist.


13 posted on 02/06/2012 8:31:41 AM PST by svcw (Only difference between Romney & BH is one thinks he will be god & other one thinks he already is.)
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To: jfd1776

Economic gains boost Obama’s 2012 chances, poll says

Posted 2/6/12 8:12 a.m.

NEW YORK (WLS) - Mitt Romney has solidified his position for the Republican nomination but lost ground in the main event, with improved economic indicators and questions about Romney’s wealth and taxes lifting President Obama to a head-to-head advantage for the first time this cycle, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Fifty percent of Americans surveyed in the new poll approve of Obama’s job performance, the most since spring. Moreover, 50 percent say he deserves re-election — better than Bill Clinton at the start of his re-election year and as good as George W. Bush a month before he won a second term. And now, Obama leads Romney among registered voters by a slight 51-45 percent, the first time either has cracked 50 percent in a series of matchups since spring.

http://www.wlsam.com/Article.asp?id=2388571&spid=


14 posted on 02/06/2012 8:34:43 AM PST by KeyLargo
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To: jfd1776

Alex, I’ll take “start a world war for $16,000,000,000,000” please.


15 posted on 02/06/2012 8:39:03 AM PST by Jack of all Trades (Hold your face to the light, even though for the moment you do not see.)
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To: jfd1776

Option Six: Obama does away with the ‘antiquated, racist idea’ of a second term. One lifetime-long term will do.


16 posted on 02/06/2012 8:42:06 AM PST by Lazamataz (Yes, I am THAT Conservative.)
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To: jfd1776

One way ... nominate Romney.


17 posted on 02/06/2012 8:45:31 AM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: jfd1776

Well if Romney is the nominee I’m out. I refuse to vote for a Liberal who supports several positions to which I am opposed.

More simply put: I’d prefer 4 more years of Obama with a Republican Congress then, best case, 8 years of a liberal Republican and a Republican Congress pushed to the left by their “leader” (worst case 16+ years of liberalism with post-Romney Dems).

The former may do damage to the country but the later does damage to country and cause. In 2012 I’ll stick to voting based on principles and accept whatever outcome results.


18 posted on 02/06/2012 8:50:50 AM PST by EagleInGA (Mittens & the NJ Fat Man? Really?!?!)
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To: jfd1776

Well if Romney is the nominee I’m out. I refuse to vote for a Liberal who supports several positions to which I am opposed.

More simply put: I’d prefer 4 more years of Obama with a Republican Congress then, best case, 8 years of a liberal Republican and a Republican Congress pushed to the left by their “leader” (worst case 16+ years of liberalism with post-Romney Dems).

The former may do damage to the country but the later does damage to country and cause. In 2012 I’ll stick to voting based on principles and accept whatever outcome results.


19 posted on 02/06/2012 8:50:57 AM PST by EagleInGA (Mittens & the NJ Fat Man? Really?!?!)
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To: RIghtwardHo
One way ... nominate Romney.

No kidding. That's the sure fire way.
20 posted on 02/06/2012 8:56:34 AM PST by ZX12R (FUBO GTFO 2012 ! We should take off and Newt washington from orbit.)
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To: jfd1776
The Democrats have done the damage they’ve done incrementally; we cannot expect to elect some superhero who can wipe out a century of villainy in a single term. We must change the country’s direction – pulling back from the cliff and setting back on the right course – and we must use the same incrementalism to move back toward the economic prosperity and cultural honor as the Framers designed for us.

This passage runs entirely against the main thrust of the article -- that Republicans just need to hold together around whoever gets the nomination. If the nominee is not inclined to dispute Obama's policies during the general campaign, then what mandate will he have should he pull-out a narrow victory?

21 posted on 02/06/2012 9:11:44 AM PST by Tallguy (It's all 'Fun and Games' until somebody loses an eye!)
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To: jfd1776

1) Back romney and the republicrat machine

2) Back romney and the republicrat machine

3) Back romney and the republicrat machine

4) Back romney and the republicrat machine

5) Back romney and the republicrat machine


22 posted on 02/06/2012 9:35:14 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (Hey repubic elite scumbags... jam mitt up your collective arses!)
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To: kidd
"Option Five: The Republican Base Sits It Out => not a chance."

I respect your opinion, but disagree. After this weekend's "annoiting" of Romney I began to do some serious thinking. If Romney will not repeal ObamaCare, I think the economy is going to tank anyway - and Republicans will be blamed, giving us 20 years of Democrat control of Congress and the White House.

If we cannot nominate a candidate willing to do what is necessary to save the country, do we want to take ownership of this disaster?

If Romney wants my vote, he will have to convince me he is going to make things BETTER.

I live in hope that my perediction - it will be a brokeraged convention and the eventual nominee hasn't entered the race - will come true.

On the bright side, I am in Maryland - so it doesn't much matter who I vote for. Obama could be found with the poverbial dead girl or live boy in his bed and he would still carry this state. How soon can I retire and move?

23 posted on 02/06/2012 9:36:00 AM PST by In Maryland ("Truth? We don't need no stinkin' truth!" - Official Motto of the Main Stream Media)
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To: kidd
ALL of your points were proved wrong in 2008. The base is fractured and millions will never vote for romney... he will be worse than obama and for reasons that I have stated on other threads today.

LLS

24 posted on 02/06/2012 9:38:22 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (Hey repubic elite scumbags... jam mitt up your collective arses!)
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To: Marathoner
53.8% voted for obama because they want a socialist America... and they still want a socialist America and they will vote for him again. Some of them are wait for it... republicans.

LLS

25 posted on 02/06/2012 9:40:27 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (Hey repubic elite scumbags... jam mitt up your collective arses!)
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To: jfd1776

Obama doesn’t need to do anything to win, if Republicans nominate Romney. We will win it for him.


26 posted on 02/06/2012 10:18:49 AM PST by pallis
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To: jfd1776

I’ll list them.

1. Fraud
2. Fraud
3. Fraud
4. Fraud
5. Corruption

HSBC, Wells Fargo, Bank of America and Paypal, aren’t laundering money from stolen identities for nothing you know.


27 posted on 02/06/2012 10:24:10 AM PST by hedgetrimmer
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To: jfd1776
This is a two-party country ...............

or so we are led to believe. Everything is not as it appears nor as we are told and women don't fake orgasms!

28 posted on 02/06/2012 11:31:48 AM PST by varon (Allegiance to the Constitution, always. Allegiance to a party, never!)
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