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Why gas is going to $10 per gallon
Trainorders.com ^ | March 4, 2012 | Ed Ellis

Posted on 03/04/2012 1:22:41 PM PST by CedarDave

There has been a good discussion on the All Aboard group about gas prices, and this is my point of view. It's long....

The single biggest factor is China, and the free market. Very little is related to politics (either red or blue), the oil companies or Iran. Here’s a simple fact: The Chinese are buying about 20 million new cars a year. Those cars replace bicycles, or carts, not other cars. They represent new consumption of oil. If you look at the International Energy Agency Oil Market Report for February ( www.omrpublic.iea.org/currentissues/full.pdf ) you will see that demand for the developed (OECD) world will be down 2.6% this year while demand for the rest of world will be up 2.8%. China, up 3.9% this year, will drive the non-OECD growth. So this means that every gallon of gas you don’t buy is replaced by a gallon of gas bought somewhere else in the world. Demand is going up even if US vehicle-miles-traveled peaked in 2007 and will continue to go down this year.

But supply isn’t going up. Production is around 90.2 million barrels a day, and either production has to grow by 800,000 barrels a day this year, or demand won’t be met. Unless the price goes up. Of course, US crude oil production is growing again, after years of decline, thanks to the frenetic drilling in the Bakken and Permian. US crude production should increase by 250,000 barrels a day this year. But it’s expensive oil. It can take up to $1 million in frac sand to frac a single well in the Permian. And it’s getting more expensive to produce oil in fields around the world. And even with that it’s hard to move the needle on production.

(Excerpt) Read more at trainorders.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government
KEYWORDS: china; gasoline; oil
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To: Yorlik803
Looks like it would be time to buy a locking gas cap.

Haven't you heard? Obama constituents are drilling holes in gas tanks and draining the gas that way.
41 posted on 03/04/2012 6:40:55 PM PST by crosshairs
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To: Michael Barnes
I wouldn't; that will literally kill a lot of people as those months are when home heating oil purchases are in full swing.

I have to wonder, with extreme sadness in my heart, how many of those that are going to die support this socialist agenda.

42 posted on 03/04/2012 7:02:19 PM PST by houeto (Mitt Romney - A Whiter Shade of FAIL)
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To: crosshairs

At my church someone cut the gas lines and drained both busses.


43 posted on 03/04/2012 7:38:19 PM PST by charlie72
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To: The Antiyuppie

Of course but only for a time unless wages go up in tune. Otherwise demand would plummet.


44 posted on 03/04/2012 9:49:21 PM PST by Sequoyah101 (Half the people are below average.)
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To: CedarDave
This would cause Rebellion on the Gulf Coast were we to get hit by a Hurricane, and no one be able to run a generator for any length of time. And, I do not care if I get reported...I will lead the charge. Both my parents are elderly, heart patients, and I would bust hell wide open if I let anyone cause their deaths from the heat of an Alabama Summer. No, there will be a line drawn. So help me God.
45 posted on 03/04/2012 11:09:17 PM PST by Shadowstrike (Be polite, Be professional, but have a plan to kill everyone you meet.)
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To: TomGuy

After all the Dems did to beat up Bush on gasoline prices before the 2008 election, and that little twerp has the audacity to suggest that? Sheesh.

It’s long past time for the Republicans on these shows to really jam their bias down their throats. Gingrich is the only one who seems to be any good at it.


46 posted on 03/04/2012 11:17:44 PM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: CedarDave
These are just some of the reasons/excuses gas prices are quite suddenly burning up your income.

_______________________________________________

Iran is going to take over the world.

The refineries need maintenance

The speculators are doing it

We're running out of oil

We have plenty

Americans are driving less, so we need to raise prices

The Chinese have millions of mopeds to fuel

There is a leak in a pipe in Moose Jaw Alaska

A rodent chewed through a line at the main pump station in Texas.

Demand is down but we are producing more however, our refineries have been and are being shut down

Prices will go to 6.75, but 3 days before the election, Obama will lower prices to 1.40 to ensure reelection

A school of endangered blowfish have been sucked into a pipe, and it takes time to get them out.

Iran has nukes

Unstable markets worldwide.

A big refinery fire

A small refinery fire

A refinery fire could possibly happen

New gas additives are being developed to make Americans even more stupid

They forgot to build a pipe

They don’t like pipes

Rich liberals want the price even higher.

Obama hates the oil industry

The oil industry hates Obama and are hoping this kills his reelection

Liberals want everyone ridding donkeys and bicycles to work as a sacrifice for the planet

We moved more armaments to the gulf because Iran is taking over the world

Wild money printing and massive deficits

Americans love high gas prices

Refinery margins are tight…They hardly make any money at all.

The masses have no idea how free market works.

It is being exported because we are making more than we use.

Demand has fallen

We need refinery upgrades and expansion

We are making more than we use so we have to sell it to the Chinese, (They have 1 billion mopeds to fuel , and need to go to work so they can send us more Communist products .

We have plenty of oil, so much so, we need to sell it abroad to keep prices low.

We have plenty of oil, so much so, we need to sell it abroad to keep prices high.

Barry intentionally pissed off the oil companies and seriously limited their profit and boy are they PO’d.

47 posted on 03/04/2012 11:19:31 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2
You forgot one.

Because Bush and Cheney are still alive. Nah, they would still be blamed if they were six feet under. Never mind.

48 posted on 03/04/2012 11:23:24 PM PST by Kickass Conservative (New Tagline under construction, please watch your step.)
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To: TomGuy

Beat Obama over the head with it as hard as possible & ignore Gregory the idiot shill. Ask the Gulf Coast how much Obama is doing to bankrupt them. Maybe Gregory should ask Obama what he has done to fix the problem! Why he is holding US oil hostage! It would create millions of jobs if he would get the hell out of the way!


49 posted on 03/05/2012 12:02:01 AM PST by kcvl
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To: CedarDave

You nailed it!


50 posted on 03/05/2012 12:05:49 AM PST by kcvl
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To: Yorlik803
Those lock caps are easy to get past. I won't say how but it takes only a second.
At least it's a deterrent.

Locks were made to keep honest people out.

51 posted on 03/05/2012 12:09:34 AM PST by MaxMax
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To: nascarnation
The economics are too favorable to miss out on.

Oh, I agree. I just thought the author was being unnecessarily pessimistic by trying to calculate the cost of switching every vehicle in America to natural gas.

52 posted on 03/05/2012 1:55:52 PM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: BfloGuy

Just heard on CNBC today Cummins engine projecting one year payback for diesel conversions to run on natural gas.
Also Chrysler and GM bringing out nat gas pickups soon.


53 posted on 03/05/2012 2:03:46 PM PST by nascarnation (DEFEAT BARAQ 2012 DEPORT BARAQ 2013)
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