Skip to comments.FiveThirtyEight Forecast Barack Obama 313.0 Romney 225.0 Electoral Vote
Posted on 11/06/2012 10:27:27 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
FiveThirtyEight Forecast Updated 10:10 AM ET on Nov. 6
Electoral Vote Barack Obama 313.0 Mitt Romney 225.0
Chance of winning Barack Obama 90.9% Mitt Romney 9.1%
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
Did yo listen to Rush yesterday. The SRM had several report how to get 0 bummer to 271, but not a single poll that he was over 50% and no incumbent has been reelected with less than 50%.
“Easier to put the brakes on the slower moving train.”
Or rip up the tracks ahead of it!
The clock has now went past 15 minutes...
He wasn’t accurate this time.
And neither was Dick Morris.
Even NH doesn’t waste time thinking about stuff you posted, though.
Poindexter didn’t do so bad...
Thanks for alerting us of post #37.
The GOP-e does not like the Tea Party.
The GOP-e wanted them to be but the booster rocket to get Obama defeated, replaced with a RINO (Romney), then discarded when Romney reached across the aisle to enact center-left legislation with the Republicans and Dems in the House and Senate who were moderates and liberals.
At the end of the day, Silver and Wong’s predictions were *extremely* accurate:
We may not have liked the results of their techniques this time around.
But after producing these sorts of results three elections in a row with impressive and increasing accuracy and precision, we ignore them at out peril in terms (for example) of judging the ongoing effectiveness of campaign strategies.
Most impressive was not just calling all 50 states, but the way that Florida turned the faintest whisp of blue on his model two days before the election. Final projection was 49%-49% with Obama ahead by a few tenths of a percent or so.
Florida right now, Obama 49.8%,Romney 49.1%.
Pretty dang good.
Also, his model projected Obama to win the popular vote by 2.5%, which is also EXACTLY dead on as of now.
Fact is, people who said he was a hack and who quoted Unskewed Polls (a true moron) were just looking what they were hoping was true.
Check out Freeper jackmercer from last week. He had Silver’s numbers by doing this on his computer. The truth was out there & Ras & Gallup & Morris & Barone were full of it. Sad truth.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.