Silver doesn’t have a long enough history declared accurate. He was right in 49 of 50 states in 2008 ... but so were a lot of people. That could just mean he was up the Democrat’s butt in a Democrat year. He was much farther off in 2010 ... I think he shorted the Republicans by about 20% in the House.
Silver is a slave to State polls. If the polls are wrong, so is he.
Morris is kinda all over the place. He leans Republican in his predictions (there’s a reason Hannity has him on so much).
For predictions ... I trust Karl Rove, Krauthammer, Brit Hume and Michael Barone a lot more than either Silver or Morris. All of them were honest enough to predict Obama in 2008.
Rove has predicted 285 Romney. Barone 315 Romney. Krauthammer said Romney by a “narrow” margin. Hume hasn’t predicted.
SnakeDoc
Silver was also fed Obama insider polling info in 2008, and IMO is in the propaganda business for his propagandizing employer in 2012.