Posted on 02/02/2016 11:08:22 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
If I don’t vote for Trump for whatever reason I won’t be voting for Cruz.
Well, there isn’t a single person running for president who’s worse than Trump.
Do you want me to repeat the question and pretend like you just didn’t see it? Cause I really am puzzled about the lack of foresight here with Cruz people.
The reasons why polling is broken are pretty well known, and there have been lots of articles on it. This article included.
Data-driven turnout methods are allowing campaigns to identify people who normally don’t vote, target them with a high degree of specificity and bring them out to vote.
There’s a great article on either Breitbart or PJ Media (I’ve cited it before) with a chart showing how in 2012 Obama was able to win by ignoring the political center and focusing on expanding his political base. Romney lost by using traditional “appeal to the center” tactics (plus his turnout system crashed on election day). It explains really well how everyone thought Romney was going to win, then didn’t.
The Iowa results mirror the 2012 general, with Cruz as Obama and Trump as Romney. Cruz, who seems to really get the big data stuff, slightly overperformed (2 points) while Trump (who relied on massive press and name ID) seriously underperformed (6-8 points).
If Trump expects to be the nominee he better get his sh** together on the data stuff, learn from what really happened in Iowa (which isnt this “Cruz Cheated” nonsense/smokescreen) and correct course going into NH, SC and the other states. Because we know the Dems DO have their sh** together on it.
The question was meaningless enough the first time.
another bttt TN!
right
Ted is Southern Baptist. There is no evidence he believes everything his dad teaches. He’s never said he does. And the dominion theology actually comes in so many different flavors that if you present it just right it can be used to smear anyone who believes Christians can play a role in making human society better, anyone from Calvin to Jerry Falwell to James Dobson, etc. About the only folks who can’t be swept into that classification at all would be the Fred Phelps type groups that think Christians and Christianity have absolutely no role in culture.
I happen to have living next to me a family that runs a church that is driven by real, hard core dominionists of the truly heretical variety. They are off the charts inconsistent with what it would be like in any given Southern Baptist church. Ted’s dad is not even of the extreme variety, AFAIK, but more of a standard charismatic flavor, and the sermon he preaches on the topic is not at the far end of the scale, and is even fairly typical of a number of old line charismatic fellowships.
However, having said all that, the MSM does hate Christianity in general, and this will be available to them, and Raphael does make it tougher, because although father and son are on a different theological page, people are easy prey for false associations, what is known in logic as the genetic fallacy, i.e., for example, country music is popular in city X, therefore every inhabitant of city X loves country music. Or, if a child has a father who believes Y, then the son must believe Y. Those are easy to sell, but they are bad logic.
So it’ll be Ted’s effort to sell that he holds relatively conventional views on this subject, despite what his family members may believe. I honestly think the only people whom this will affect are those who were already looking for an excuse not to like him, but that will probably not be enough to derail a win in the general, given who the democratic opposition will likely be.
Peace,
SR
CNN said it was sourced from within the Carson campaign. Going home for R&R and skipping NH and SC means he's all done except for the announcement.
You can't make this right, neither can Truz, and it's very telling of the people who are trying.
If you don't want people to say you're quitting, don't spend month's tanking in the polls and then go home for R&R after 1 state. There's nothing to "make right."
http://www.nationalmemo.com/21-questions-for-donald-trump/
My guess is the media/Clinton already know the answers to these questions. It doesn't matter. Cruz or Rubio will be the nominee.
**
So it’ll be Ted’s effort to sell that he holds relatively conventional views on this subject, despite what his family members may believe**
Thank you for the well-reasoned response. Unfortunately for Ted, he gave the RINOs plenty of video footage to use when he prayed his way across Iowa. Similar to how his victory speech was targeted to the Iowan audience instead of the nationwide audience watching on TV. And all the while, letting his campaign people go down the ‘sleaze road’ in their questionable tactics. To non-evangelicals, it just screams hypocrisy.
Cruz has his work cut out for him, that’s for sure. He can probably take solace in the fact that Trump can’t walk away from his Twitter feed. Meanwhile, while they destroy each other, Mr Rubiamnesty is coming up from the rear to look like the only sane person in the race.
Maybe I’ll vote for low-testosterone Carly. LOL.
Do you get dizzy when you spin that hard?
Hank
Yep. Trump is Trump in every state.
State of confusion. State of incoherence. State of disarray. State of delusion. State of petulance.
Same childish leftist twit in every state.
Hank
At least Trump is not a liar.
C'mon, even you have to admit that is just making excuses. Trump led in Iowa for all of the past 6 months, with the exception of a total of 6 weeks (2 Carson led, 4 Cruz led), including the last few weeks of the campaign. He got outworked and outcampaigned.
When you are running a campaign, you focus on the issues that are most important to the voters where you are campaigning. In Iowa, the biggest block of voters were evangelical. In NH, libertarians are a big block.
As long as the candidate in not changing his positions from state to state, I see no issue in focusing on different issues in different places. That's just smart campaigning.
They said it made absolutely no sense to leave the campaign trail with another election in 8 days. The excuse of getting fresh clothes made no sense. They don't have dry cleaners and laundries in N.H. and Iowa? Any hotel Carson was staying in could have provided that service.
I have met and visited with the Southern Baptist pastor who prayed with Ted to receive Christ and who baptized him when Ted was 8 years old. He is retired now and lives in Tennessee. He told me that Ted still has the same burning faith that he saw in him as a child. That is a really good thing. Jesus said that unless we became as a little child we would not see the Kingdom of Heaven.
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