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Looking at the polls: What we can draw from where Trump is positioned?
The Coach's Team ^ | 9/25/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins

Posted on 09/25/2016 9:06:14 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax

New Quinnipiac polls offer encouraging data for Donald Trump and a sagging future for Hillary Clinton.

The Q-poll shows Clinton leading in Colorado 44/42, and in Virginia 45/39. It shows Trump leading 47/40 in Georgia and 44/37 in Iowa.

In Colorado, where Obama won by 5 points in 2012, Clinton’s 8 point lead on August 17 has dissipated to 2 points which is within the 3.9% MOE. Moreover, Colorado is 87% White which is just at the beginning of certain trouble for Clinton since she is polling so poorly with Whites that Reuters has ALREADY all but called Vermont for Trump based on the state’s 96% White population. Reuters considers the percentage of White support Clinton has to be so significantly low that it casts aside a 21 point lead for her found in an Emerson College poll done earlier this month.

It is worth noting that Reuters avoided mentioning how anemic Clinton’s numbers are with Whites; but a good guess would be she has around 32% support which would represent a record low. Logically, if she even had the 39% or something close to it that Barack Obama had in 2012, Reuters would not have set the chances of Republican Trump winning in very Democrat Vermont at 95%. In his crushing defeat in 1984, even Walter Mondale got 34% of the White vote.

In Virginia, the Q-poll has Clinton leading by 6 points where Obama won in 2012 by 4 points. Giving Clinton a generous 35% support level from Whites if they are the same 70% of the electorate she gets 24.5% of the vote. It is no longer a disputed fact that 20% of Blacks are supporting Trump, and Clinton is getting just 75% of the Black vote. That gives her another 15 points...

(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; donaldtrump; polls; voters

1 posted on 09/25/2016 9:06:15 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: Oldpuppymax

Ignore all media

Get Out The Vote


2 posted on 09/25/2016 9:14:08 AM PDT by Nifster (Ignore all polls. Get Out The Vote)
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To: Nifster

Ignore all media

Get Out The Vote


That’s absolutely right.

And help get out the vote for Trump in any and all ways possible.


3 posted on 09/25/2016 9:17:23 AM PDT by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Oldpuppymax

“Reuters has ALREADY all but called Vermont for Trump based on the state’s 96% White population.”

I would be careful of that one before mortgaging the house, and logging on to one of the British gambling sites to place a large bet that Trump will win Vermont.


4 posted on 09/25/2016 9:18:13 AM PDT by Timpanagos1
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To: laplata

precisely

it is the only way to overwhelm everything else


5 posted on 09/25/2016 9:19:29 AM PDT by Nifster (Ignore all polls. Get Out The Vote)
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To: Nifster

My Sunday morning feel good was to go to Amazon and read the reviews for Hillary’s book.
80% give it one star (lowest rating available) and Amazon has been deleting numbers of reviews to try and improve the good count.
It funny reading the reviews.
Only way she can win is by fraud.....


6 posted on 09/25/2016 9:22:06 AM PDT by 9422WMR (Look, we are led by a man that either is not tough, not smart, or hes got something else in mind!)
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To: 9422WMR

which is why we need to overwhelm the vote with actual voters


7 posted on 09/25/2016 9:23:34 AM PDT by Nifster (Ignore all polls. Get Out The Vote)
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To: 9422WMR

I do not care if the week before election day Hillary collapsed head first into the pavement and polls show Trump 30 points ahead.

I am still going to vote and implore all of you to GET OUT THE VOTE


8 posted on 09/25/2016 9:25:51 AM PDT by TheShaz
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To: Oldpuppymax
Barack Obama won Iowa twice -- by a 54%-44% margin in 2008, and by a 52%-48% margin in 2012.

I don't see how Iowa goes from this to a 44%-37% Trump lead without having an enormous shift in other swing states.

The fact that a state like Iowa (and Ohio as well, based on the reports today of Clinton's campaign basically abandoning the state) isn't even considered a "swing" state anymore is a serious indicator of a major underlying trend in this election.

9 posted on 09/25/2016 9:35:22 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
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To: Oldpuppymax

You can’t tell anything about the actual situation from the polls. You can only discover what the polls say which is what the poll takes want you to believe. Trump could be ahead by 20 points or Mrs Bill could be ahead that much and the polls will show a tight contest. If they keep it neck and neck then they hope that will motivate the leftwing vote to come out in force and at the same time news and other organizations pay them more money.


10 posted on 09/25/2016 9:39:10 AM PDT by arthurus (Hillary's campaign is getting shaky)
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To: Oldpuppymax

“Colorado is 87% white.”

US Census Bureau says white are 81%, Hispanics are 20%,
blacks 4%.

Why that adds up to 105% and there are still other groups shown as <1% you’ll have to ask the Census Bureau.


11 posted on 09/25/2016 9:48:25 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Ride To The S.ound Of The Guns.)
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To: Oldpuppymax
If you want a friend, get a dog.

If you want a president, vote Trump.

12 posted on 09/25/2016 9:52:28 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: Oldpuppymax

There’s only one poll that counts and it’s on November 8... unless George Soros can turn out a HUGE election fraud. It’s up to us to make any such fraud so obvious that it cannot stand!

VOTE!


13 posted on 09/25/2016 10:02:01 AM PDT by oldfart
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To: Oldpuppymax

If Vermont goes for trump, the election will be over in time to watch anything else by 9Pm.


14 posted on 09/25/2016 10:04:20 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: 9422WMR

If one star is the lowest rating available then one star is a zero.


15 posted on 09/25/2016 2:05:24 PM PDT by RipSawyer (Racism is racism, regardless of the race of the racist.)
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To: Oldpuppymax

The media seem obsessed with reporting the Clinton margin in college educated voters. The problem I see in that reporting is that the numbers of college educated voters are lower than the number of ‘Joe Sixpacks’ in the country.

And it appears that the Joe Six-Packs of the U.S. are riding to the sound of the guns with their welding torches and pitchforks in hand.


16 posted on 09/25/2016 3:05:12 PM PDT by wildbill (If you check behind the shower curtain for a slasher, and find one.... what's your plan?)
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To: Vermont Lt

Vermont would be amazing. Obama got more than 2/3 of the vote both times. The last time a Republican won was in 1988 (and that was by a narrow margin).


17 posted on 09/25/2016 6:40:17 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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