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Hurricane Dean approaching the Lesser Antilles
NOAA ^ | 2007-08-12 | (mariner's 1-2-3 rule chart)

Posted on 08/12/2007 3:11:05 AM PDT by Clive

This chart will automatically update periodically.


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: 07cyclone; predictions; tsdean; yaaargh
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To: All
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1:

000
WTNT34 KNHC 131454
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 13 2007

...FOURTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.6 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES...840 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 2000 MILES...3220 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...12.0 N...31.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

41 posted on 08/13/2007 9:13:16 AM PDT by Clive
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...
Florida Freeper

Sorry to have been out of touch of late -- just bought a new house and am in the process of moving...
42 posted on 08/13/2007 9:32:36 AM PDT by Joe Brower (Sheep have three speeds: "graze", "stampede" and "cower".)
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To: jsh3180

Hi, where is the link for that model. Thnx


43 posted on 08/13/2007 9:54:29 AM PDT by italianquaker (Obamas "spiritual advisor" , ." On the Sunday after the attacks, Dr. Wright blamed America.)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

I was just looking at the same image. A commenter in south FL said TD4 is the lead news story there.


44 posted on 08/13/2007 10:08:52 AM PDT by lainie
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To: Joe Brower

Congrats, Joe. ltns


45 posted on 08/13/2007 10:09:21 AM PDT by lainie
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To: Caipirabob

Great. School starts this week. I’m just a little too busy to have a hurricane!
susie


46 posted on 08/13/2007 10:46:34 AM PDT by brytlea (amnesty--an act of clemency by an authority by which pardon is granted esp. to a group of individual)
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To: Clive

Thanks for the ping.


47 posted on 08/13/2007 11:42:21 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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To: Clive

48 posted on 08/13/2007 11:53:36 AM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
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To: Happy Valley Dude
Not to wish harm on anybody here but....

We in the S/E US would probably like the critter to beat itself half to death on Dom Rep and Cuba and then sweep up the eastern seaboard as a tropical low dropping a bunch of rain - but not too much wind.

Grass here in the Carolinas is getting a bit pale green and crunchy.

49 posted on 08/13/2007 12:44:30 PM PDT by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: NautiNurse; WorkerbeeCitizen; Guenevere

nautinurse handles the tropical storm/hurricane ping list


50 posted on 08/13/2007 1:00:32 PM PDT by tutstar (Baptist Ping list - freepmail me to get on or off.)
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To: Rb ver. 2.0

ROFL...very good! and another ditto on getting a break from the heat.


51 posted on 08/13/2007 1:06:00 PM PDT by tutstar (Baptist Ping list - freepmail me to get on or off.)
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To: All

Does anyone know what they’ll name this one? There’s one in the Pacific now named Flossie.


52 posted on 08/13/2007 1:11:27 PM PDT by Aquamarine
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To: tutstar

TY


53 posted on 08/13/2007 1:26:01 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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To: Happy Valley Dude
YIPES!...That path beats it right to my door!
54 posted on 08/13/2007 1:54:22 PM PDT by Guenevere (Duncan Hunter for President 2008!!!)
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To: Aquamarine

The name will be Dean.


55 posted on 08/13/2007 2:56:58 PM PDT by Clive
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To: Clive
000
WTNT34 KNHC 132043
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
500 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2007

...DEPRESSION CONTINUES RACING WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.1 WEST OR ABOUT 620 MILES...995 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1900 MILES...3060 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...11.9 N...33.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

56 posted on 08/13/2007 3:02:09 PM PDT by Clive
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To: Happy Valley Dude; abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
TD 4 is waaaay out in the Atlantic, and there's a low
pressure system just off the Yucatan Peninsula with
South Texas in its cone of uncertainty.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

57 posted on 08/13/2007 3:04:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Action speaks louder than words but not nearly as often.)
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To: NautiNurse

Here we go! Hi Nauti!


58 posted on 08/13/2007 3:07:58 PM PDT by tiredoflaundry (Bill O'Reilly is a pinhead.)
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To: NautiNurse
NautiNurse said:
"TD 4 is waaaay out in the Atlantic, and there's a low pressure system just off the Yucatan Peninsula with South Texas in its cone of uncertainty."

I started this thread on that one:

Tropical Cyclone Formation possible within the next 48 hours [Yucatan Channel]

But the shaded risk area that was off Yucatan now seems to have disappeared off the mariner's 1-2-3 rule chart.

59 posted on 08/13/2007 3:11:30 PM PDT by Clive
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To: NautiNurse

Wow..

Thanks for diggin’ up the old ping list NN....


60 posted on 08/13/2007 3:11:50 PM PDT by Uncle Ike (We has met the enemy, and he is us........)
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