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Tropical Storm Dolly
NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 July 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 07/20/2008 8:36:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Newly formed Tropical Storm Dolly over the NW Caribbean Sea near 18.4N 84.2W. 1008 MB at 11AM this morning. Max sustained winds 40KT, gusts 50KT, moving NW at 15KT.

Caribbean Buoys

Wunderground Tropical Updates

Visible Satellite image

Infrared Sat Loop


TOPICS: Front Page News
KEYWORDS: dolly; hurricane; tropical
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701 posted on 07/23/2008 12:19:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: RGVTx

Is your local news online?Glad you are safe.


702 posted on 07/23/2008 12:25:44 PM PDT by fatima
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To: RGVTx

Me too. You have some bad stuff coming. We are getting pounded. The rain is still coming from the north. bbl. Take care.


703 posted on 07/23/2008 12:31:02 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: dirtboy
"Granted, those are weaker sectors, but a few hours of 50-80 mph winds can wreak a fair amount of havoc."

Yup. They'll likely be the ones who say, "We got beat-up a lot more than was reported."

704 posted on 07/23/2008 12:31:51 PM PDT by blam
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To: fatima
Live Blogger from S. Padre Island


705 posted on 07/23/2008 12:32:01 PM PDT by They'reGone2000 (And I DON'T want to have to change my name to They'reBack2008!)
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To: They'reGone2000

Great-thanks They’reGone2000:)


706 posted on 07/23/2008 12:35:38 PM PDT by fatima
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To: They'reGone2000

707 posted on 07/23/2008 12:38:53 PM PDT by blam
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To: fatima

Here is a link to local news chanel 5.
http://web.live.weatherbug.com/StormCentral/1/StormCentral.aspx?no_cookie_zip=78577&no_cookie_stat=PHRTX&no_cookie_world_stat=&zcode=z4766&lid=NAV9

It’s getting radical out there and looks like it’s going to get worse.

Just had another tree go down. Lucked out again with it doing no damage.

Spoke with a freind on the north side of town. She reports many trees down in her neighborhood with one falling on a car. She is without power.


708 posted on 07/23/2008 12:48:10 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: RGVTx

Thanks RGVTx,they are showing nothing on major stations-up close and personal.I pray this will be over for all of you soon.


709 posted on 07/23/2008 12:51:15 PM PDT by fatima
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To: RGVTx

Local news reporting 53 mph sustained winds with gusts to 75 in Harlingen. Brownsville with 44 mph sustained winds.


710 posted on 07/23/2008 12:58:27 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: steveegg

Not yet, there have been some that were though. Of course, it’s not over either. LOL


711 posted on 07/23/2008 1:17:30 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: RGVTx

I expect to lose power soon becaue we have a tree top laying across our power line near the transformer.
It will be a miricle if it doesn’t take the line down.
Dish just blinked.
Wind is blowing hard.
Can hear things hitting the roof.
Wish us luck!!


712 posted on 07/23/2008 1:20:46 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: steveegg
Hurricane Buelah (1967) spawned 141 according to one study.

NHC

713 posted on 07/23/2008 1:24:16 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: RGVTx

Here’s luck and of course, prayers.


714 posted on 07/23/2008 1:25:17 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: RGVTx

Good luck from Mission! Waiting...


715 posted on 07/23/2008 1:27:55 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (I didn't leave the republicans, they left me.)
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To: RGVTx

Keeping you in our prayers. Thanks for checking in here.


716 posted on 07/23/2008 1:28:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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Statement as of 4:00 PM CDT on July 23, 2008

...Dolly continues to weaken as it moves farther inland...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the coast of Texas from
Brownsville to just south of Baffin Bay...and for the northeastern
coast of Mexico from Rio San Fernando northward to the border
between Mexico and the United States. Preparations to protect life
and property should have been completed.

At 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...the Hurricane Warning from Baffin Bay
northward to Corpus Christi has been replaced by a Tropical Storm
Warning. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Baffin Bay
to Port O’Connor.

At 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...the Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane
Watch from La Pesca to south of Rio San Fernando have been
discontinued.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 400 PM CDT...2100z...the eye of Hurricane Dolly was located
near latitude 26.6 north...longitude 97.6 west or about 50 miles...
80 km...north of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr. A
gradual turn to the west-northwest and west is expected during the
next day or so. This will bring Dolly farther inland over souther
Texas.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph...140
km/hr...with higher gusts. Dolly is a category one hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Further weakening is forecast during the
next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140
miles...220 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb...28.64 inches.

Dolly is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12
inches...with isolated amounts of 20 inches...over portions of
south Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days.
These rains will likely cause widespread flooding across portions
of south Texas and northeast Mexico.

Coastal storm surge flooding up to 6 to 8 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves will
continue for the next few hours in areas of onshore flow but will
subside later tonight.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of south Texas today
and tonight.

Repeating the 400 PM CDT position...26.6 N...97.6 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...85 mph.
Minimum central pressure...970 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 700 PM CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1000
PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila


717 posted on 07/23/2008 1:45:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

Seven big trees down and counting.
Last one just missed my car parked in a carport.
I think most of the west and north sides of my home are lined with fallen trees.
Power keeps flashing, but still have power for the most part.

Guess I won’t be baking ribs tonight in my electric oven.
Going to plan 2, hamburgers skillet cooked on the little propane one burner stove.

Thanks to everyone for your thoughts and prayers.
Prayers for all my fellow Valley FReepers.


718 posted on 07/23/2008 2:08:20 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: RGVTx

Good luck from a former RGV resident.


719 posted on 07/23/2008 2:17:28 PM PDT by Eaker (The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule. (H.)
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To: Eaker

Thanks, Eaker.

Tree #8 went down on the southeast side of our home. We are nearly surrounded with downed trees. Wind seems to be changing, variable but mostly coming from the southwest now. Still blowing hard.
Trees 9 and 10 just went down. Power is still flckering...amazing to me.


720 posted on 07/23/2008 2:34:27 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: RGVTx

We’re praying for you as well as family I have there in LaFeria and Mission.

The Eye of the Storm: Pictures from Dolly (6 Galleries)
http://www.themonitor.com/articles/dolly_14969___article.html/pictures_storm.html


721 posted on 07/23/2008 2:42:26 PM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: RGVTx

The eye looks like it has gotten stuck.


722 posted on 07/23/2008 2:44:36 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: RGVTx

That’s a lot of trees. As long as they keep missing,....


723 posted on 07/23/2008 2:50:29 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: SouthTexas

Now that’s a lot of twisters.


724 posted on 07/23/2008 2:51:06 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: Liberty Valance

Great shots.

The Guard was southbound thorugh here about noon.


725 posted on 07/23/2008 2:52:50 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: steveegg

Ones like those are what I grew up with.


726 posted on 07/23/2008 2:54:19 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: SouthTexas; All

Power is gone for good now.
Shutting down to save my battery.
Will check in later.
Massive damage across the valley last I heard.
Wind is still blasting.
Tree 11 just went down.
Still no damage to home...that we know.


727 posted on 07/23/2008 2:57:47 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: RGVTx

All of you are in my prayers.


728 posted on 07/23/2008 3:01:55 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: RGVTx

Praying for you too. I tried to open the door awhile ago to check the roof. It almost blew me down. I have a generator but can’t crank it until this is gone. I have added outside generator house to the list. That and an external lap top battery. Signing off again.


729 posted on 07/23/2008 3:09:20 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: RGVTx; SouthTexas; All

You guys have been hammered over 12 hours and the damn eye still ain’t moving, is there going to be anything left down there? Don’t know whats holding dolly back but she is stil maintaining circulation and formidable eye, hope it don’t pop back into the gulf.


730 posted on 07/23/2008 3:11:12 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker
You guys have been hammered over 12 hours and the damn eye still ain’t moving, is there going to be anything left down there?

And the odd thing looking at the radar is that the western and southern edges of the eyewall have looked worse than the normal 'dirty side' of the northern and eastern eyewall. The northern part of the eyewall has largely been open since landfall. But there is a thick eyewall to the south that has spent a long time over South Padre, Port Isabel and Harlingen. That gives a lot of time for a lot of rain to come down and weaken the tree roots so that shifting winds eventually take them down.

731 posted on 07/23/2008 3:17:30 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

CC got all that on the dirty side but I am afraid there has been some extensive dammage down there. Alicia did the same thing in ‘83, destroyed a highway and they never did build it back, I loved to travel that road between High Island and Port Aurthur.


732 posted on 07/23/2008 3:22:51 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker

I’m above it, most of it anyway.


733 posted on 07/23/2008 3:24:18 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: RGVTx

Oh my! We really appreciate your updates. Please know we are praying for you through this terrible time. I know how it is to live one hot meal at a time during these storms.


734 posted on 07/23/2008 3:46:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: CindyDawg

Appreciate your additional suggestions for the slow creeping storm preparation. The persistent winds seriously wear property (and nerves) down.


735 posted on 07/23/2008 3:58:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: CindyDawg

Instead of an external lap top battery, keep a 12 volt car battery on a trickle charger and keep a 500 watt AC inverter handy, you will be able to use your laptop for several hours.


736 posted on 07/23/2008 4:04:19 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker

Thanks. I didn’t think of that. I have one in the car for the kid’s games.


737 posted on 07/23/2008 4:08:20 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse; CindyDawg; RGVTx

Amen to that. We’re on generators here in the upper valley, they’re saying the worse is about two hours out.
Over and out for a while.

Everyone take care. Prayers up for you guys in the lower Valley.


738 posted on 07/23/2008 4:08:37 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: NautiNurse

Strangest storm I have ever gone thru. No eye but it is still blowing like it just come in. Got the generator going at least.


739 posted on 07/23/2008 4:13:55 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Pebcak; All

Looks like the eye is finaly on the move inland, lets hope it speeds up and moves out.


740 posted on 07/23/2008 4:15:27 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: CindyDawg

There is still an eye, finaly started moving inland.


741 posted on 07/23/2008 4:16:57 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker

Yeah. I just meant we haven’t had a break to go out and check stuff.


742 posted on 07/23/2008 4:18:36 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Be very careful if you do get a break in the weather.


743 posted on 07/23/2008 4:30:39 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: CindyDawg

The past several radar loops show some real westward movement. Here’s hoping Dolly marches on out of there. Enough is enough already.


744 posted on 07/23/2008 4:30:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: RGVTx

The eye is directly over Raymondville and US-77 now.


745 posted on 07/23/2008 4:37:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: eastforker; CindyDawg

And when the spare one drains, you can start your truck, switch out the batteries and let your truck charge your drained one, infinitely.


746 posted on 07/23/2008 4:41:35 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: RGVTx; CindyDawg

747 posted on 07/23/2008 4:47:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on July 23, 2008

...Heavy rains and strong winds continue over south Texas...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the coast of Texas from
Brownsville to just south of Baffin Bay...and for the northeastern
coast of Mexico from Rio San Fernando northward to the border
between Mexico and the United States.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Baffin Bay
to Port O’Connor.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 700 PM CDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Dolly was located
inland over extreme south Texas near latitude 26.6 north...longitude
98.0 west or about 60 miles...95 km...northwest of Brownsville
Texas.

Dolly is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph...16 km/hr.
This general motion is expected to continue tonight...taking Dolly
farther inland over south Texas. A turn to the west is expected by
late tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts. Dolly is a category one hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Dolly is expected to weaken to a tropical
storm later tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140
miles...220 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb...28.82 inches.

Dolly is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12
inches...with isolated amounts of 20 inches...over portions of
south Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days.
These rains will likely cause widespread flooding across portions
of south Texas and northeast Mexico.

Coastal storm surge flooding up to 6 to 8 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves will
continue for the next few hours in areas of onshore flow but will
subside later tonight.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of south Texas today
and tonight.

Repeating the 700 PM CDT position...26.6 N...98.0 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds...75
mph. Minimum central pressure...976 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Franklin


748 posted on 07/23/2008 4:48:43 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse
EWRC complete.

Uuuuhhhhhhh, over land.

749 posted on 07/23/2008 5:11:10 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: txflake

Pardon my stupidity, but I didn’t know that was possible over land. Wow!


750 posted on 07/23/2008 5:15:00 PM PDT by rdl6989 ( I'm a carbon based human being, a Carbonated-American)
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