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Tropical Storm Dolly
NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 July 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 07/20/2008 8:36:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Newly formed Tropical Storm Dolly over the NW Caribbean Sea near 18.4N 84.2W. 1008 MB at 11AM this morning. Max sustained winds 40KT, gusts 50KT, moving NW at 15KT.

Caribbean Buoys

Wunderground Tropical Updates

Visible Satellite image

Infrared Sat Loop


TOPICS: Front Page News
KEYWORDS: dolly; hurricane; tropical
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To: rdl6989
The infrared loop (link here) is even more impressive. It shows the eye break apart and then reform.
751 posted on 07/23/2008 5:19:58 PM PDT by twntaipan (Dump the Drill-nothing Democrats: Lower fuel costs in the process!)
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To: txflake

Wow,look at that.


752 posted on 07/23/2008 5:28:52 PM PDT by fatima
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To: eastforker; All
I'm listening to KURV 710 am. They're saying Edinburg is fixin to catch it with the edge of the western eyewall.
I think Dolly is crawling due west. We're already catching it here with about 60 mph with higher gusts. Guess it's going to get even worse.

In other news, in delirious pleasure, the hurricane dog jumped in the pool for a swim. I guess she approves.

Heads up - upper valley, prays for everyone, on both sides.
But enough already.

753 posted on 07/23/2008 6:16:08 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: txflake

754 posted on 07/23/2008 6:44:40 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: txflake

I can’t believe I didn’t think about that:’)


755 posted on 07/23/2008 7:41:26 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on July 23, 2008

...Dolly weakens to a tropical storm but heavy rains continue...

At 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...all hurricane warnings along the coasts of
Texas and Mexico have been discontinued.

At 10 PM CDT...a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from
Brownsville to Port Aransas Texas. Coastal tropical storm warnings
elsewhere are discontinued.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 1000 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was
located near latitude 26.5 north...longitude 98.1 west or about 55
miles... 90 km...northwest of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly is moving toward the west near 7 mph...11 km/hr. A turn back
to the west-northwest is expected tomorrow with a slight increase
in forward speed until the system dissipates on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dolly is expected to continue weakening as it moves further
inland...and Dolly could become a tropical depression by late
tomorrow.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles...185 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb...28.97 inches.

Dolly is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12
inches...with isolated amounts of 20 inches...over portions of
south Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days...causing
widespread flooding in these areas.

Coastal storm surge flooding will subside tonight.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of south Texas today
and tonight.

Repeating the 1000 PM CDT position...26.5 N...98.1 W. Movement
toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70 mph.
Minimum central pressure...981 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 100 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 400
am CDT.

$$
Forecaster Franklin


756 posted on 07/23/2008 7:42:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on July 23, 2008

the eye remains very well defined in the Brownsville radar although
it is becoming less distinct in infrared imagery. The radar is
showing some inbound velocities of up to 78 kt or so at about 2900
ft. This would normally correspond to minimal hurricane force at
the surface over water...but not over land...and Dolly is
downgraded to a tropical storm on this basis. Continued weakening
is forecast in accord with the decay SHIPS model...with Dolly
expected to dissipate over higher terrain in 36-48 hours.

The initial motion is 280/6. The large scale models show the
mid-level ridge to the north of the tropical cyclone sliding
eastward a little bit...turning Dolly back to a west-northwesterly
heading. The official forecast is close to the previous advisory
and near the middle of the guidance envelope.

Even as the winds subside...Dolly continues to produce very heavy
rains and the associated significant flooding threats will continue
for another day or two.

Forecast positions and Max winds

initial 24/0300z 26.5n 98.1w 60 kt
12hr VT 24/1200z 26.8n 99.0w 40 kt...inland
24hr VT 25/0000z 27.6n 100.8w 30 kt...inland
36hr VT 25/1200z 28.2n 103.2w 20 kt...remnant low
48hr VT 26/0000z...dissipated

$$
forecaster Franklin


757 posted on 07/23/2008 7:42:34 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

Farm land. Cotton.If the farmers didn’t loose their crops 2 weeks ago I guess they are gone now.


758 posted on 07/23/2008 7:45:48 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Slow moving Dolly downgraded to Tropical Storm status...
continues to produce very heavy rains and the associated
significant flooding threats will continue for another day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph..moving toward the
west near 7 mph...Tropical storm force winds extend outward
up to 115 miles from the center.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

759 posted on 07/23/2008 7:50:42 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: CindyDawg
Glad you are safe and still able to check in!

:o)

760 posted on 07/23/2008 7:51:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks. The lights came on about an hour ago. Very little water pressure yet. Hard to see at night but I fared better than a lot of others.


761 posted on 07/23/2008 7:54:20 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse

She is slow ain’t she

She came on shore at 2:00ish and the eye was over Raymondville at 8:00ish Raymondville isn’t that far from the coast.


762 posted on 07/23/2008 7:55:49 PM PDT by Rightly Biased (Courage is not the lack of fear it is acting in spite of it<><)
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To: CindyDawg

I hope you get a good night’s rest, and the clean up will begin tomorrow. Please let us know if there is anything we can do to assist.


763 posted on 07/23/2008 7:55:56 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Rightly Biased
She is slow ain’t she

Excruciatingly s l o w...

764 posted on 07/23/2008 7:57:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: CindyDawg; Pebcak; NautiNurse; All

Glad your lights are back on, CindyDawg. Weather channel reported downtown in a town I don’t remember it’s name - flooded bigtime. Are you on the outskirts of a town - in rural Texas? High ground, I hope?

Thoughts and prayers to all in Dolly’s path. LIved through heavy rain producers Hurricanes Fran and Floyd some years ago. Lost 1 tree in each. Mega tree/home destruction from Fran. Those winds about drove me crazeee. So I feel for all who are experiencing the effects of this storm.

Hope some of the benefit *needed rain...came but know the destruction is there too.

Take care all!


765 posted on 07/23/2008 8:19:39 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt (Tony Snow founnd out - to live is Christ, to die is gain....Thanks be to God for Tony's life!)
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To: CindyDawg

Glad you’re safe and have lights again.

Don’t you have enough water outside?


766 posted on 07/23/2008 8:27:17 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt

Fran alumnus here too. Taught me a lot about hurricane preparation, and what ‘possums do when trees rest on the rafters too long.


767 posted on 07/23/2008 10:23:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
Thank you, and thanks all. I officially declare this storm insane.
768 posted on 07/23/2008 11:08:10 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: NautiNurse

I sure hope we don’t get one like this (or worse) in Florida. Looks quite nasty.


769 posted on 07/24/2008 12:36:13 AM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (Obama "King of Kings and Lord of Lords")
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To: CindyDawg
glad you're on line ... hope you and yours are high and dry ... Dolly was an unwelcome guest who clearly didn't know when it was time to leave

.

770 posted on 07/24/2008 12:38:11 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Pebcak; NautiNurse; CindyDawg
I officially declare this storm insane.

LOL! Hubby said the wind howled here until 5 AM. I turned on the fan last night and didn't hear a thing all night.

Glad to hear your power is back up CD, I'm thankful we didn't lose it here.

Thanks for all the pings NN.

771 posted on 07/24/2008 5:03:18 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (I didn't leave the republicans, they left me.)
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Statement as of 7:00 am CDT on July 24, 2008

...Dolly producing heavy rains over deep south Texas...

a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the Texas coast
from Brownsville to Port Aransas. This warning will likely be
discontinued later this morning.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 700 am CDT...1200z...the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was
located inland Texas near latitude 27.2 north...longitude 98.9 west
or about 50 miles...80 km...east-southeast of Laredo.

Dolly is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph...11 km/hr. A
continued motion toward the west-northwest is expected during the
next day or so...with a slight increase in forward speed until the
system dissipates on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph...80 km/hr...
with higher gusts. Dolly is expected to weaken as it moves farther
inland...and it is expected to become a tropical depression later
today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb...29.38 inches.

Dolly is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12
inches...with isolated amounts of 20 inches...over portions of
south Texas and northeastern Mexico. These rains are very likely to
cause widespread flooding.

Repeating the 700 am CDT position...27.2 N...98.9 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...50
mph. Minimum central pressure...995 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1000 am CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila


772 posted on 07/24/2008 5:05:32 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

Frances is a persistent wench. Reminds me a bit of elephantine Hurricane Frances in 2004.


773 posted on 07/24/2008 5:26:41 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: prairiebreeze

Glad to hear you are safe, internet connected, and well rested!


774 posted on 07/24/2008 5:28:10 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Pebcak; All

Morning yall. Looks like Harlingen and 83 towns flooded big time. I’m closest to the water but had less damage than my kids who live in West Brownsville. Yuk. What a mess outside. Just waiting for the Texas squeeters now:’)


775 posted on 07/24/2008 5:34:06 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse

Thursday bump


776 posted on 07/24/2008 5:45:34 AM PDT by Deaf Smith
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To: CindyDawg
Thankful you are safe.

Eeesh...just read about the 17 year old boy who was blown from a 7th story balcony on SPI. He couldn't be transported during the storm.

Valley Morning Star

777 posted on 07/24/2008 6:19:23 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: CindyDawg

is the rain continuing or are you getting a break?


778 posted on 07/24/2008 7:24:46 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: NautiNurse

Poor kid. There was no way they could have flown him out though. Did you see the part about smugglers trying to get drugs thru? Not to hijack the thread but the border patrol has got to operate as usual. I could see situations like this used by terrorists.


779 posted on 07/24/2008 8:00:12 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: SouthTexas

We have a 100% chance of rain today but so far it’s been dry. Just a little breezy. We have some loose shingles and my fruit trees and big plants took a beating. The fence is up but leaning. Not much damage. 10-20 miles north is a different story though.


780 posted on 07/24/2008 8:03:52 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

#775. “highway 83 towns...not 83 towns”


781 posted on 07/24/2008 8:05:35 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Hopefully it will stay dry for a while and let everyone dig out.

Hang in there!


782 posted on 07/24/2008 8:12:19 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: SouthTexas

How are yall doing? I saw some nasty looking bands around CC.


783 posted on 07/24/2008 8:20:23 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Yes, was pleased to see the coverage reporting how hard the border patrol was working. I recall stories post Hurricane Andrew where a whole lot of immigrants received “replacement” green cards. In broken English, many said, “lost green card.” In those days, many permanent records were lost in the storm, including vaccination records, etc. It was a mess.


784 posted on 07/24/2008 8:25:08 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: CindyDawg

We’re fine. Other than a few momentary touchdowns from a little tornado here and there, damages are almost non-existant.

Not enough rain up here.


785 posted on 07/24/2008 8:43:37 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: CindyDawg; SouthTexas

Looks like the rain bands are coming up Hwy 77, then taking I-37 to San Antonio.


786 posted on 07/24/2008 10:59:21 AM PDT by SwinneySwitch (US Constitution Article 4 Section 4..shall protect each of them against Invasion...domestic Violence)
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To: SwinneySwitch

Yall need the rain?


787 posted on 07/24/2008 11:01:56 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg; All
Hey ya’ll. We're still out of power. Our roof vent doubled back on itself and lots shingles gone. Limbs from the front yard trees are in the back, and limbs from the back are in the front yard, but the trees are still here. Our neighbors lost trees and fences. All in all, we are very fortunate. No flooding up here.

I hear Harlingen really caught it. Anyone hear from RVGTx?
Cindy, I agree what a mess.

Goodbye, Dolly (the little turtle than would not leave.)

788 posted on 07/24/2008 11:11:37 AM PDT by Pebcak
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To: Pebcak; RGVTx

Anyone hear from RGVTx?

See #727


789 posted on 07/24/2008 11:28:54 AM PDT by SwinneySwitch (US Constitution Article 4 Section 4..shall protect each of them against Invasion...domestic Violence)
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To: SwinneySwitch

We could stand some more rain, sun is out at the moment.

Still pretty breezy.


790 posted on 07/24/2008 11:47:03 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: Pebcak
My posts aren't all going thru for some reason. I'm glad to hear you damages aren't too bad. It's hard to imagine how bad it is just a few miles away. My son said he saw on the news this morning that McAllen is having problems with looting. Have you hears anything about that?

I have lights but all but basic cable is out and my land modem keeps going in and out too. I work from home and I'm not allowed to use Wireless so I'm working when I can. I usually keep the tv on for company. I leave it on the home improvement channel. Today.....there is some weird stuff on tv now. Some talk show this morning with a guy with an accent and a "money" man. They were talking about Obama and how stocks would go up and the economy would be better so it really didn't matter about him raising taxes. I had to mute or scream. This afternoon...the soap operas...they can talk and do that stuff on tv now? Wow....and the commercials..is nothing private anymore?

791 posted on 07/24/2008 12:25:08 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse
Hard to believe but Mobile was affected by Dolly:

Dolly waves flood island beach

Mayor says berm protected other areas from hurricane's rough surf

Thursday, July 24, 2008
By KATHERINE SAYRE Staff Reporter

Dauphin Island closed the new west end public beach after waves related to Hurricane Dolly flooded the area, officials said Wednesday.

At Dauphin Island, about six inches of water covered the parking lot and recreational areas Wednesday afternoon at the public beach located at the western end of Bienville Boulevard.

792 posted on 07/24/2008 1:26:52 PM PDT by blam
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To: SwinneySwitch; All

RGVTx reporting in.
We survived with only tree damage. Some trees hit the house but only bent a bit of gutter. We are doing the limbo to get to and from our home. It was bad here. Didn’t think it was ever going to stop. Power just came back on in the last half hour. We are so thankful! Cell phone service is sporadic and my only means of internet connection. Dish TV is still working except all local channels are off air. I discovered it doesn’t matter if you have cable or dish neither work when the power goes out...LOL!

Going to try to catch up on the thread. Thanks to all who kept us in your thoughts and prayer.


793 posted on 07/24/2008 1:43:45 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: SwinneySwitch
Thanks Swinney, I'm still more than a little punchy.
Hope he's OK.
794 posted on 07/24/2008 1:45:40 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: RGVTx; CindyDawg
Ah RGVTx, there you are! Glad to hear from you.

CD, I don't know about looting, because we're still without power. One of our employee's made it up from Brownsville, he said they were in pretty good shape down there, but there was talk about the water rising from the drainage into the Rio.

Mercedes is underwater and the expressway is closed, I hear.

McAllen is pretty torn up, hubby has gone out for gas for the gens and said there was a lot of damage. It wouldn't surprise me if some fools were grabbing stuff.

All through the night we listened to KURV 710 am. They opened up the lines for people to exchange information, and it was inspiring to hear how positive people were. Also people were helping others, and that's always a nice thing to hear when things are so iffy.

There were some funny stories and some things that just made you mad. Someone around Mercedes said they were on top of their house, as the water was so high. The DJ got the emergency managers on the phone, and asked them to go help them. They said, “They should have thought of that and gone to a shelter. We don't go out in storms like this” Sheeeesh. Some kind soul got their boat out and retrieved them.

There was a guy in a motel room in the dark with no food or water. Even the vending machine wouldn't work because it took electricity. Poor guy, I hope he got some food.

The funniest one was a guy who suggested someone call the Air Force and drop a bomb on Dolly to see if they couldn't get it moving!

Who would have ever thought you could get such great entertainment for the price of three AA batteries?
Kudo’s to KURV. Everyone said they were a lifeline..and they were.

795 posted on 07/24/2008 2:06:27 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: Pebcak

Yeah..we are no Katrina. Life will be back to normal soon. Talk about funny.. I was watching from my covered porch. One of my neighbors decided to go to his mail box. He was wearing swimming goggles. Another had their garage open and a teenage boy was laying in the trunk , using the trunk door for an umbrella....oh well...they were probably watching me too... standing outside seeing how strong the wind was:’)


796 posted on 07/24/2008 2:37:25 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Pebcak
Just heard that one person in Matamores killed by a downed power line.
797 posted on 07/24/2008 3:08:43 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg
That's right, even though we are the sometimes maligned ‘border’ we're not the Katrina crowd.

Swim googles! Why didn't we think of that? We were trying to fill the gens at 3 am with one of us holding on to the house, and to each other. We couldn't see a thing. I'm so adding googles to the kit.

Even under the covered porch, we were still doing the Jim Cantore dance of derangement.

We're still without power. The CPL crews are out working like mad. 1/2 block away an entire big power pole went down and took the lines with it. They're trying to get the lines up now.

But, I see a line of storms coming in from the south, so it looks like here we go again. No hot bath tonight, I guess. :(

798 posted on 07/24/2008 3:24:36 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: CindyDawg

Darn it. Prayers for him and for his family. Really, also for all those guys on the ‘other side.’ They don’t have our resources nor the government response we do.


799 posted on 07/24/2008 3:28:13 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: Pebcak

You didn’t get the memo? No showers:’)


800 posted on 07/24/2008 3:34:43 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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