Skip to comments.TS Gustav & TS Hanna
Posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.
|Visible Satellite Image Loop
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|Buoy Data: Western Caribbean
FL and East GOM
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
A vast majority of storms do curve north and then northeast in the GOM. The pattern is not as favorable this go around for that to happen because of the high pressure position to the north. The jog north last night, probably partly caused by intensification probably makes it a bit harder to go into TX. The model consistency for LA has been something..
In general the EURO is the best model out there. That doesn’t make it right though..
Gustav must be a Nascar fan with all these models predicting a left turn.
nope, I must say that I am happy we are not leaving this weekend. Saves hotel rooms for evac needs, and gives us a chance to get woofie on a plane flight. He’s very excited about going to Grandma and Papa’s house and playing ball chase with his Auntie and Uncle Lacey and Toby...and giving kissies to his kitty Aunties.
Do you mean the PooperDome?
I hope he stays off the tv this time.
I think it is further east right now than it should have been... so maybe a track back closer to New Orleans is possible. Still wouldn’t expect the storm to move due north or northeast prior to landfall.
Thanks for the analysis. Very helpful.
“They” said that they super dome will not be open for evacuees this time around....
If you will read his current blog you will notice that I am not the only one to take him to task on that admonition and description about New Orleans; he essentially apologizes for stepping out of his proper role.
He presents as a professional weather analyst not as a pundit, sociologist, economics expert or politician.
So far he has been very accurate in his storm assesment on Gustav especially the significance and importance of the loop current influence but he should stick to the facts and stay out of the do-gooder kitchen.
Beautiful stadium effect on the eye now as it nears the Isle of Youth.
“There are people annoyed?”
Yeah. Apparently there are some with the “womans’ place is in the home/kitchen attitude”...sickening...
Mandatory evacs in S Louisiana parishes.
WWL TV (NOLA) live streaming newscast
Many thanks for the valuable links. This routine is all to familiar. One difference this time is mandatory evacuation with 48 hours before anticipated landfall.
Most of the annoyance I've seen is from disappointed Mitt-heads.
My wife and daughter are supposed to go to a marine biology "camp" on the Gulf the week after next. I hope that all of these turn out to be big disappointments to the cheerleading media.
the 2pm advisory should bring Gustav close to if not cat 4 strength. seeing 127kt flight level winds now.
wow, now 141kt flight level.
Chocolate Mayor to have presser momentarily.
This will be one of the most political hurricanes ever.
The politicians will be tripping over each other to use this hurricane to promote themselves or their party.
My prayers to all those in the path of this hurricane.
Map of projected target area.
Just saw this on another forum...
HURRICANE GUSTAV TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
120 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
GUSTAV HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM WINDS
NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES GUSTAV AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT ABOUT 200 PM
EDT TO MODIFY THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES. THE SPECIAL
PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL TAKE THE PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC
ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED FOR THAT TIME.
Could you update the headline to Category 4?
Sorry, didn’t mean to step on your toes here. I just asked the admin to update the title to Cat 4. I hope that is acceptable to you.
I did the same. Thanks.
....... Prayers for those in the path.........
Chocolate Mayor presser ongoing at this time. Discussing curfews, etc.
Thanks for the ping and all of your hard work on the hurricane threads. Prayers for all of you in Gustav’s path.
I woke up with a headache this morning, usually means a change in weather. It’ supposed to be windy too, gusts up to 30, and we’re on the Atlantic coast of FL!
Header updated. 145 mph? Yeesh.
Not good. Model runs at 2PM EDT correct? Say hello to $5/gal gas. Fill those tanks up folks!!!
The Isle of Youth and West Cuba are in trouble.
I was hoping this was not going to go this way.
And right now I’m listening to the great Ray Nagin who is barely cognizent of the details of the preparation.
Thought you were going to the Fair? What are you doing online still?
Gosh, better see how my nephew in Galveston is doing. And, I forgot but my niece is in NO, back at college. Sheesh, wonder if she’s evacuated yet?
Nagin saying “now is the time to start shutting the tourist activity down.”
Seems a touch late to me, considering what the models were saying Thursday.
Harrod’s Casino shutting down at 4? How about shutting it down at 2?
Do you mean the fact he wasn't aware of special needs, including wheelchairs for evacuation? Fortunately, a mature adult took over the microphone. Nagin was grinning like the fool that he is.
BREAKING NEWS: City of New Orleans.
Nagin to tourists: It’s time for you to go
Nagin - Mandatory evacuation likely to be called later today
Nagin: Strongly encourages everyone to evacuate now.
No need to register any longer for bus service, just go to pickup points.
Does America's Chocolate Mayor have drivers for his busses this time?
It’s quite evident there is a much more intense sense of urgency compared to three years ago among those who must make everything work.
There’s nothing like a little flash of Hell (Katrina) to make folks behave differently.
Fair didn’t open until noon. We are leaving in 15 min.
Fried, chocolate dipped bacon, here I come!!! No...seriously, I do the fried cheddar cheese, and that’s about it. Tried fried choco dipped cheesecake at Rabbit Fest back in May...couldn’t finish it...
Smoked Turkey Legs, that’s another story. nom nom nom
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