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The obama is toast thread, how many states will he carry?
today | self

Posted on 09/09/2008 9:18:35 PM PDT by Snurple

Obama is going to get beat, I have no doubt about it but just how bad. How many states will obummmer carry?


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: obamabiden
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1 posted on 09/09/2008 9:18:36 PM PDT by Snurple
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To: Snurple

It all depends on the number of verbal gaffes he and Plugs shall make between now and election day.


2 posted on 09/09/2008 9:19:45 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: Snurple

Don’t get cocky. We have a LONG run and 3 debates before the election.


3 posted on 09/09/2008 9:19:45 PM PDT by flyfree (Biden is no Palin and Obama is no McCain)
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To: Snurple

My bet is 8.


4 posted on 09/09/2008 9:20:06 PM PDT by Snurple (VEGETARIAN, OLD INDIAN WORD FOR BAD HUNTER.)
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To: Snurple

ZerO


5 posted on 09/09/2008 9:20:08 PM PDT by narses (...the spirit of Trent is abroad once more.)
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To: Snurple
Obama Says A Baby Is A Punishment
Obama: “If they make a mistake, I don’t want them punished with a baby.”

6 posted on 09/09/2008 9:20:24 PM PDT by narses (...the spirit of Trent is abroad once more.)
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To: Snurple

I wouldn’t say Obama is toast, he’s still got at least a 50/50 chance to win, sadly.

I figure Obama wins the entire NE, Mid-Atlantic states, Illinois, Minnesota, Iowa, California, Oregon, Washington and Hawai’i. He then has good chance of taking Nevada and New Mexico. Toss-ups are Virginia, Michigan, PA, Colorado, Wisconsin, Virginia and Ohio.


7 posted on 09/09/2008 9:21:36 PM PDT by StAthanasiustheGreat (Vocatus Atque Non Vocatus Deus Aderit)
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To: Snurple

51 through 57.


8 posted on 09/09/2008 9:21:50 PM PDT by TheWasteLand
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To: Snurple

I can see MN going ‘pubbie!
Al Franken does not make the big ‘o’ look good...


9 posted on 09/09/2008 9:22:11 PM PDT by astyanax (If you need to wear a mask when speaking your mind, it is probably best you remain silent...)
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To: Snurple
He'll carry 10-12 states, if he keeps bailing.


10 posted on 09/09/2008 9:23:02 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Snurple

We’ve got a long ways to go. But at this point, I think it’s just going to be about clock management for McCain. The old Dean Smith four corners offense to run out the clock.

He essentially went on a 19-0 run in the last two weeks and leads Obama 70-53 with a quarter left in the game still to play.

I think the margins will be similar to Bush-Kerry in 2004 with the same states in the electoral column save for McCain maybe picking up one of either Wi, MN, Pa or MI.


11 posted on 09/09/2008 9:23:17 PM PDT by SteveAustin
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To: StAthanasiustheGreat
I hope he becomes toast. He may be on his way.

As of today, this election could go either way though.

12 posted on 09/09/2008 9:23:35 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: Snurple

The landslide scenario:

Massachusetts, California, Rhode Island, New York, Maryland, Connecticut, DC , Vermont...that’s it.

Biden doesn’t carry his home state.


13 posted on 09/09/2008 9:24:10 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Snurple

we still have a long way to go. the MSM can do a lot of damage between now and election day.

get ready for the all-out-assault by the campaign and the media.


14 posted on 09/09/2008 9:24:27 PM PDT by zwerni (*** PALIN/mccain 2008 ***)
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To: TheWasteLand

LOL


15 posted on 09/09/2008 9:24:27 PM PDT by Snurple (VEGETARIAN, OLD INDIAN WORD FOR BAD HUNTER.)
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To: Snurple

He won’t carry Kansas thats for sure.


16 posted on 09/09/2008 9:25:05 PM PDT by guitarplayer1953 (Psalm 83:1-8 is on the horizon.)
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To: dead

Oh, man. You don’t want to know where my mind went the second I saw that pic.


17 posted on 09/09/2008 9:25:05 PM PDT by CE2949BB (McCain/Palin 08)
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To: Red Steel

And Illionis.


18 posted on 09/09/2008 9:25:47 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: TheWasteLand
51 through 57.
Too funny!
19 posted on 09/09/2008 9:25:57 PM PDT by astyanax (If you need to wear a mask when speaking your mind, it is probably best you remain silent...)
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To: Snurple

Long ago a fellow FReeper predicted, “he won’t get 10 states”.

Sounds good to me.


20 posted on 09/09/2008 9:26:12 PM PDT by zeebee
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To: SteveAustin
it’s just going to be about clock management for McCain. The old Dean Smith four corners offense to run out the clock.

Glad you brought that up. Remember the 1977 NCAA final where Dean Smith slowed down to Four Corners too early and stole his own momentum away, giving away the game.

21 posted on 09/09/2008 9:26:47 PM PDT by krb (If you're not outraged, people probably like having you around.)
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To: Snurple

Zero! No, fifty!

WAY too early for this kind of thread.


22 posted on 09/09/2008 9:27:52 PM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: Snurple

Dude, I wish I had your optimism, but there are a LOT of dumb Americans, out there...

Don’t get me wrong, it seems the wheels are really starting to come off Obama’s Campaign now, but the liberal-media will do whatever they can to put this jerk in office!

Then again, if Barry keeps inserting his foot in his mouth, like he did tonight, then it may indeed be a LANDSLIDE!!!

Why the heck SHOULDN’T it be a landslide??? Palin at the BOTTOM of the ticket has more qualifications, than Obama at the TOP of the DEM ticket!!!
Wake up America!!!!!


23 posted on 09/09/2008 9:28:15 PM PDT by youshouldknowthetruth (http://mccainpalinvictory08.blogspot.com/)
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To: Red Steel

Not even sure about New York — he wins the city and the Upstate voters turn out in droves to elect McCain/Palin. Upstate NY was Hillary country not Obama country for the Dems.


24 posted on 09/09/2008 9:29:30 PM PDT by PhiKapMom ( VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN2008! McCainNow.com; LetsGetThisRight.com)
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To: SteveAustin
Going to Four Corners too early

If not for coach Dean Smith's ill-advised decision to go to the Four Corners with 13:48 to go in the game, Carolina might have won.

As long as we are doing basketball analogies, let's be complete :-)

25 posted on 09/09/2008 9:29:30 PM PDT by krb (If you're not outraged, people probably like having you around.)
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To: Petronski

I’ll wager 10 on “What’s 11?” Alex!


26 posted on 09/09/2008 9:29:43 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: Red Steel

If there is a God he only carries New York, California and the District of Columbia. If not, he’ll also carry Illinois and Delaware. Let’s not be over-confident here. Sarah is under attack. There are swarms of vermin going through garbage cans and city dumbs looking for filth. They mean to utterly destroy this jewel. She needs us and we need her.


27 posted on 09/09/2008 9:31:03 PM PDT by donaldo
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To: guitarplayer1953

Obama won’t carry Oklahoma either — he is now down by 38 points in the latest TV poll in Oklahoma. He opened two offices in Oklahoma which I could never figure out why — he never stood a chance here.

The Dem Rice challenging Senator Inhofe is down by about the same amount so we will return Senator Inhofe to the Senate.


28 posted on 09/09/2008 9:32:25 PM PDT by PhiKapMom ( VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN2008! McCainNow.com; LetsGetThisRight.com)
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To: comebacknewt
Since it is a feel-good thread, if it turns in to a McCain electoral landslide, Obambi would only take:

California
Hawaii
Illinois
DC
Maryland
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
New York
Vermont
Delaware

Final tally: McCain - 385, Obama - 153.

29 posted on 09/09/2008 9:33:48 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: donaldo
Let’s not be over-confident here.

Nope. Just one of many possibilities.

30 posted on 09/09/2008 9:34:01 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: TheWasteLand
51 through 57.

Ah, you beat me to it.

31 posted on 09/09/2008 9:34:03 PM PDT by rdl6989 (What isn't above Obama's pay grade?)
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To: donaldo

She’s not watching and getting what she needs to confront. The KOS kids are the only ones who get their spirit center Whacked.


32 posted on 09/09/2008 9:34:22 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: Snurple

I’ll go with 20 states plus D.C. going for Obama, with McCain/Palin winning with 278 electoral votes.

I’m basing that on current RealClearPolitics state averages assuming a 2% to 2.5% shift toward McCain either from the ‘Bradley effect’ or trend from now until the election.

Not a blow-out, but enough to do the job.


33 posted on 09/09/2008 9:34:56 PM PDT by The_Reader_David (For real change stop electing lawyers: Fighter-Pilot/Hockey-Mom '08.)
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To: PhiKapMom
I would love to get rid of our Governor. We have not had a Dim in the Senate since 1932.
34 posted on 09/09/2008 9:35:10 PM PDT by guitarplayer1953 (Psalm 83:1-8 is on the horizon.)
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To: Snurple

McCain will win by 70%, is my prediction.


35 posted on 09/09/2008 9:35:52 PM PDT by MaxMax (I'll welcome death when God calls me. Until then, the fight is on)
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To: flyfree

I agree. It’s very close now, with momentum on our side. Things can change rapidly but I think the republicans will win it.

I would guess it’ll still be close, Obama will get at least 20 states.


36 posted on 09/09/2008 9:36:17 PM PDT by Kevmo (Obama Birth Certificate is a Forgery. http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/certifigate/index?tab=articles)
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To: dead
Obama's Campaign has come off the rails.....
37 posted on 09/09/2008 9:36:28 PM PDT by tcrlaf (SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
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To: Snurple

Overconfidence is a sin.

Kick the muslim/communist while he is down! Don’t ever let him get up!


38 posted on 09/09/2008 9:38:48 PM PDT by devere
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To: Snurple
Transcript of 0bama's words from his 9/09/08 "lipstick" stump speech..............

I guess his whole angle is:

Watch out, George Bush.

Except for economic policy, health care policy, tax policy, education policy, foreign policy and Karl Rove style politics, we're really going to shake things up in Washington.

Washington Post cartoon dated 9/5/08.......


39 posted on 09/09/2008 9:38:54 PM PDT by hole_n_one
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To: dead

Oh Maaaaannnnn!!! LOL!!!


40 posted on 09/09/2008 9:40:49 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (McCain/Palin '08! Real change you won't have to "believe in." You'll be able to see it!!!)
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To: devere

I agree keep kicking him. Some of the dim sites are already realizing he is done for....when that happen....he is toast.


41 posted on 09/09/2008 9:41:24 PM PDT by Snurple (VEGETARIAN, OLD INDIAN WORD FOR BAD HUNTER.)
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To: Snurple

Don’t go calling the election in early September. Overnight is an eternity in politics. The McCain/Palin momentum needs to carry into November and complacency is going to help that be accomplished.


42 posted on 09/09/2008 9:42:15 PM PDT by The Palinator
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To: Snurple

43 posted on 09/09/2008 9:43:51 PM PDT by jddqr (White queen checkmates black king: http://palincheckmate.com)
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To: hole_n_one

They will have a problem with a very strong work-force. The debt is huge yet that’s been in play since the 30’s. The kids at KOS and DU are a different lot that attacks self improvement and that Gaia tide will turn.


44 posted on 09/09/2008 9:44:06 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: Snurple

I’m betting California, Oregon, New York, Maine, Vermont, Mass, Conn, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland, Illinois.

So 11 states for an electoral count of 157.

McCain wins with 381.

That’s if trend continues how it has the last few weeks.


45 posted on 09/09/2008 9:44:16 PM PDT by Domandred (McWhathisname / Palin - 2008)
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To: Snurple

Ten states is my prediction. His campaign is sinking fast.


46 posted on 09/09/2008 9:45:03 PM PDT by Kleon
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To: dead
Start clearing a place on the mantel for that FReepy you're going to win at the end of the year!

Hysterical!

47 posted on 09/09/2008 9:45:26 PM PDT by hole_n_one
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To: Red Steel

I live in Delaware (for 36 years). There is NO WAY that Biden will not carry Delaware (with its huge 3 EV’s) ;)

Remember 2006? Common wisdom on FR was RYMB and R’s win. Didn’t turn out so well.

Hopefully the country will come to its senses come election day.


48 posted on 09/09/2008 9:46:11 PM PDT by Solemar ("Frognostication": The science of predicting the exact date and time that France will surrender.)
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To: Domandred

Ack forgot DC. Put that in Obama’s column so +3/-3


49 posted on 09/09/2008 9:47:37 PM PDT by Domandred (McWhathisname / Palin - 2008)
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To: zeebee
Correct. I was that FReeper (not to say, of course, that other fine FReepers didn't say the same thing at one time or another.)

If memory serves, I believe I said it in late March. McQueeg is still such a weak candidate overall that I've revised the forecast of states carried a bit.

I can see him carrying 15-16 states at the outside, on the sole assumption that McQueeg doesn't die or do anything too stupid before election day (such as talk about amnesty). Some of the states Osamabama loses might be quite surprising. Grandma Grandmole's state, for instance.

I also still say, from months ago, that Osamabama is THE most beatable candidate since Millard Fillmore. Only difference is that the Whigs were smart enough not to nominate M.F. for the presidency.

50 posted on 09/09/2008 9:49:31 PM PDT by SAJ
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