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Tropical Storms Ana & Bill
NOAA/NHC ^ | 15 August 2009 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/15/2009 3:31:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The 2009 Atlantic tropical season is heating up with Tropical Storm Ana forming about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands, and Invest 90, a large Cape Verde system showing substantial promise for development. Currently, neither of the two systems pose an immediate threat to land. Long term forecasts indicate potential threat to Florida, while a third tropical wave is poised off of the So. Florida coast.

Tropical Storm Ana

Public Advisories Updated every six hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data W Central Atlantic and East Caribbean

Buoy Data Florida

Storm 02 (Ana) Model Tracks

Storm 90 (Invest 90) Model Tracks



Satellite & Radar Images

Ana Visible Satellite Still Image

Ana IR Image

Ana WV Image

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: ana; atlantic; bill; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you for keeping this alive and up to date.

We are East of Houston and we are now back in our house but still lots of work to do. So watching and praying it is not us this year. (Selfish I know...sorry).

But all that we have learned from IKE is amazing and the stuff books are made of. Get your kits ready, your cars gassed, food bought, generators purchased and think about a chain saw if you have trees. Locate and bag or protect all insurance papers, RX’s, anything you may not be able to get to after. Have all phone numbers ready and if you are unfortunate enough to get hit, Call FEMA on your way home and get the process started. FEMA may not help, you may not qualify, but you do have to contact them. No way around it.

Lastly, if “advised” get out. Not worth your life. IMO.

Good luck this year to all in the path of whatever storm.


101 posted on 08/15/2009 3:01:48 PM PDT by Katlyn
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To: Armedanddangerous
they apparently dont do background checks there anymore, so he could fit right in.

lol--criminal enterprise is a badge of honor for the current administration and their cronies.

I wonder how the Tampa area is going to fare from these storms?

Tampa Bay concerns are primarily for Gulf of Mexico (GOM) approach where water would pile up into the bay. East coast storm landfall crossing the state is mostly an annoyance. If a storm crossed the state then stalled over the TB, or circled back, then that would be a different story.

102 posted on 08/15/2009 3:08:08 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse

I’d be happy to puppy sit.


103 posted on 08/15/2009 3:09:48 PM PDT by lonestar (Obama is turning Bush's "mess" into a catastrophe.)
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To: Old Professer
Don’t know what’s holding Ana up.

See post #83 WV image. Lots of dry air in front of Ana.

104 posted on 08/15/2009 3:10:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: Old Professer
Beyond filling the tank and laying in some grub, I wouldn’t rush around just yet.

If you start preparing in advance then you don't need to rush. Around here, if you don't have everything you need and want early then you might as well forget about it at crunch time unless you want a black eye while fighting over a loaf of bread.

105 posted on 08/15/2009 3:14:25 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Katlyn

Great post packed with valuable guidance, Katlyn. It truly has the voice of experience behind it too. Glad you are back with us to share life saving info this season.


106 posted on 08/15/2009 3:14:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: lonestar
I’d be happy to puppy sit.

C'mon over! He's a great pup, but he needs two full time sitters. Doberman/Terrier mix with pogo sticks for legs.

107 posted on 08/15/2009 3:20:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse

108 posted on 08/15/2009 3:24:25 PM PDT by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them.)
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To: ConservativeTeen

LOL! I’ll see you at orientation on Monday!


109 posted on 08/15/2009 3:36:06 PM PDT by rangerwife (Proud wife of a Purple Heart recipient)
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To: ConservativeTeen

Oops you might not be a 1L...are you?


110 posted on 08/15/2009 3:38:53 PM PDT by rangerwife (Proud wife of a Purple Heart recipient)
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To: ichabod1
I realize now I need to do better with emergency light. The few flashlights and tea lights I had were not sufficient.

I indulged in a super-duper rechargeable lantern for this season. With the new puppy, I figure it will get plenty of use for those late night outings. Apparently, it has enough battery juice for 48 hours between charges.

111 posted on 08/15/2009 3:46:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: jpsb

Please do me a favor. If Galveston is a target area again, PLEASE don’t wait until the last second to get out!


112 posted on 08/15/2009 3:46:55 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla ("men of intemperate minds cannot be free. Their passions forge their fetters." -- Edmund Burke)
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To: rangerwife

I’m a 3L. I remember it being really hot for orientation in Ann Arbor two years ago, I can only imagine how hot (and potentially stormy) it’s going to be for your orientation.


113 posted on 08/15/2009 3:55:47 PM PDT by ConservativeTeen (Proud Right Wing Extremist)
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To: NautiNurse

That’s my point; the conditions don’t favor strong and rapid development.


114 posted on 08/15/2009 4:01:08 PM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, then writes again.)
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To: NautiNurse

My sister Suzy lost her home in Ivan. I went through hell in Fay, now my brother Bill just sent divorce papers to his wife in Jupiter. I have a very bad feeling about tropical storm Bill...(btw Bill looks like a young Dean Martin, if Dean were 6’4 and were a buff firefighter captain— it’s a cliche- far right) http://www.margatefl.com/press/021406%20Fire%20Dept%20Training%20at%205750%20Margate%20Blvd.pdf

My tomatoes are rotting from a super-abundance of afternoon rain in Jacksonville, FL. Listening to B.B. King “Nobody loves me but my mother and she could be jiving too...”


115 posted on 08/15/2009 4:23:06 PM PDT by Dutchgirl ("What I believe about God is the most important thing about me." A.W. Tozer)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks NautiNurse! Prayers they will both disappear before they reach land.


116 posted on 08/15/2009 4:26:14 PM PDT by proudofthesouth (Zero is fast becoming America's Hitler.)
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To: Old Professer

Thank you for the information. Please keep it up!


117 posted on 08/15/2009 4:28:19 PM PDT by PatriotGirl827 (Pray for the United States of America!)
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To: NautiNurse; ichabod1

How about an old fashioned hand pumped mantle lantern. Coleman makes a dual mantle hand pumped lantern that runs on white gas (naphtha).


118 posted on 08/15/2009 4:38:13 PM PDT by Clive
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To: Dutchgirl

I’m Jacksonville, Fl also, hope this area’s luck since Dora never runs out. Luck will some day run out sad to say. I hope when it does finally run out, it is not too bad.
Fay was the worst tropical weather event ever for me in Florida, 2004 was a not too close 2nd.


119 posted on 08/15/2009 4:45:42 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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To: Clive

hurricane lamps tend to burn awfully hot for FL in extreme heat and humidity when there isn’t a/c.


120 posted on 08/15/2009 4:52:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse; All

‘Tis the season! Hopefully it will pretty much be the boring one some have forecasted, with enough storms to keep us interested, and not enough to do major damage.


121 posted on 08/15/2009 4:52:55 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: Old Professer

Rapid development is much less important today than the storm strength in 2-5 days when Ana is threatening land. Either way, I don’t think you have much to worry about in Tennessee at this point.


122 posted on 08/15/2009 4:56:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: Amelia

A boring season is the best kind of tropical storm season.


123 posted on 08/15/2009 4:59:40 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse
I don’t think you have much to worry about in Tennessee at this point.

True, but those storms tend to cause some pretty bad mudslides in the mountains. Of course the 120kt winds are long gone. Prayers on this trio headed your way.

124 posted on 08/15/2009 5:02:28 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: NautiNurse

bttt...here we go again :)


125 posted on 08/15/2009 5:02:39 PM PDT by Guenevere
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To: NautiNurse

Wifey and I toured - by way of Camry - pretty much the entire Gulf Coast from Corpus to Fort Myers, and then over to Ft. Pierce and up thru Jax this past May and June......once we got over the Lovebug phenomenon, we’d muse along the way about how we hoped we don’t have to moan about how these “were” once beautiful areas.


126 posted on 08/15/2009 5:05:55 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (Impeach now....not next month... now)
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To: NautiNurse

We have to stop meeting like this, NautiNurse. I couldn’t imagine a hurricane season without your threads. ;^)


127 posted on 08/15/2009 5:09:17 PM PDT by Nachoman (Think of life as an adventure you don't survive.)
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To: SE Mom

Heart-felt congrats!


128 posted on 08/15/2009 5:12:33 PM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: ErnBatavia
I remember your lovebug story!

No telling what would happen from a nasty storm these days with the economy in the tank, and Florida property insurance in worse trouble. Florida has a state insurance pool that was originally established as the property insurance of last resort. Eventually, it was competing with private property insurance carriers, who then folded or pulled out of the state. Of course, the state fund (Citizens) is woefully underfunded.

Other than that, Obama's Health Care debacle has nothing to learn from Florida's property insurance experience.

129 posted on 08/15/2009 5:17:24 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: Nachoman

As long as I can breathe and type, I’ll be here for hurricane season. :o)


130 posted on 08/15/2009 5:18:45 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: Islander7
No bet here. Wanna book anything on that low spinning into the northeast Gulf (and currently making our sky outside look ominous) getting it's own NHC license plate within 48 hours?


131 posted on 08/15/2009 5:22:34 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Ted Nugent for Attorney General '12. You Know You Want It.)
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To: STARWISE

And now you are an FR treasure! So it worked out for the best!


132 posted on 08/15/2009 5:23:46 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: rodguy911

;)


133 posted on 08/15/2009 5:28:14 PM PDT by STARWISE (The Art & Science Institute of Chicago Politics NE Div: now open at the White House)
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To: Old Professer
Ahhh come on... you are a long time Freeper, use a little remote viewing and you too will come up with Islamorada.
134 posted on 08/15/2009 5:30:57 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: NautiNurse
Florida has a state insurance pool that was originally established as the property insurance of last resort. Eventually, it was competing with private property insurance carriers, who then folded or pulled out of the state. Of course, the state fund (Citizens) is woefully underfunded.

Nauti - that's how it's done, and that's how Zero is going to drive private insurance out of business.....our thing here in California is Earthquake insurance.

We chose a company other than the "state" at a much lower premium/deductible....all well and good for one year.

We got our renewal this year, and the company stated that they were 'required by the state' to value our home at something like $800,000 and the premium would be raised accordingly.

We didn't renew - went with the sh*tty state program with minimal benefits. Phock 'em all.

PS - the Camry still has a few lovebug scars, but we wear them with honor. I wanted to plasticize the one single unhooked "loser" that was still in the grill, but the poor bastard disentegrated.

135 posted on 08/15/2009 5:37:31 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (Impeach now....not next month... now)
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To: yield 2 the right
My employer lives just off Atlantic. There is never a delay in restoring his power, but in my quirky Riverside neighborhood, it can be over a week. Fortunately, he loans me his generator before my meat defrosts, which is powerful enough to run fridge and AC, while the gas that powers my stove and water heater never are affected. I stocked up on pork/beef and chicken this week. Best snag a deal was Winn Dixie. Lindemans wine 2 for $10.00, with 10% off wyb 6, and a $15.00 rebate = $2.50 per bottle. If my power goes out, I won't have to be sober in the dark. (It's five o'clock somewhere.)
136 posted on 08/15/2009 5:38:13 PM PDT by Dutchgirl ("What I believe about God is the most important thing about me." A.W. Tozer)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanking you in advance Nauti,,what would we do without you!! Last year Gustav came after my surgery and I remember doped up on Dilaudid monitoring the thread.


137 posted on 08/15/2009 5:40:08 PM PDT by cajungirl (no)
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To: NautiNurse
Yeah it cranked up last night wit h some pretty good gusts,tree damage in the hood etc.,lasting most of the day ruining fishing prospects.

At least its cooling the water.

Two weeks ago water temps vacillated between 96 and 100 degrees in the backcoutnry of Fla. Bay and we had a pretty big fish kill for a couple of days so this all will actually help.

138 posted on 08/15/2009 5:43:58 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: SE Mom

How wonderful for you and him! Keep up the good work. One year on Monday is my date of initial surgery. Today was the day the doc told me the bad news so I am so grateful to be here and in remission!!!


139 posted on 08/15/2009 5:44:14 PM PDT by cajungirl (no)
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To: Dutchgirl

You have a nice employer Dutchgirl, hope that we and others, get lucky this season. Cheers!


140 posted on 08/15/2009 5:45:40 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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To: NautiNurse

We need Free Republic/Nauti Nurse Tee Shirts !


141 posted on 08/15/2009 5:46:00 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: Clive
I used to buy “Coleman fuel” by the gallon in my early days, used Amoco premium when I could not afford it.
142 posted on 08/15/2009 5:50:36 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: NautiNurse

And we are blessed with the likes of Al Roker for a weather report in the morning. NBC has destroyed the station.


143 posted on 08/15/2009 5:51:39 PM PDT by Capt_Hank (btu's...kcal's...to kJ's, but my activation energy is still high.)
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To: Viking2002
Could well be, I did a short tv bite earlier today and the producer of the segment said that it was developing. I thin he was right.
144 posted on 08/15/2009 5:53:16 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: Capt_Hank

Folks, something we did not do last year for Gustav which made us without power for a week in the hottest damned weather we ever had while I was just out of the hospital.

We didn’t have but a hundred bucks. Because of the power outage, the stores only took cash and the gas statiobns only took cash. No credit.

After six days while I was forbidden to travel after hideous surgery, we got in the car and drove to our home in Maryland to escape the hideous conditions and the lack of money for anything.

So get cash!! Alot of it. ANd never rely on hubby to shop for a hurricane when he is beyond himself with worry over his wife in the hspital.

It was without doubt the worst week of my life.

Get your cash now!!!


145 posted on 08/15/2009 5:55:00 PM PDT by cajungirl (no)
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To: rodguy911
As an amateur meteorologist of sorts (call it a lifelong hobby - college background in earth sciences, former Skywarn spotter, yadda yadda yadda), the last few Doppler and satellite loops are showing some pretty decent banding around a cyclonic center. And it's moving back out into the Gulf, which is just more fuel. It may only reach TD status, but I'm not reading where there are any inhibiting mesoscale factors in the forecast to prevent it from doing so. The ridge of high pressure over the region is forecast to move out quickly.


146 posted on 08/15/2009 6:07:38 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Ted Nugent for Attorney General '12. You Know You Want It.)
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To: cajungirl

You are so right about all that. And, if you do have a generator you will need about 100 gallons for 10 days.When Ike hit last year I had 65 gallons that lasted 61/2 days. Lucky we didn’t have to travel but about 10 miles to refill the jugs, we were without power fo a total of ten days. This year I will keep a hundred gallons on hand, just in case.


147 posted on 08/15/2009 6:09:42 PM PDT by eastforker (Lately the threads on FR are either about (.)!(.) or ( ! ))
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To: NautiNurse
Looks like we have a new depression in the GOMEX...first BAM is up! Mississippi/NOLA might be looking at a nice T.S. this Monday....just what the media would love. A distraction for Obama.
148 posted on 08/15/2009 6:14:14 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: My Favorite Headache

25.9N 83.2W
27 knots
1012 mb

GOMEX - INVEST/Depression.


149 posted on 08/15/2009 6:16:38 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: Viking2002

Yeah good analysis,it’s all there,who knows. Plenty of hot water I can tell you that.


150 posted on 08/15/2009 6:20:11 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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