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Tropical Storms Ana & Bill
NOAA/NHC ^ | 15 August 2009 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/15/2009 3:31:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The 2009 Atlantic tropical season is heating up with Tropical Storm Ana forming about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands, and Invest 90, a large Cape Verde system showing substantial promise for development. Currently, neither of the two systems pose an immediate threat to land. Long term forecasts indicate potential threat to Florida, while a third tropical wave is poised off of the So. Florida coast.

Tropical Storm Ana

Public Advisories Updated every six hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data W Central Atlantic and East Caribbean

Buoy Data Florida

Storm 02 (Ana) Model Tracks

Storm 90 (Invest 90) Model Tracks



Satellite & Radar Images

Ana Visible Satellite Still Image

Ana IR Image

Ana WV Image

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: ana; atlantic; bill; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

We need Free Republic/Nauti Nurse Tee Shirts !


141 posted on 08/15/2009 5:46:00 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: Clive
I used to buy “Coleman fuel” by the gallon in my early days, used Amoco premium when I could not afford it.
142 posted on 08/15/2009 5:50:36 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: NautiNurse

And we are blessed with the likes of Al Roker for a weather report in the morning. NBC has destroyed the station.


143 posted on 08/15/2009 5:51:39 PM PDT by Capt_Hank (btu's...kcal's...to kJ's, but my activation energy is still high.)
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To: Viking2002
Could well be, I did a short tv bite earlier today and the producer of the segment said that it was developing. I thin he was right.
144 posted on 08/15/2009 5:53:16 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: Capt_Hank

Folks, something we did not do last year for Gustav which made us without power for a week in the hottest damned weather we ever had while I was just out of the hospital.

We didn’t have but a hundred bucks. Because of the power outage, the stores only took cash and the gas statiobns only took cash. No credit.

After six days while I was forbidden to travel after hideous surgery, we got in the car and drove to our home in Maryland to escape the hideous conditions and the lack of money for anything.

So get cash!! Alot of it. ANd never rely on hubby to shop for a hurricane when he is beyond himself with worry over his wife in the hspital.

It was without doubt the worst week of my life.

Get your cash now!!!


145 posted on 08/15/2009 5:55:00 PM PDT by cajungirl (no)
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To: rodguy911
As an amateur meteorologist of sorts (call it a lifelong hobby - college background in earth sciences, former Skywarn spotter, yadda yadda yadda), the last few Doppler and satellite loops are showing some pretty decent banding around a cyclonic center. And it's moving back out into the Gulf, which is just more fuel. It may only reach TD status, but I'm not reading where there are any inhibiting mesoscale factors in the forecast to prevent it from doing so. The ridge of high pressure over the region is forecast to move out quickly.


146 posted on 08/15/2009 6:07:38 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Ted Nugent for Attorney General '12. You Know You Want It.)
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To: cajungirl

You are so right about all that. And, if you do have a generator you will need about 100 gallons for 10 days.When Ike hit last year I had 65 gallons that lasted 61/2 days. Lucky we didn’t have to travel but about 10 miles to refill the jugs, we were without power fo a total of ten days. This year I will keep a hundred gallons on hand, just in case.


147 posted on 08/15/2009 6:09:42 PM PDT by eastforker (Lately the threads on FR are either about (.)!(.) or ( ! ))
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To: NautiNurse
Looks like we have a new depression in the GOMEX...first BAM is up! Mississippi/NOLA might be looking at a nice T.S. this Monday....just what the media would love. A distraction for Obama.
148 posted on 08/15/2009 6:14:14 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: My Favorite Headache

25.9N 83.2W
27 knots
1012 mb

GOMEX - INVEST/Depression.


149 posted on 08/15/2009 6:16:38 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: Viking2002

Yeah good analysis,it’s all there,who knows. Plenty of hot water I can tell you that.


150 posted on 08/15/2009 6:20:11 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: My Favorite Headache
Invest 91


151 posted on 08/15/2009 6:21:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: rodguy911

Wow, the season is underway folks, wish y’all the best since this is just the start of the peak of the season, the next 6 weeks will be watched for sure.


152 posted on 08/15/2009 6:24:17 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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To: NautiNurse

Pressures beginning to bomb around Naples...someone is getting busy in the gulf while others are looking at the Atlantic.


153 posted on 08/15/2009 6:24:26 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: rodguy911
Invest 91

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a tropical wave
interacting with a mid- to upper-level trough. This activity has
become a little more concentrated over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico where surface pressures are beginning to fall. There are no
signs of a surface circulation at this time and any additional
development...if any...should be slow to occur.  This system should
moves toward the northwest over the eastern Gulf of Mexico on
Sunday. There is a low chance...less than 30 percent...of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

154 posted on 08/15/2009 6:25:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: yield 2 the right

Well whatever is in the GOMEX has a shelf life of maybe 60 hours so it had better get its act together.


155 posted on 08/15/2009 6:25:51 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: ConservativeTeen
Well === stay alert! Keep tuned in here for one thing...and good luck to you in Florida.♠
156 posted on 08/15/2009 6:30:13 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt (Obama's Deathcare ---- many will suffer and/or die unnecessarily.)
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To: yield 2 the right
NO question! I don't care what anyone says 8/15-9/15-is the real hurricane season. The rest is just minimal time. Once cold fronts start cycling through on a regular basis its basically over.

Someone has been listening to all the complaints about no data buoys and how they never were maintained. They added a whole bunch of new buoys many in Fla. Bay. govt. actually working,really scary!

In just the past 24 hours places like Madeira Bay have gone from 91 degree water down into the low 80's. That makes a huge difference.

One buoy I checked had a "17" salinity content. Regular salt water is 35 parts per thousand. This indicates there is lot of fresh water run-off already starting to happen.

157 posted on 08/15/2009 6:33:56 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: NautiNurse

Up in post 131 that thing is starting to look pretty healthy.


158 posted on 08/15/2009 6:34:53 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla ("men of intemperate minds cannot be free. Their passions forge their fetters." -- Edmund Burke)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks NN,less than 30% is encouraging for the Northern Gulf coasts.


159 posted on 08/15/2009 6:35:06 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: rodguy911

Good post with nice info there, rodguy911.


160 posted on 08/15/2009 6:39:53 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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