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Tropical Storms Ana & Bill
NOAA/NHC ^ | 15 August 2009 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/15/2009 3:31:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: My Favorite Headache
Invest 91


151 posted on 08/15/2009 6:21:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: rodguy911

Wow, the season is underway folks, wish y’all the best since this is just the start of the peak of the season, the next 6 weeks will be watched for sure.


152 posted on 08/15/2009 6:24:17 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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To: NautiNurse

Pressures beginning to bomb around Naples...someone is getting busy in the gulf while others are looking at the Atlantic.


153 posted on 08/15/2009 6:24:26 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: rodguy911
Invest 91

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a tropical wave
interacting with a mid- to upper-level trough. This activity has
become a little more concentrated over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico where surface pressures are beginning to fall. There are no
signs of a surface circulation at this time and any additional
development...if any...should be slow to occur.  This system should
moves toward the northwest over the eastern Gulf of Mexico on
Sunday. There is a low chance...less than 30 percent...of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

154 posted on 08/15/2009 6:25:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: yield 2 the right

Well whatever is in the GOMEX has a shelf life of maybe 60 hours so it had better get its act together.


155 posted on 08/15/2009 6:25:51 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (An oath to a liar is no oath at all)
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To: ConservativeTeen
Well === stay alert! Keep tuned in here for one thing...and good luck to you in Florida.♠
156 posted on 08/15/2009 6:30:13 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt (Obama's Deathcare ---- many will suffer and/or die unnecessarily.)
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To: yield 2 the right
NO question! I don't care what anyone says 8/15-9/15-is the real hurricane season. The rest is just minimal time. Once cold fronts start cycling through on a regular basis its basically over.

Someone has been listening to all the complaints about no data buoys and how they never were maintained. They added a whole bunch of new buoys many in Fla. Bay. govt. actually working,really scary!

In just the past 24 hours places like Madeira Bay have gone from 91 degree water down into the low 80's. That makes a huge difference.

One buoy I checked had a "17" salinity content. Regular salt water is 35 parts per thousand. This indicates there is lot of fresh water run-off already starting to happen.

157 posted on 08/15/2009 6:33:56 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: NautiNurse

Up in post 131 that thing is starting to look pretty healthy.


158 posted on 08/15/2009 6:34:53 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla ("men of intemperate minds cannot be free. Their passions forge their fetters." -- Edmund Burke)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks NN,less than 30% is encouraging for the Northern Gulf coasts.


159 posted on 08/15/2009 6:35:06 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: rodguy911

Good post with nice info there, rodguy911.


160 posted on 08/15/2009 6:39:53 PM PDT by yield 2 the right
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To: My Favorite Headache

In Naples...started out as a nice hot day, but since about 2 or so it’s been raining. Light breeze too.


161 posted on 08/15/2009 6:55:15 PM PDT by rangerwife (Proud wife of a Purple Heart recipient)
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To: yield 2 the right
Thanks yield 2.
I have been fishing the bay since the late 50’s and actually participated in a research study(which has been since lost) at the UM Rosentiel School in the late 60’s that studied Fla. Bay and the Lower Gulf up to Shark River. Ahhh... those were the days,fast skiffs,lots of sun and a 6 pack of Mountain Dew.
162 posted on 08/15/2009 6:55:31 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: rodguy911

But beware, they said the exact same thing about Alicia 25 years ago. Just a wave,they said, we might get a little rain they said,nothing to worry about they said!!!!!! Boy do I remember how they downplayed that little storm.


163 posted on 08/15/2009 6:55:36 PM PDT by eastforker (Lately the threads on FR are either about (.)!(.) or ( ! ))
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To: eastforker
Excellent advice Eastforker,tropical systesm are nothing if not unpredictable.
164 posted on 08/15/2009 6:57:28 PM PDT by rodguy911 (HOME OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARAHCUDA !!)
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To: ConservativeTeen

Well, I think one of my fellow 1Ls jinxed us. He said everyone would get down here for school and a hurricane would hit.


165 posted on 08/15/2009 7:01:20 PM PDT by rangerwife (Proud wife of a Purple Heart recipient)
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To: rodguy911
I remember flying a Norseman on naphtha. This was back in the rarly 50s. We were in a very new northern town and the only road in was basically a trail that broke up when the season changed so that no loads could be brought in until the road firmed up again.

Our supply of aviation gasoline had not made it in so the boss bought every drum of naphtha in the town. Pilots simply had to watch our cylinder head temperatures and adjust our mixture accordingly.

166 posted on 08/15/2009 7:24:01 PM PDT by Clive
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To: rodguy911
Good news--latest model runs have Big Bill looking a bit fishy. Report this to whitehouse.gov immediately and get on their email list. Might as well send them all your money too.


167 posted on 08/15/2009 7:58:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: cajungirl

Great advice. Cash is king when times are tough, and no electricity is the worst with high heat and humidity! How are you doing these days?


168 posted on 08/15/2009 8:02:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse

I’ve got a BIL in Kissimee; he’s watching too, Bill’s got the better chance of making landfall at low Cat1 right now.

He lost a roof a while back and had more trouble with the roofers than the storm that time.

We have to remember that we are talking about the weather and it doesn’t care what we forecast; I spent a year back in 1969 studying storm tracks and calculating error factors for Dr. Robert Renard at the U.S. Navy Postgraduate School in Monterey, Ca. to share with the NMC office/lab on station.

We did it all with Marchand Calculators, card-punch machines and Fortran field sheets; our computer was a five story building with the first floor dedicated to the card-punch machines, operators and admin personnel.

I was still using tables for large square roots.

We know only a bit more now than we did then about these “suckers.”

Still, it’s better to be safe than sorry.


169 posted on 08/15/2009 8:59:33 PM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, then writes again.)
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To: NautiNurse

Please, please, please let it hit the Texas coast as a weak tropical storm...

...we really, really need the rain.


170 posted on 08/15/2009 10:02:11 PM PDT by AlaninSA
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To: Armedanddangerous
"wonder whatever happened to that guy?"

Check Obama's list of czars.

He has at least one convicted felon who spent time in prison from the Rodney King riots as a czar.

171 posted on 08/15/2009 10:46:51 PM PDT by blam
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To: NautiNurse

Tanks for da ping


172 posted on 08/16/2009 2:38:35 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (The only time I want a Republican reaching across the aisle is to smack a liberal.)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
...Tropical Storm Warning issued for new depression in the eastern Gulf of Mexico...TD4

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to the Suwannee River Florida.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

173 posted on 08/16/2009 2:39:30 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: All

...Tropical Storm Warning issued for new depression in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico...

At 5 am EDT...0900 UTC...a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued
from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to the Suwannee River
Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 24
hours.

For storm information specific to your area please monitor products
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

At 500 am EDT...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 27.7 north...longitude 83.9 west or about
90 miles...140 km...west-southwest of Tampa Florida and about 155
miles...245 km...south-southeast of Apalachicola Florida.

The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 16
mph...and this motion is expected to continue today. On the
forecast track...the center of the depression should be very near
the northern Gulf Coast of Florida by late this afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected and the depression is forecast to
become a tropical storm prior to reaching the coastline.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb...29.85 inches.

Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches...with isolated maximum
amounts of 10 inches across portions of North Florida near the path
of the center.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide
levels can be expected near and to the east of where the center
makes landfall.

...Summary of 500 am EDT information...
location...27.7n 83.9w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...north-northwest or 330 degrees at 16 mph
minimum central pressure...1011 mb

an intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Franklin


174 posted on 08/16/2009 2:41:26 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse

Tanks pr da ping NN


175 posted on 08/16/2009 2:41:38 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (The only time I want a Republican reaching across the aisle is to smack a liberal.)
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen

A Sunday morning surprise...


176 posted on 08/16/2009 2:46:31 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse

Indeed


177 posted on 08/16/2009 2:57:05 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (The only time I want a Republican reaching across the aisle is to smack a liberal.)
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To: All
New Thread
178 posted on 08/16/2009 3:26:50 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Obama: A day without TOTUS is like a day without sunshine)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank-you for doing this!!!!!!


179 posted on 08/16/2009 4:37:43 AM PDT by Guenevere
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To: NautiNurse

I am doing great. Neg scans, good markers and now in maintenance for six months. Feel good. A great blessing to me. Outlook is so so but I can live with that.


180 posted on 08/16/2009 4:38:14 AM PDT by cajungirl (no)
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