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Skip to comments.Tropical Storms Ana & Bill
Posted on 08/15/2009 3:31:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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Wow, the season is underway folks, wish y’all the best since this is just the start of the peak of the season, the next 6 weeks will be watched for sure.
Pressures beginning to bomb around Naples...someone is getting busy in the gulf while others are looking at the Atlantic.
A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a tropical wave interacting with a mid- to upper-level trough. This activity has become a little more concentrated over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico where surface pressures are beginning to fall. There are no signs of a surface circulation at this time and any additional development...if any...should be slow to occur. This system should moves toward the northwest over the eastern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. There is a low chance...less than 30 percent...of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Well whatever is in the GOMEX has a shelf life of maybe 60 hours so it had better get its act together.
Someone has been listening to all the complaints about no data buoys and how they never were maintained. They added a whole bunch of new buoys many in Fla. Bay. govt. actually working,really scary!
In just the past 24 hours places like Madeira Bay have gone from 91 degree water down into the low 80's. That makes a huge difference.
One buoy I checked had a "17" salinity content. Regular salt water is 35 parts per thousand. This indicates there is lot of fresh water run-off already starting to happen.
Up in post 131 that thing is starting to look pretty healthy.
Thanks NN,less than 30% is encouraging for the Northern Gulf coasts.
Good post with nice info there, rodguy911.
In Naples...started out as a nice hot day, but since about 2 or so it’s been raining. Light breeze too.
But beware, they said the exact same thing about Alicia 25 years ago. Just a wave,they said, we might get a little rain they said,nothing to worry about they said!!!!!! Boy do I remember how they downplayed that little storm.
Well, I think one of my fellow 1Ls jinxed us. He said everyone would get down here for school and a hurricane would hit.
Our supply of aviation gasoline had not made it in so the boss bought every drum of naphtha in the town. Pilots simply had to watch our cylinder head temperatures and adjust our mixture accordingly.
Great advice. Cash is king when times are tough, and no electricity is the worst with high heat and humidity! How are you doing these days?
I’ve got a BIL in Kissimee; he’s watching too, Bill’s got the better chance of making landfall at low Cat1 right now.
He lost a roof a while back and had more trouble with the roofers than the storm that time.
We have to remember that we are talking about the weather and it doesn’t care what we forecast; I spent a year back in 1969 studying storm tracks and calculating error factors for Dr. Robert Renard at the U.S. Navy Postgraduate School in Monterey, Ca. to share with the NMC office/lab on station.
We did it all with Marchand Calculators, card-punch machines and Fortran field sheets; our computer was a five story building with the first floor dedicated to the card-punch machines, operators and admin personnel.
I was still using tables for large square roots.
We know only a bit more now than we did then about these “suckers.”
Still, it’s better to be safe than sorry.
Please, please, please let it hit the Texas coast as a weak tropical storm...
...we really, really need the rain.
Check Obama's list of czars.
He has at least one convicted felon who spent time in prison from the Rodney King riots as a czar.
Tanks for da ping
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to the Suwannee River Florida.
...Tropical Storm Warning issued for new depression in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico...
At 5 am EDT...0900 UTC...a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued
from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to the Suwannee River
Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 24
For storm information specific to your area please monitor products
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
At 500 am EDT...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 27.7 north...longitude 83.9 west or about
90 miles...140 km...west-southwest of Tampa Florida and about 155
miles...245 km...south-southeast of Apalachicola Florida.
The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 16
mph...and this motion is expected to continue today. On the
forecast track...the center of the depression should be very near
the northern Gulf Coast of Florida by late this afternoon.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected and the depression is forecast to
become a tropical storm prior to reaching the coastline.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb...29.85 inches.
Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches...with isolated maximum
amounts of 10 inches across portions of North Florida near the path
of the center.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide
levels can be expected near and to the east of where the center
...Summary of 500 am EDT information...
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...north-northwest or 330 degrees at 16 mph
minimum central pressure...1011 mb
an intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
Tanks pr da ping NN
A Sunday morning surprise...
Thank-you for doing this!!!!!!
I am doing great. Neg scans, good markers and now in maintenance for six months. Feel good. A great blessing to me. Outlook is so so but I can live with that.
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