Rapid development is much less important today than the storm strength in 2-5 days when Ana is threatening land. Either way, I don’t think you have much to worry about in Tennessee at this point.
True, but those storms tend to cause some pretty bad mudslides in the mountains. Of course the 120kt winds are long gone. Prayers on this trio headed your way.
I’ve got a BIL in Kissimee; he’s watching too, Bill’s got the better chance of making landfall at low Cat1 right now.
He lost a roof a while back and had more trouble with the roofers than the storm that time.
We have to remember that we are talking about the weather and it doesn’t care what we forecast; I spent a year back in 1969 studying storm tracks and calculating error factors for Dr. Robert Renard at the U.S. Navy Postgraduate School in Monterey, Ca. to share with the NMC office/lab on station.
We did it all with Marchand Calculators, card-punch machines and Fortran field sheets; our computer was a five story building with the first floor dedicated to the card-punch machines, operators and admin personnel.
I was still using tables for large square roots.
We know only a bit more now than we did then about these “suckers.”
Still, it’s better to be safe than sorry.