There is something else, something more important, I think, than the rather clever statistical calculations you recount, in pro-Israel American voting habits.
The fact is that from a doctrinal and traditional point of view — the inhumanities of autocratic and collectivist Europe notwithstanding — Jews and Christians are theological cousins and share a common canonical base, the Bible.
The koran may refer to some names from the bible, but it ain’t the bible. Different book, different story.
To say nothing of the fact that many many American Christians take Jesus’ word on being straight with Israel seriously.
This is something the Mohammedans normally don’t get, and to the extent that they do, they try to deny — substituting instead the propaganda baloney about the “three Abrahamic religions”.
Abraham, however notable as a star in the bible, (a cameo appearance) is not a big figure in friday night or sunday morning sermons. Moses, yes. Jesus, yes. Abraham ... eh! Once in a long while, sort of like your grand-dad’s grand-dad. Grand-dad’s grand-dad get’s mentioned every 10 years at somebody’s wedding or funeral or baptism.
They can try to manipulate it with money, bribes, media coverage and what all else have you ...
I’m betting on the Christians.
I agree. My mathematical machination is used to explain why Jewish Americans with their small population have been effective electorates. A big chunk of the supporters of Israel are from evangelical Christians who believe that Israel is destined to exist and even more that God’s promise to the chosen people (God will bless those who support Israel and punish those nations who seek to harm her) have not been nullified by the founding of the Christian covenant. God does not go back on his promises! Catholics and mainline Protestants do not. What makes it ironic is the typical Jew fears the evangelical Christians more than a jihadist terrorists or Sharia law.