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7 Gadgets That Won't Be Around In 2020
Yahoo News ^ | 10-19-2010 | Seth Fiegerman

Posted on 10/19/2011 5:14:47 PM PDT by Jotmo

Which Tech Gadgets Will Be Phased Out This Decade?

Hindsight may always be 20-20, but you don’t need particularly great foresight to know many of the gadgets on today’s market won’t be around in 2020 given how quickly the tech industry keeps changing. In the first half of the 2000s, retailers were buzzing about the prospects of MP3 players and netbooks, but by the end of the decade, those products had largely been replaced by smartphones and tablets.

As tempting as it may be to imagine otherwise, some of the gadgets you may rely on most right now will likely suffer the same fate and be killed off or made obsolete by the end of this decade. Sure, you may still be able to find these products for sale in certain niche stores, but they will no longer be produced for a mass-market audience.

“You can still find and buy VCRs and there are people still using mainframes from 1992, so it’s not like this stuff disappears forever,” says Stephen Baker, an industry analyst at the NPD Group. Baker notes that the main reason retailers continue to market and sell outdated products is to cater to shoppers who buy them for nostalgia’s sake, but for all intents and purposes the market has left these products in the dust. So which popular products today will join the likes of VCRs, cassette players and transistor radios in the next few years? MainStreet asked five tech analysts to offer their thoughts on the gadgets that will largely be phased out by the end of this decade.

(Excerpt) Read more at shopping.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: gadgets
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Read the rest at the link.

I don't know if I agree with the e-reader, but the rest seems pretty hard to argue with.

Comments?

1 posted on 10/19/2011 5:14:51 PM PDT by Jotmo
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To: Jotmo

I’m not going to the link Seth.


2 posted on 10/19/2011 5:18:39 PM PDT by subterfuge (BUILD MORE NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW!!!)
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To: Jotmo

Desktop computers?


3 posted on 10/19/2011 5:21:01 PM PDT by GSWarrior (Click HERE to expand this tagline)
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To: Jotmo

Voting machines might be out of use by then too


4 posted on 10/19/2011 5:28:50 PM PDT by muir_redwoods (Somewhere in Kenya, a village is missing an idiot)
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To: GSWarrior

I still have my slide rule from high school.


5 posted on 10/19/2011 5:31:54 PM PDT by donhunt (Certified and proud "Son of a Bitch".)
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To: Jotmo

He’s right and wrong on consoles, I doubt they are integrated into TV”s. However it’s clear that the standalone consoles is dead, I can see the future consoles being part of a dvr/digital set top/ content on demand box you get from your local cable company.


6 posted on 10/19/2011 5:32:24 PM PDT by aft_lizard (Barack Obama is Hugo Chavez's poodle.)
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To: GSWarrior

Our cell phones will probably replace desktops and even laptops.

All you need is a phone dock to connect a large monitor and everything that goes with personal computing.

I saw a demonstration video of a concept Iphone, where the Iphone could project a 10 inch holographic screen and it could also project a virtual keyboard to type on.

Those were working prototypess too. The only problem is getting how much power it uses down and getting the battery power up.


7 posted on 10/19/2011 5:34:49 PM PDT by Jonty30
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To: Jotmo; Perdogg; Kevmo; ShadowAce; Swordmaker; Ernest_at_the_Beach; AdmSmith; ...

Thanks Jotmo. Let’s get some prognosticators in here. :’)

Standalone GPS Systems ... E-Readers ... Feature Phones ... Low-End Digital Cameras ... DVD Players ... Recordable CDs and DVDs ... Video Game Consoles

The problem with these lists is, there are shades of gray, so what used to be one thing is now something else, marketing notwithstanding.

The DVD player plays DVD, CD, and that’s about it; BluRay players will supplant the DVD player, but it’s not a sea change like the vanishing VCR in its many formats. And there are zero tape-based videocams now, because of flash memory.

Some more suggested for the list:

1. Tower CPUs have already disappeared, but the soon-to-follow companies still trying to make and sell them haven’t figured that out. We’ll see no more towers,probably within two years at the longest. The ITX boards designed for netbooks have been in use in home CPUs for some time already, but there’s been a sturdy resistance to making the CPU box much smaller, since a smaller box doesn’t look like it should be that expensive. I suspect that’s why Apple’s going out of business. ;’)

Furthermore, home computing needs will be more than met by the wave of tiny CPUs that will arrive in great numbers during the next few years. These devices have already been demo’d, and consist of a flash-drive-sized (or slightly larger) box with an HDMI port and a USB port, and maybe a RJ-45. They won’t even need extra juice, drawing power from either a powered USB hub or the HDMI port. A device like this with Bluetooth (see number seven) or other short-range wireless built in wouldn’t even need USB, and with the 802.11 wireless, wouldn’t even need the RJ-45. Flat screen TVs already have rudimentary www stuff built in (99 percent is for streaming media content), so it’s unlikely that separate boxes will even be needed soon.

2. Incandescent bulbs. They burn out too fast, cost more to operate, run too hot.

3. LED household bulbs — CF bulbs put out more light per watt, and cost a fraction of the LED bulbs. Last thing I need to spend $30 on is an underpowered LED “floodlight”, and I certainly wouldn’t install on outside for fear of theft. If the gubmint required oranges-to-oranges specs on all bulbs sold, there’d be no LED market at all. It’s unlikely that the price of LED bulbs will fall much more, give or take a breakthrought that makes them a one-for-one replacement for CFs, halogens, or incandescents.

4. Electric autos (reasons are obvious to anyone).

5. Fighter planes and bombers — UAVs will replace the former, guided missiles have long ago replaced the latter.

6. Tanks — tank-killer weapons have been manufactured by the jillions, and IEDs are even more commonplace. A $10 million tank can be destroyed for a couple of thousand dollars, at most. I should point out that I’ve been saying this for some time now.

7. Wireless standards currently in use will vanish and be merged into a joint, fast, all-purpose, and evolving standard.

8. USB 3.0 will replace SATA, eSATA, what’s left of PATA and IDE, what’s left of Firewire 400 and 800, and every other internal and external interface standard that uses wires. USB 4.0 will never come out.

9. The Democratic Party.


8 posted on 10/19/2011 5:38:07 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (It's never a bad time to FReep this link -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: aft_lizard

..since cable uses IP addies and offers phone service, I’m surprised we don’t have phone conversations over our TV’s..(picture phones)..smiles...


9 posted on 10/19/2011 5:38:18 PM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Jotmo

Flying cars won’t be around by 2020.


10 posted on 10/19/2011 5:39:22 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Let us prey!)
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To: Jotmo

I have just put all of our home movies onto DVD discs. I hope there is some other way I could store them.


11 posted on 10/19/2011 5:44:40 PM PDT by jmcenanly (Things will be better in 2013)
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To: Revolting cat!; SunkenCiv; TheOldLady
Anyone that knows anything about anything has at LEAST one of these:


12 posted on 10/19/2011 5:48:23 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: SunkenCiv

10. The Republican Party


13 posted on 10/19/2011 5:50:27 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: donhunt

K&E?....


14 posted on 10/19/2011 5:50:32 PM PDT by ken5050 (Cain/Gingrich 2012!!! because sharing a couch with Pelosi is NOT the same as sharing a bed with her)
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Click the Pic             Thank you, JoeProBono

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Abolish FReepathons
Go Monthly

If every FReeper and Lurker gave just $7 a month
We could end the FReepathons

15 posted on 10/19/2011 5:50:53 PM PDT by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list)
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To: bigheadfred
But wait, there is more!


16 posted on 10/19/2011 5:52:32 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Let us prey!)
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To: Jotmo

Alot of it seems geared towards moving into a data-streaming model.

You won’t be able to listen to a song or watch any type of vid without shelling out. Probably each and every time.

Ferget it. Of I pay to buy a CD, it’s MINE!!!!

I’ll listen to it once or listen to it a thousand times, same thing with DVD movies and vid...

BTW, I still have about 50 LP’s, and the means to listen to them...
and do listen to them.


17 posted on 10/19/2011 5:54:50 PM PDT by djf (Soon you will need a prescription for EVERY SINGLE VITAMIN.)
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To: Jotmo

I think commas and semi-colons don’t stand a chance of surviving.


18 posted on 10/19/2011 5:55:05 PM PDT by killermosquito (Buffalo, Detroit (and eventually France) is what you get when liberalism runs its course.)
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To: Jonty30

“Our cell phones will probably replace desktops and even laptops.”
_____________________________________

Partly so for kids born with mobile phones, but not for us older people. I hate even making a phone call on one, or any text that is more then one line long.
My fingers are no longer so steady, fast, or agile.
Screen size is also a killer for any user.

I do agree that desktop computers will be come relics.
I still have my old Dell, but have not used it in the last 4 years.


19 posted on 10/19/2011 5:55:21 PM PDT by AlexW
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To: Jotmo

If the CD will disappear then that surely means the Eberhard Faber #2 word processor is on the way out too.


20 posted on 10/19/2011 5:58:41 PM PDT by frposty (I'm a simpleton)
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To: Revolting cat!
But wait, there is more!


21 posted on 10/19/2011 5:59:40 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: AlexW

I’m right there with you.

My main objection to all the advances in “communication” technology is that people are losing the ability to actually communicate. And even worse: THINK


22 posted on 10/19/2011 6:03:13 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: Jotmo

Teleprompters.


23 posted on 10/19/2011 6:08:15 PM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: SunkenCiv

Oh, please, can you add the GOP to that list too?


24 posted on 10/19/2011 6:10:49 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: bigheadfred

We bough one of those back about 1957. A piece of junk for about $3.99 then.


25 posted on 10/19/2011 6:12:24 PM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar (Click my name. See my home page, if you dare! NEW PHOTOS & PAINTINGS)
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To: bigheadfred

We bough one of those back about 1957. A piece of junk for about $3.99 then.


26 posted on 10/19/2011 6:12:29 PM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar (Click my name. See my home page, if you dare! NEW PHOTOS & PAINTINGS)
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To: killermosquito

Have to disagree on the comma, killer. It is way over used and getting more so every day. The semicolon is almost already dead.


27 posted on 10/19/2011 6:20:54 PM PDT by j_tull (I may make you feel, but I can't make you think.)
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To: Jotmo

28 posted on 10/19/2011 6:25:35 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Let us prey!)
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar

Yeah? How much did that “I” sold my soul “phone” cost ya?


29 posted on 10/19/2011 6:27:12 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: Jotmo

30 posted on 10/19/2011 6:27:12 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Let us prey!)
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To: 9YearLurker

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2795267/posts?page=13#13


31 posted on 10/19/2011 6:28:56 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: bigheadfred

Ha—you got there before me!


32 posted on 10/19/2011 6:31:35 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: j_tull

>Have to disagree on the comma, killer. It is way over used and getting more so every day. The semicolon is almost already dead.

And that’s too bad; experience has shown that the semi-colon is quite useful.


33 posted on 10/19/2011 6:32:44 PM PDT by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: SunkenCiv

>8. USB 3.0 will replace SATA, eSATA, what’s left of PATA and IDE, what’s left of Firewire 400 and 800, and every other internal and external interface standard that uses wires. USB 4.0 will never come out.

I hope not; USB isn’t that great of a transport-system. Sure it works fine for a keyboard and mouse, but FireWire really is worlds better (the power-supplied by the bus is more reasonable, the speeds are [in practice] better, the multiple-device communication is better, there’s even guarantees in its spec for A/V bandwidth)... it really is disappointing that the HDTV market [here] went with the HDMI connector as the Asian markets have some really nice [consumer-level] entertainment-systems which are FireWire based, as I understand it.


34 posted on 10/19/2011 6:39:16 PM PDT by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: donhunt

Do you have it stored next to your pocket protector ?

I bet you still know how to use it too.....I am not sure if it is good thing or not but it seems to me technology does a lot of thinking for students these days.....but then my son graduated with a degree in EE and in spite of technology he still had a number of long days in the lab and research in the library.....


35 posted on 10/19/2011 6:47:18 PM PDT by Kimmers (Pray more and shoot straight.........)
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To: bigheadfred

“My main objection to all the advances in “communication” technology is that people are losing the ability to actually communicate. And even worse: THINK”
___________________________________________

I have thought the same thing.
Internet communications certainly changed my life in a far
more radical way then it has for most everyone else.

Instead of a divorce, then hopping around the world, as I am now, I would probably be back on my Tennessee farm, sitting on the porch, sipping wine, overlooking my fields of cotton, or talking with other people around the world on my ham radio.


36 posted on 10/19/2011 6:50:17 PM PDT by AlexW
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To: Kimmers

The NY Times


37 posted on 10/19/2011 6:52:29 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (I am a Cainiac)
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To: Jotmo

men
marriage
manners
freedom


38 posted on 10/19/2011 7:01:25 PM PDT by gitmo (Hatred of those who think differently is the left's unifying principle.-Ralph Peters NY Post)
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To: OneWingedShark

I wholeheartedly agree that FW 400 is faster and better than USB 2.0 — but the FW folks had their heads stuck quite far up their butts regarding getting products made. We can blame HP for sticking us with USB, but we are indeed stuck with it. Had anyone bothered to standardize on FW right away (this means you, Apple), for keyboards, mice, flash drives (a FW flash drive was once made, I’ve heard), printers, etc, along with the usual external hard drives and cameras, that format war would have been over in about a year.

http://www.apple.com/thunderbolt/
https://discussions.apple.com/thread/3069803?start=0&tstart=0
http://www.gizmag.com/apple-hybrid-displayportusb-30-connector/18340/


39 posted on 10/19/2011 7:04:55 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (It's never a bad time to FReep this link -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Jotmo
“The point-and-shooters – and particularly the cameras that sell for under $200 – will eventually go away and be replaced by cellphones that do the same thing.”

Anyone can throw in a few megapixel sensor. The problem is getting a decent lens and flash. I bought a 12 megapixel camera with a 5x optical zoom and really close macro focus for $100 about a year ago. You might get the same sensor in a phone, but they'll put on a crappy little small aperture lens to give you enough depth of field to get away without focusing and a digial "zoom", but it won't be nearly as good as a five year old digital camera.

40 posted on 10/19/2011 7:05:21 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (Compare "Delay is preferable to error" - Thomas Jefferson // "Pass this bill now!" - Barack Obama)
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To: bigheadfred

LOL!


41 posted on 10/19/2011 7:06:12 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (It's never a bad time to FReep this link -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: 9YearLurker

bigheadfred’s on it.


42 posted on 10/19/2011 7:06:31 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (It's never a bad time to FReep this link -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: SunkenCiv

*nod* / Agree.

I’ve done my part; I’ve spent into the FireWire (ALL my portable hard-drives are FW, and I managed to get a sound-system with FW enabled). {And I’m *NOT* wealthy.}
I would snap up a FW TV, if a) I could find one, and b) I could afford it... I’d love to plug that into my SoundBlaster Audigy.


43 posted on 10/19/2011 7:25:45 PM PDT by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: jmcenanly

A Networked attached device or a media file server.


44 posted on 10/19/2011 7:31:02 PM PDT by Leto
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To: Jotmo

I disagree with 75% on the list. Camera, mp3 players, and e-readers in particular. DVD players and recordable cds and dvd’s also.

Most people I know and I deal with a lot of people don’t want everything to on instant viewing. At least 25% of the people I work with have no computer and do not plan to get one.


45 posted on 10/19/2011 7:58:43 PM PDT by packrat35 (America is rapidly becoming a police state that East Germany could be proud of!)
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To: AlexW

If it helps. I am a farmboy in Idaho, sipping from your provenance, talking to someone a world away. But yet not that, quite. Just talking to a FRiend.


46 posted on 10/19/2011 7:58:51 PM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: KarlInOhio

It;s just the PHD (push here, dummy) cameras that will disappear. In turn, the DSLR will get cheaper, and along with better cameras in phones, will fill in the gap the PHD cameras left. There’s already a phone with dual lenses to shoot 3D pictures. I wouldn’t be surprised to see, in a couple of years, phones with 1 or even 1.5cm lenses, and maybe even small telescoping lens stacks like the smaller PHD cameras.


47 posted on 10/19/2011 7:59:29 PM PDT by Little Pig (Vi Veri Veniversum Vivus Vici.)
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To: KarlInOhio

It;s just the PHD (push here, dummy) cameras that will disappear. In turn, the DSLR will get cheaper, and along with better cameras in phones, will fill in the gap the PHD cameras left. There’s already a phone with dual lenses to shoot 3D pictures. I wouldn’t be surprised to see, in a couple of years, phones with 1 or even 1.5cm lenses, and maybe even small telescoping lens stacks like the smaller PHD cameras.


48 posted on 10/19/2011 7:59:39 PM PDT by Little Pig (Vi Veri Veniversum Vivus Vici.)
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To: AlexW

I tried laptops for several years and just built a brand new desktop system. I will probably always keep one around.


49 posted on 10/19/2011 8:06:14 PM PDT by ican'tbelieveit (Washington,DC is FULL of people with Political Experience... How's that Working out for you??)
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To: Little Pig

No the cheaper cameras won’t disappear, they’ll just become freepies that are given out with magazine subscriptions. And phone cameras suck. I’ve yet to see one take a better picture than a regular cheap digital camera.

And they may come as a surprise to many here, but many of us don’t want all the crap they foist on us on our phones.


50 posted on 10/19/2011 8:08:51 PM PDT by packrat35 (America is rapidly becoming a police state that East Germany could be proud of!)
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