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If President Obama wins New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Virginia, it's game over!
Real Clear Politics ^ | Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Posted on 05/16/2012 10:33:45 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

According to Real Clear Politics, President Obama has 243 electoral votes wrapped up already. Right now, if he captures New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Virginia, those will be the 27 votes he'll need to get to the magical number 270 and another 4 years in the White House!

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 05/16/2012 10:33:48 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Right now, if he captures New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Virginia

Well, Virgil Goode is going to do what he can for Obama in Virginia. He might be on his own in New Hampshire and Wisconsin though.

2 posted on 05/16/2012 10:35:18 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

And if a meteor hits the White House while Obama is in it, he will not be re-elected.


3 posted on 05/16/2012 10:35:27 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: MinorityRepublican

I’m in NH, and starting to lean towards Virgil Goode. so my vote counts much more than say, California or Illinois. What to do. in the immortal words of a great hero, “I have the POWER!!!”


4 posted on 05/16/2012 10:36:36 AM PDT by King Moonracer (Bad lighting and cheap fabric, that's how you sell clothing.....)
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To: MinorityRepublican

“According to Real Clear Politics, President Obama has 243 electoral votes wrapped up already.”

LOL!

Idiots.


5 posted on 05/16/2012 10:37:23 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: MinorityRepublican

Ubama is toast. People are lying to pollsters because they know that if you say you aren’t voting for the usurper you are a racist.


6 posted on 05/16/2012 10:37:41 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Do I really need a sarcasm tag? Seriously? You're that dense?)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Real clear my ass


7 posted on 05/16/2012 10:38:22 AM PDT by b4its2late (A Liberal is a person who will give away everything he doesn't own.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Wow, I was feeling good after watching Dick Morris.


8 posted on 05/16/2012 10:40:20 AM PDT by MNDude
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To: MinorityRepublican

This is so cool! A map which shows the two America’s! The red states where people work at jobs in the private sector and create value. And the blue states where self-righteous Marxist sympathizers plot ways to leach from and punish the productive members of society in the red states.

Sure would be easy to link up the red states and secede. Wonder how long it would take the blue state to discover the fee market then?


9 posted on 05/16/2012 10:42:34 AM PDT by LucianOfSamasota (Tanstaafl - its not just for breakfast anymore...)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Read this: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2884383/posts

Before you beleive ANYTHING “RealClearPolitics” has to say.


10 posted on 05/16/2012 10:46:49 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

They have MI in leans Obama. Its at least a toss up state and in my mind a probable loss for Obama.


11 posted on 05/16/2012 10:46:53 AM PDT by CharacterCounts (A vote for the lesser of two evils only insures the triumph of evil.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Real Clear Politics has always leaned left and has a bad habit of ignoring polls that have favored republican candidates.


12 posted on 05/16/2012 10:47:00 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I’m not a racist.....:-)


13 posted on 05/16/2012 10:48:10 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: King Moonracer
I’m in NH, and starting to lean towards Virgil Goode.

Is the Constitution Party on the NH ballot?

14 posted on 05/16/2012 10:50:27 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

According to the website, they are counting these for Obama.

Maine (4)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Nevada (6)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
Oregon (7)
Pennsylvania (20)

No way are Minnesota, Michigan and Pennsylvania all going zero this time. I don’t think they like pain that much.


15 posted on 05/16/2012 10:51:20 AM PDT by cicero2k
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To: MinorityRepublican

Why anyone would reference Real Clear Politics’s average of polls is beyond me. Its an average of all polls whether legitimate or biased. Its virtually useless and its always a trailing average. Better to pick one polling organization that polls states fairly often and then follow the trends.

Better to have the Dems think that NC is a toss up state (look at Rasmussen’s NC poll this morning) when in reality this state will go GOP, same with Mo.


16 posted on 05/16/2012 10:52:19 AM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: Drew68
i’m in Va. and the only reason dem Jerry Connolly is my congressman is a conservative 3rd party guy got 1800 votes
17 posted on 05/16/2012 10:56:33 AM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Red Steel

Real Clear Politics has always leaned left and has a bad habit of ignoring polls that have favored republican candidates.

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Agreed. They toss in every Lefty poll in existence (PPP, colleges, Reuters, etc). And those tend to be very squishy (smaller samples, registered voters or simply adults, instead of likely voters).

Also their articles include every Lefty looney on the planet.


18 posted on 05/16/2012 10:57:08 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
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To: MinorityRepublican

This assumes the states will go the same way as in 2008. It will not be the case this time. Better to look at what happened in 2010 to see what will likely happen in 2012 similar to the way the 2006 midterms forecast what happened in 2008.


19 posted on 05/16/2012 10:58:27 AM PDT by kabar
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To: BarnacleCenturion

And they include AZ, NC, Indiana, and Missouri as toss up states. South Carolina and Georgia only lean to Romney.


20 posted on 05/16/2012 11:03:00 AM PDT by kabar
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To: MinorityRepublican

If voting for anyone other than the Republican nominee, you will become willing participants/sheeple in the destruction of our country by absolutely ensuring an Obama victory


21 posted on 05/16/2012 11:07:19 AM PDT by DefeatCorruption
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To: MinorityRepublican

If Obama wins all the states he won last time, he will win the election.


22 posted on 05/16/2012 11:07:33 AM PDT by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
This is not as bad as it looks and actually improved this week with WI moving from “leans Barry” to “toss-up”, which reduced Barry's electoral total from 253 down to 243...and falling, IMO.

RCP merely aggregates the most recent state-by-state polling, but many of those polls go back months and are very out-of-date.

You can see the underlying polls for each state if you go to the expanded view of the electoral map and click in a state.

If all state polls were current as of this week, I expect that the GOP (and the shameless chameleon) would be in a much stronger position. We won't really see what “this week” looks like in the RCP averages until several weeks from now, given the lag in getting up-to-date state polls.

23 posted on 05/16/2012 11:07:51 AM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: cicero2k

They have North Carolina as a toss up?

Michigan will be contested in the court. Same with Jersey. New Mexico is a Republican governor who will probably speak at the convention. Pennsylvania will be won by Obama only because 150% of Philly will vote for him. Nevada is too late. The SEIU got to the machines.

He can have Oregon.


24 posted on 05/16/2012 11:08:05 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Would you rather eat dog food or cat food? Guess it's Romney 2012.)
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To: lacrew
If Obama wins all the states he won last time, he will win the election.

Thank you, Captain Obvious.

25 posted on 05/16/2012 11:08:24 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Bulwinkle
i’m in Va. and the only reason dem Jerry Connolly is my congressman is a conservative 3rd party guy got 1800 votes

Virgil Goode will do the same for Obama. Goode won't get a fraction of a percent in the other 49 states but in his home state of Virginia, where he has the name recognition that comes with serving as a former congressman, he could conceivably pull 5% away from Romney. This is a highly contested state and a 5% handicap would devastate Romney's chances here. And if he loses Virginia, Romney has lost the election.

Virgil Goode's supporters seem to be pleased with this outcome.

26 posted on 05/16/2012 11:10:30 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Also, it was noted in another thread that today RCP just moved Wisconsion from “leans Obama” to “tossup”.

I think you will see more of that.

This adds many more scenarios for Ubama to be ousted.

I still maintain that if you start with RCP’s 170 likely for Romney, one then adds:

FL - 29
NC - 15
VA - 13
AZ - 11
MO - 10
IA - 6

That’s 84 more for 254

Pick one of OH (18), MI (16), or PA (20), and Ubama is gone.

That excludes several other possible states:

WI - 10
CO - 9
NH - 4

Romney is trending well in some other “leans Obama” states also (NJ, OR).


27 posted on 05/16/2012 11:18:45 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
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To: Drew68

I’m in VA too and have yet to see a single Romney bumper sticker. That concerns me. I’m no Mitt fan by the way.


28 posted on 05/16/2012 11:20:22 AM PDT by VA_Gentleman ("Poor Al Gore. Global warming completely debunked via the very internet you invented." -Jon Stewart)
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To: Drew68

It won’t be close. Romney will win a sizeable electoral victory and a 53-47 pop margin.


29 posted on 05/16/2012 11:23:41 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Ubama is toast. People are lying to pollsters because they know that if you say you aren’t voting for the usurper you are a racist.

Many FReepers were absolutely convinced of that all the way to election day in 2008. Remember the "Bradley Effect?"

30 posted on 05/16/2012 11:26:03 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: ScottinVA

That was then. This is now.


31 posted on 05/16/2012 11:27:47 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Do I really need a sarcasm tag? Seriously? You're that dense?)
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To: LS
Agreed.

Americans are done with Obama.

32 posted on 05/16/2012 11:32:13 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: MinorityRepublican
magical number 270 and another 4 years in the White House!

He's got it now, and he knows it.

Doesn't matter if he down 47 to 39 to Romney. Polls do not matter. Individual votes do not matter. Only those who count the votes matter, that is being done in Spain this year.

Obama will win, if he has to threaten delegates with death to vote for him in the E.C., he will.

We constitutionalists need to figure out how we're going to oppose Obama in the next 4 years, rather than focus on the horse race. 'Cause Obama's already got that in the bag.

33 posted on 05/16/2012 11:43:02 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (I will vote against ANY presidential candidate who had non-citizen parents.)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Agreed!...LMAO!


34 posted on 05/16/2012 11:45:52 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: fortheDeclaration

In 2010 Michigan elected a Republican as Governor and has a Rep. legislature.

I don’t think Bozo is as popular as the lefties think. Sure he will win the Welfare culture counties. Wayne, Ingham, Kalamazoo.

I wouldn’t be suprised to see Bozo loose Michigan.


35 posted on 05/16/2012 11:47:26 AM PDT by VRWCarea51
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To: fortheDeclaration
America's dead end road to socialism is over...
36 posted on 05/16/2012 11:51:10 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: VA_Gentleman
I’m in VA too and have yet to see a single Romney bumper sticker. That concerns me. I’m no Mitt fan by the way.

I won't put a Mitt bumper sticker on my vehicles. I'm waiting to find out who he chooses for VP so I can say that I'm voting for (Palin, Ryan, Huckabee, etc).

37 posted on 05/16/2012 11:52:01 AM PDT by Retired COB (Still mad about Campaign Finance Reform)
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To: Drew68

Well, Virgil Goode is going to do what he can for Obama in Virginia.”

I wouldn’t worry about Virgil Goode in Virginia.

Or anywhere else for that matter.


38 posted on 05/16/2012 11:59:06 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Drew68
Br'r Drew68, you have outgrown your britches and your butt's showing.

Time to become an adult and lissen' up ~ if people want to vote for Virgil Goode, they have every right to do that. If you don't want Obama in the race, you know what to do but do you have the guts to do that.

That way it won't matter who we run for President, Obama won't be there.

39 posted on 05/16/2012 12:15:11 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: MinorityRepublican

Bull crap. The pollsters have no idea how sick the American people are of this affirmative action Marxist grifter. Another bit of propoganda to influence the vote.


40 posted on 05/16/2012 12:27:28 PM PDT by thethirddegree
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To: MinorityRepublican

Gee, if he wins the swing states, he wins the elections? Thanks for that cogent electoral analysis without which we might never know why we should all just give up and shove our heads in the sand.


41 posted on 05/16/2012 12:31:27 PM PDT by dangus
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To: Bulwinkle
The only reason a Conservative guy didn't win the race is the Republicans bothered running again ~

There were 5 candidates ~ and Fimian had LOST in 2008 against "The Cannoli"

New blood was needed ~ but Herrity lost to Fimian in a primary.

The near final count had the candidates as follows:

Gerry Connolly Dem 49.3%

Keith Fimian GOP 48.9%

Christopher DeCarlo Ind 0.8%

David Dotson Libertarian 0.6%

David Gillis Independent Green 0.4%

When the final tally was recounted some time later Connolly won more votes than Fimian.

We could have had a Representative who was a member of the Ruling Party in the House, but NOOOOOO ~ Fimian thought he deserved another shot.

He didn't get it.

I think we only have two Republicans running for the 11th District slot this time ~ one of them sounds OK except he believes he can win an election in a district with 180,000 government lawyers by noting people need guns to protect themselves from "the government'. Frankly, I don't think he has a chance ~ 'cause word does get out eh ~ but there you have it.

The retired colonel will probably win it, then Connolly will lie again and tell us he's reformed and won't be bad anymore ~ and he'll probably beat the colonel like a wet rug.

42 posted on 05/16/2012 1:38:18 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: VA_Gentleman
I doubt you will ever see a Romney sticker here. He was told he didn't need bothering to campaign in Virginia so it's off his list.

He really doesn't care that we had an historic low turnout for a primary ~ he's perfectly happy winning it on a technicality.

Odds are good that Romney won't get enough votes to win in Virginia but there will be a record turnout to put all the other Republicans into office.

Somebody ought to canvas the stake presidents to see if conversions are UP or DOWN ~ I just bet they're way down.

43 posted on 05/16/2012 1:42:07 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: kabar

“And they include AZ, NC, Indiana, and Missouri as toss up states.”

Real Clear Politics is lib central. The polls are informative but pay no attention to their analysis.


44 posted on 05/16/2012 2:21:20 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: dangus

There are too many swing states for battle, while Romney shouuld win the most elections so Obama only needs 3 swing st
ates where his lead is pretty significant at the moment.


45 posted on 05/16/2012 3:52:45 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: VRWCarea51

Hoekstra is running a dreadful Senate campaign in Michigan. First the bizarre Super Bowl ad and now he’s advocating for oil drilling under the Great Lakes - even though it’s prohibited by Michigan state law.

He’s coming across as an out-of-touch DC insider. I think Michigan voters are going to punish him and the Republicans over it.


46 posted on 05/16/2012 5:18:09 PM PDT by sbMKE
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To: muawiyah
i think there is another independent trying to get on the ballot. saw him trying to get signatures inside the library in fairfax city.
47 posted on 05/17/2012 11:00:30 AM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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