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Hurricane Sandy Will Not Land in the US (10-23-12)
WeatherAction.Com ^ | 23 October 2012 | Piers Corbyn

Posted on 10/28/2012 10:04:32 PM PDT by Fractal Trader

Piers Corbyn's Weather prediction

RtTy WeatherAction EndGame advisory: Hurr Sandy will track to East of Official projections  http://bit.ly/QQvj9t

(Excerpt) Read more at twitpic.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: hurricanesandy; weather
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To: RSmithOpt

You have set me straight. Now I see the severity of the problem.

hallaluja! pass them biscuits. I see the light.


201 posted on 10/29/2012 12:36:20 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: eyedigress
I've already used the "don't let a crisis go to waste" line when talking to a cohort. I am fully aware of what they will do. I believe my exact words to him were: " I have no doubts team Obama are already trying to figure out an angle by which they can use this...be it changing the voting day because people are without power...or swooping in and acting like a hero."

And after the FEMA coordination calls I listened to...it's probably going to be the latter.

202 posted on 10/29/2012 12:37:33 AM PDT by NELSON111
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To: stanne

I don’t blame him. If you don’t have to fool with it then don’t. I was just trained in CPR again by a 70yr old lifeguard in RI. He was very funny.

Just prepare. God Bless


203 posted on 10/29/2012 12:38:36 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: RSmithOpt

My problem was that I expected people to band together, help each other out, clean up the mess and pass around coffee and stuff when the Red Cross or Baptist Men showed up.

I hadn’t really thought about what happens in other ‘hoods. Looting and wilding and all that.

Now that I have been brought back to the “real world” I understand. I think I might actually be less sympathetic though, if there is widespread looting and craziness anyways


204 posted on 10/29/2012 12:40:33 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Gabz

Thanks for the correction. It’s all hype and tax money. Funny how Nashville didn’t get help.

I forgot, we take care of our neighbors.


205 posted on 10/29/2012 12:42:38 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: NELSON111
According to you, the USACE already did during Katrina and we all know how that turn out!

Night,

206 posted on 10/29/2012 12:44:53 AM PDT by Errant
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To: Errant
And for what it's worth (and again...want proof...freepmail me and I will get it to you...), I and a couple other forecasters were warning OUR customers about this when the NHC was still drinking the GFS cool-aid. I bought the ECMWF-CFS model solution long before the GFS and its models did. Why? Because the AVNO was the right outlier...save 4 members of the ensemble that took it to Spain. The rest of the ensemble suit hooked it back left with the EURO/Canadian.

The problem I had with my initial forecast a week ago was I expected MUCH more cold air. There was a pocket of -10F air up in the Yukon and I anticipated this breaking off and coming down. So...I actually initially forecasted a lake effect snow event due to strong fetch off of Michigan, Erie and Ontario....plus Erie is still at 50F. I thought there would be much more snow. However, by Wed I saw the forecasted thickness values were high (about 950 or so around the coast) and that the cold air wasnt breaking free and realized there would be no snow...so I backed off and pulled the heavy snow west.

207 posted on 10/29/2012 12:46:12 AM PDT by NELSON111
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To: GeronL
Sarcasm? Me?? Say it ain't so.....

The question begs now: "Will Zeewoe say we now have hundreds of thousands of shovel ready jobs???"....ooopss that might be classified as construction for the BLS.

208 posted on 10/29/2012 12:49:21 AM PDT by RSmithOpt (Liberalism: Highway to Hell)
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To: Errant
Ha. Nice try. I just make the weather forecast...not the forecast for levee breaches...or the dem politicians that routed money away from them.

Using my trusty SLOSH model...and some historical surge values (Betsy, Andrew and '47)...my forecast was pretty close...but a little high. Think I had a max of 20' along the LA coast...15' at Lakefront...and 30' along MS.

Of course...by the time Katrina got to the coast...it was sort of like your argument: Weak! :-)

209 posted on 10/29/2012 12:51:47 AM PDT by NELSON111
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To: Shadowstrike

You must have driven a couple counties over to get out of the way of Andrew and Katrina.


210 posted on 10/29/2012 12:58:30 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: NELSON111
Stick with AF weather. You'll never make it as a comedian... :)

Night!

BTW, Don't forget to take your umbrella to work tomorrow...

211 posted on 10/29/2012 12:58:40 AM PDT by Errant
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To: GeronL
re 204: Yes. I live in the country and our little niche helped each other well after Fran....37 people went thru my shower in 1.5 days....half I didn't know....mostly families of friends' kids friends and their parents, etc.

Probably won't be a jar of jelly nowhere in NE on the shelves after Sandy humps the metroplexes.

The LSM sure is squeezing every drop of hype they can get from this storm. Bengazi-gate is a big catastrophe too----4 dedicated Americans being sacrificed for political reasons by the anti-Israel resident-in-chief...."Nuttin' to see here...move along".

And our media loves big stories... right. /s

212 posted on 10/29/2012 1:01:34 AM PDT by RSmithOpt (Liberalism: Highway to Hell)
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To: NELSON111

Did you just say Katrina was weak when it hit the coast? Tell that to Missippians. Wow.


213 posted on 10/29/2012 1:01:44 AM PDT by petitfour
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To: wardaddy

The gulf doesn’t produce storms like this one. LA is sparsley populated and the surrounding states don’t have that many people. This is a different animal.


214 posted on 10/29/2012 1:05:29 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: Professional

No, even without the storm the media isn’t going to cover Benghazi.


215 posted on 10/29/2012 1:09:14 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Carry me back

Sounds like everybody in New England and along the East Coast needs to move if the storms are so bad. Why do you think the Mississippi Gulf Coast and Southern Louisiana are sparsely populated?


216 posted on 10/29/2012 1:09:55 AM PDT by petitfour
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To: GeronL
It is always awesome when the MSM goes ape-crap about something and is wrong.  

It's all about getting Benghazi off the front page.


 

217 posted on 10/29/2012 1:14:07 AM PDT by Bon mots (Abu Ghraib: 47 Times on the front page of the NY Times | Benghazi: 2 Times)
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To: GeronL

NYC alone has as many people as LA, Miss combined. Not to mention all the other states.


218 posted on 10/29/2012 1:14:32 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: ApplegateRanch

Did you see the youtube video saying that the gov’t super heated the atmosphere to make this storm ? It was a black guy and he said it helped Obama.

I’m wondering how they brought it up the east coast. How did they control the jet stream ? tic


219 posted on 10/29/2012 1:19:39 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: steve86

A full moon even makes fishing better at least for 1 or 2 hours. The fish go crazy.


220 posted on 10/29/2012 1:22:27 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: Errant

I think Katrina hit land as a cat 2 or low 3. About 110 mph


221 posted on 10/29/2012 1:26:17 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: NELSON111

Yep, thanks for the info. Katrina was a bad event, but it was not the storm some are making it out to be. Unfortunate for those people.


222 posted on 10/29/2012 1:29:34 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: NELSON111

Some guy talking about a small river in Tenn flooding and 40 tornadoes which most probably hit in country areas. Unreal !


223 posted on 10/29/2012 1:41:13 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: NELSON111

Some guy talking about a small river in Tenn flooding and 40 tornadoes which most probably hit in country areas. Unreal !


224 posted on 10/29/2012 1:41:13 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: Carry me back

That would be me. Carry on


225 posted on 10/29/2012 1:48:49 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: Carry me back

Tell me your sad story. I’m sure it’s riveting as hell.


226 posted on 10/29/2012 1:51:33 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: Carry me back

You can privately reply if you want but this storm is bs.


227 posted on 10/29/2012 1:53:38 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: petitfour

Katrina was a cat 2 when it hit I believe. Nelson would know maybe it wasn’t that strong.


228 posted on 10/29/2012 2:00:07 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: Carry me back

Don’t ever try that again.


229 posted on 10/29/2012 2:01:06 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: eyedigress

I don’t have a sad story. You’re the one who told that about some nothing river flooding. Never heard of that before. Did you cry ?


230 posted on 10/29/2012 2:02:03 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: Carry me back

It was a Cat 3 on landfall.


231 posted on 10/29/2012 2:03:42 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: Carry me back

I did not cry. I went to Nashville and helped out. I knew it was not going to be well given the control system.

Are you crying now?

You have no idea of the magnitude of rain that the TN river valley endured in that event. This is a cakewalk, provided you know what that means. Where was numbnuts with money?

Phhhhhtt. We took care of it.


232 posted on 10/29/2012 2:11:57 AM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: eyedigress

I understand it was a tough time and you took care of it. Congrats on that. You just don’t understand what this storm could bring imo. I hope it doesn’t. Sorry you didn’t get any money, you probably should have from what I hear.


233 posted on 10/29/2012 2:29:01 AM PDT by Carry me back
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To: Professional
This Benghazi buster is also shutting down NYSE and all the media inside of it. I think some big news about Benghazi will break on monday.

Yes, Obama will announce he personally ordered the killing of "those folks responsible". He'll do it in an Oval Office address to the nation, and every network, as his willing foot slaves, will oblige.

234 posted on 10/29/2012 2:29:09 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: GeronL; All

Bloomberg banned “Big Gulps”, now the irony is that NYC is about to take a “big gulp” of sea water!


235 posted on 10/29/2012 2:49:09 AM PDT by mdmathis6 (The big problem with dictators is that empowering them always seems like a good idea at the time.)
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To: Fractal Trader

`This is 4 days old..Where is a more recent model?


236 posted on 10/29/2012 3:04:46 AM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: MEG33

The real question is why Free Republic embarrassing itself by having this thread in Breaking.


237 posted on 10/29/2012 3:07:23 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist

Indeed


238 posted on 10/29/2012 3:13:22 AM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: Strategerist

Now in chat..Thanks moderator


239 posted on 10/29/2012 3:16:20 AM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: xkaydet65

Have a brother and sister in Shirley - - got any news from there? We were e-mailing Sunday afternoon - -

Sister-in-law in East Meadow.

I am also Manhattan-born, Long Island raised. Both Nassau and Suffolk counties.

In Calif 43 years now.
Earthquakes here. Also nasty Santa Anas.

Hurricanes, blizzards back there -
Blinding duststorms in New Mexico - been thru them all.
Always be prepared - - -

Catch all this after some shut-eye - -


240 posted on 10/29/2012 3:35:57 AM PDT by USARightSide (S U P P O R T I N G OUR T R O O P S)
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To: Do Be
I think we may have been hyped. I went to weather.com and pulled up the five day forecast for DC. NY, Boston, Binghamton,NY and York,Pa.

In none of the forecasts was there any suggestion of flooding or rains over 1 inch, or of winds over 40 miles per hour. One would think if the world were coming to an end due to weather, it would show up somewhere in the local forecast.

You do not know what you are talking about. I live in York PA and we are under a high wind warning and a flood watch – forecast of 3” to 6” of rain by tomorrow evening and sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts of 60 to 70 mph for the next 24 hours.

I’m not panicking nor do I think it is going to be the end of the world but I’ve been through enough nor’easters and tropical storms to know not to take them lightly. I saw firsthand the flooding here from last year’s TS Lee, saw the roads washed out, houses and businesses flooded including the business I work for, and that was without 60 – 70 mph wind gusts.

241 posted on 10/29/2012 3:52:31 AM PDT by MD Expat in PA
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To: GeronL

Who wants the sympathy of one of the most stupid human beings to ever walk the planet?


242 posted on 10/29/2012 3:55:46 AM PDT by sakic
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To: eyedigress

Hey genius, you can’t get flood insurance around where the storm is coming.


243 posted on 10/29/2012 4:20:13 AM PDT by sakic
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To: Fractal Trader

Been watching some news feeds online with Hurricane Coverage.
Fox in Philadelphia:
http://www.myfoxphilly.com/video?autoStart=true&topVideoCatNo=default&flvUri=rtmp://cp154692.live.edgefcs.net/live/WTXF_N1@27994&streamType=live&adTag=News%20-%20Live%20Stream&enableAds=true&headline=

Fox in New York City:
http://www.myfoxny.com/category/237033/live-video-on-myfoxny

Fox in Boston:
http://www.myfoxboston.com/category/238628/click-here-to-watch-fox-25-morning-news

and for kicks KRON in San Francisco with Giants stuff:
http://www.kron.com/News/WatchOnline.aspx


244 posted on 10/29/2012 4:22:18 AM PDT by Mozilla
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To: Kirkwood

Your friend on the north shore of Long Island did not face the surge. A few of my neighbors on the south shore had two feet of water in their houses.


245 posted on 10/29/2012 4:25:21 AM PDT by sakic
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To: stanne
He could tell them there’s something coming this way.

Or in the words of Ray Bradbury, "Something wicked this way comes."

246 posted on 10/29/2012 4:25:44 AM PDT by Labyrinthos
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To: eyedigress

An idiot calls others dumb.


247 posted on 10/29/2012 4:28:23 AM PDT by sakic
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To: M-cubed

Maybe you don’t understand that trees with leaves come down easier and take down power lines. Our local hospital was evacuated yesterday. Let me know when you think it’s a crisis.


248 posted on 10/29/2012 4:34:00 AM PDT by sakic
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To: Beaten Valve

I was watching the 11 PM WNBC-TV news, and judging by the looks of the video, it sure looks like it’s going to hit.


I went to bed last night entertaining the idea that it would probably just keep going straight out to sea, but I woke up this morning to see it had taken that left turn towards new york just as they predicted.


249 posted on 10/29/2012 4:36:44 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: GeronL

Stupid and racist is redundant.


250 posted on 10/29/2012 4:37:35 AM PDT by sakic
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