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Vanity: I was wrong and I'm done projecting elections

Posted on 11/06/2012 8:49:23 PM PST by HamiltonJay

Okay, I was wrong so I'm done tryin to call elections. 4 years from now I am just going to say nothing.

How anyone can fail so fully and win re-election is beyond me.

Obviously America is becoming a nation of takers and not makers.

So flame away. I was wrong, horribly so, so go ahead and take your shots.


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To: HamiltonJay

It really just boils down to that it’s us against them, and by “them” I mean both parties and the entire Washington establishment.

We get played for suckers AND we get stuck with the bill. Fun game for them, disaster for us.


21 posted on 11/06/2012 9:00:06 PM PST by Bullish (The stench from this amateur regime stinks all the way to Kenya.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Well you’re in good company. It was a razor thin election and there was really a chance for the landslide. Plenty of superficial and uniformed voters out there.


22 posted on 11/06/2012 9:00:25 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: HamiltonJay

We are a nation of ice cream eaters. The politician who promises who promises us more ice cream is the one we elect.


23 posted on 11/06/2012 9:00:48 PM PST by Dapper 26
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To: HamiltonJay

Don’t be so hard on yourself. We at least got the 47%-53% thing right. Only now we’re the 47%, but who knew? But rest assured, the tyranny of the majority (i.e., slavery) has never worked out, so eventually we’ll be free again. At least, those of us who survive the coming years. Good luck, everyone!


24 posted on 11/06/2012 9:01:00 PM PST by kevao (Hey, Obama: The 1930s called, they want their economic policy back.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Don’t feel bad. I made the same predictions, just not here. And didn’t Gallup and Ras screw the pooch as well?


25 posted on 11/06/2012 9:01:28 PM PST by SoCal Pubbie
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To: KoRn

“If any network was legit, Dick Morris would be a laughing stock, wouldn’t be allowed on TV again, let alone even comment on a small town race for dog catcher after this mess is over with. Karl Rove isn’t much better.”

At least Rove managed to get W re-elected. I don’t think Morris ever did anything useful for Republicans. He probably has a good heart and wants to believe but he’s no different than anyone else here as far as actually getting the job done.


26 posted on 11/06/2012 9:01:35 PM PST by ari-freedom
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To: HamiltonJay

I was wrong too. I believed the pollsters were wrong in their assumptions re the electorate. I also couldn’t see how a person that has so utterly failed could be re elected. I apologize.


27 posted on 11/06/2012 9:03:01 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Hoosier-Daddy
Lots of things do not add up.

Agree 100%

Or, 110% in lib count.

28 posted on 11/06/2012 9:03:35 PM PST by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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I too am beyond stunned at the spectacular failures of my predictions. I travel for a living, I read at least 4 hours a day, every day. Every thing I saw and heard and read pointed to no f’n way, yet here we are.

How far must the country fall?


29 posted on 11/06/2012 9:04:07 PM PST by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: bgill

“I’ve been saying hussein would get about 300 but no one believed me. Not going to dump on you but will dump on the GOP because they handed him the election two times now. I said at the beginning of the campaign the fix was in and now we know it was. We don’t have a two party system. The GOP is pitch hitting for the left. Who knows when they switched sides? I didn’t notice until the middle of W’s time but suspect it was already done long before that.”

GOP isn’t the problem. You don’t want to admit that they are doing what they can to keep up with a liberal electorate. That’s the problem.


30 posted on 11/06/2012 9:04:09 PM PST by ari-freedom
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To: rdl6989

Dick Morris should do the same...

...to say nothing of Karl Rove...he’s still on Fox arguing that Ohio shouldn’t have been called...Michael Barone (who ought to kind of slink away as well for his predictive powers) came out and schooled him why the numbers aren’t there for Romney...

...as for Morris...did anyone take his claptrap seriously? If so, you should have known better...the guy is what you could call a brilliant idiot...


31 posted on 11/06/2012 9:04:31 PM PST by IrishBrigade
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To: HamiltonJay

I’m not going to rip anyone, but I have two requests

1. ENOUGH with the anecdotes. I’m seeing a lot more campaign signs. I hardly know anyone who is voting for the Democrats.

THAT STUFF MEANS NOTHING! Until you know about 40 million people, your anecdotes mean zip, zero, zilch nada, as Rush would say

2. Yes, enough with people predicting election outcomes. I would appreciate that.

-George


32 posted on 11/06/2012 9:04:31 PM PST by Calif Conservative (rwr and gwb backer)
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To: ari-freedom

I was also very wrong on my projections. And it wasn’t based on emotions. I follow 100 political people on twitter and analyzed 100’s of polls over the last 2 months. I really felt Romney would win by 6 points and 300 EV’s.

I was really wrong and I admit it. Don’t ever listen to me again.


33 posted on 11/06/2012 9:04:31 PM PST by gswilder
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To: SoCal Pubbie

Nate Silver is the man. Sorry to say. He called it exactly right.


34 posted on 11/06/2012 9:04:40 PM PST by paul544
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To: HamiltonJay
I'm right there with you. The funny thing is, the predictions weren't that far off - a 1% swing our way, and FL/OH/VA and maybe IA go our way, along with the White House.

My big surprise of the night was New Hampshire - I really expected it to fall our way, but I suspect the intervention of Hurricane Sandy may have had something to do with that.

The lesson I learned was to stop ignoring history - beating an incumbent President is very difficult, by my contempt for Obama made me forget.

35 posted on 11/06/2012 9:05:23 PM PST by TonyInOhio (I still believe America is worth fighting for.)
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To: HamiltonJay

I was right there with you. I hope DU is so proud so many of the are on food stamps right now.


36 posted on 11/06/2012 9:05:23 PM PST by mplsconservative (Barack Hussein 0bama has American blood on HIS hands!)
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To: HamiltonJay
Back when we had nine candidates, and Palin had not dropped out, I said that none of the nine would ever be president.

I was ripped brutally for saying that if Palin did not run it was because she felt God did not want her to. I said if She didn't run it was because we have earned God's judgement.

God help us for there is no other hope but Jesus.

I am done.

37 posted on 11/06/2012 9:06:27 PM PST by itsahoot (Any enemy, that is allowed to have a King's X line, is undefeatable. (USS Taluga AO-62))
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To: HamiltonJay
..you are not alone, but the crowd should be larger

Some really big names bought the farm with their predictions tonight--goodnight Republic...

“My God! How little do my countrymen know what precious blessings they are in possession of, and which no other people on earth enjoy!” ― Thomas Jefferson

38 posted on 11/06/2012 9:06:32 PM PST by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: HamiltonJay

No flaming from me. I had better hope for this country. I don’t recognize what America has become. I am just in a state of total disbelief. I don’t understand how people can vote for him. I’m sworn off politics for awhile I think. This is more than I can take right now.


39 posted on 11/06/2012 9:06:34 PM PST by myrabach
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To: HamiltonJay

I followed your posts every day and they made me happy. I wanted to believe them too. Don’t beat yourself up, none of us want to face what has become of our beloved country.


40 posted on 11/06/2012 9:06:37 PM PST by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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