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Ebola Surveillance Thread
Free Republic Threads ^ | August 10, 2014 | Legion

Posted on 08/10/2014 12:46:23 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe

I have spent a little time compiling links to threads about the Ebola outbreak in the interest of having all the links in one thread for future reference.

Please add links to new threads and articles of interest as the situation develops.

Thank You all for you participation.


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: africa; airborne; cdc; czar; doctor; ebola; ebolaczar; ebolagate; ebolainamerica; ebolaoutbreak; ebolaphonywar; ebolastrains; ebolathread; ebolatransmission; ebolavaccine; ebolaviralload; ebolavirus; emory; epidemic; fluseason; frieden; health; healthcare; hospital; incubation; isolation; jahrling; liberia; nih; obamasfault; obola; outbreak; overpopulation; pandemic; peterjahrling; population; populationcontrol; protocols; publichealth; publicschools; quarantine; quarantined; ronklain; schools; sierraleone; talkradio; terrorism; thomasfrieden; tolerance; travel; travelban; trojanhorse; usarmy
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To: Shelayne; Black Agnes

Yeah, bleach wipes because the spray on the floor might cause a slip and fall. Picturing full PPE clad HCW lifting foot to wipe bottom of booties while braced against wall and then...uh, WTH? Where do I put my foot? Oh, and don’t forget to wipe the wall.

The Keystone Kops were less inept than the CDC brass have shown themselves to be.

More political AH office admin types solving the world’s problems one ream of paper at a time.

How many head nurses do you think were involved in the making of the protocol?

Do you think there was even one full dress run through with MSF rep watching? I’m sure Major Tom was meticulous in his reviewing exercising an overabundance of care.


4,401 posted on 10/22/2014 1:13:15 PM PDT by Covenantor ("Men are ruled...by liars who refuse them news, and by fools who cannot govern." Chesterton)
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To: Dark Wing

I am not unfamiliar with statistics having taken several statistics classes, although I am no expert statistician either. What I don’t understand is how the probability curve is set at 0 when the bar graphs are clearly indicating several cases?


4,402 posted on 10/22/2014 1:28:39 PM PDT by freespirit2012
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To: Dark Wing

The data on infection date is suspect due to differences between the rural model used and the current urban environment. The latter also presents the potential for fomite infection.


4,403 posted on 10/22/2014 3:59:15 PM PDT by Thud
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A West Haven family has been quarantined in accordance with Governor’s Malloy’s emergency Ebola orders.

http://wtnh.com/2014/10/22/west-haven-family-quarantined-after-traveling-to-west-africa

4,404 posted on 10/22/2014 4:56:55 PM PDT by Oorang (Tyranny thrives where government need not fear the wrath of an armed people - Alex Kozinski)
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To: Smokin' Joe
Homeland Security says four Dulles passengers were taken to a local hospital after Ebola screenings

Ill Liberian national hospitalized for possible Ebola after landing at Newark Airport

Rick Perry whiffs in President Obama’s Ebola footsteps (Not-Quite-Ready-For_Primetime Candidate)

Passenger who arrived at Newark Airport being evaluated for Ebola

Chicago Hospitals Monitoring 2 Sick Passengers From Liberia, CDC Not Testing For Ebola

Ebola Czar Ron Klain Says "Overpopulation" Top Concern

Ebola Debuts on Americans' List of Top U.S. Problems

German clinic forced to scrap two machines worth £1m because Ebola patient vomited on them

POLITICO poll: Democrats in danger over Ebola

A Promising Experimental Ebola Drug Goes Overlooked

Gov. Rick Perry announces 2 new Ebola treatment facilities UTSW in Dallas and UTMB in Galveston

Czar Klain: No Way To Run a Republic

Muslim Burial Practices Blamed for Spread of Ebola Virus

Ebola, race and fear (Only in the US, of course)

Highly-Rated D.C.-Area Hospital Turned Away Suspected Ebola Patient

A Look at Ebola

U.S. to Route Passengers From Ebola-Hit Nations to 5 Airports

Satire: NIH Deflects Criticism of Spending Priorities

DHS: All passengers from Ebola affected countries to fly through 1 of 5 airports

Now an African country is screening incoming Americans and Spaniards for Ebola

Dr Rand Paul Should Be Held Accountable for Whipping Up Frenzy About "Incredibly Contagious" Ebola

Is Climate Change To Blame For The Ebola Outbreak?

Hospitals Gird for Ebola Panic as Flu Season Looms

What Congressmen Are Told About Ebola

The Media Are Much Scarier than Ebola

COMMENTARY: Health workers need optimal respiratory protection for Ebola

Do we really need an Ebola Czar?

Rwanda requires US, Spain visitor health reports

Ebola Study Projects Spread of Virus on Overseas Flights

Lanny Davis: Ron Klain as Ebola czar — Right person for the right job at the right time

6 People Who Downplayed The Threat Of Ebola

COMMENTARY: Health workers need optimal respiratory protection for Ebola

The Nuclear Option: Obama Prepares For The Ebola Election

Who Is Louise Troh? Fiancée Of Dallas Ebola Patient Thomas Duncan Will Write Book About Experience

Cuomo: Washington should consider Ebola travel ban

US cautiously optimistic after no new Ebola in 5 days

BREAKING: NBC freelance cameraman Ashoka Mukpo no longer has Ebola virus, free to go home.

Ebola Plush Toys Fly Off the Shelf for Connecticut Company

Ebola ‘czar’ to skip House hearing, aide says

CNN’s Isha Sesay is ‘an angry black woman’ over Ebola

U.S. Ebola Crisis Is A Media Myth, Claims Obama

Vanity: Is America being beghazied on Ebola ?

Abortion Activist: De-Funding Planned Parenthood a Bigger Threat Than Ebola

Obama Repeats: You Can’t Get Ebola on a Bus—Day After Bus Quarantined in D.C.

Sheila Jackson Lee: Obama a 'Perfectionist,' Cruz Needs to 'Read a Little More'

After A Month Of Silence, We Finally Know What Happened To Emory's 3rd Ebola Patient

Did Chris Matthews Just Make the Most Illogical Argument Yet Against Ebola Travel Ban?

Ebola Has Already Mutated More Than 300 Times

Top Scientist: This Version Of Ebola Looks Like ‘A Very Different Bug’

The Ebola Czar, Ron Klain and Solyndra $535 Million Fraud

CNN Columnist: Americans don't care about Ebola in Africa, because they're racists

Let's all hope Obama's new Ebola Czar, Ron Klain, stayed at a Holiday Inn last night

Nothing so plebian, I'm sure (not if we're picking up the tab).

Ebola Czar Vanishes from Democracy Alliance Website Ron Klain no longer listed as a trustee

Another U.S. Ebola Patient Recovers at Emory

How much will Ebola czar be paid?

Up to 34 MILLION blank 'green cards' and work permits to

Obama and the Ebola Bus Line

Fort Campbell Troops On Ebola Mission to West Africa Won’t Get Full Protective Gear

Marco Rubio Plans To Introduce A Bill To Ban Visas From Countries Affected By The Ebola Epidemic

Does Nina Pham's Dog Have Ebola? Answer Expected Soon

Burlco students kept home from school amid Ebola fears

Rethinking the 21-Day Quarantine for Ebola Contacts

Govt Stops New Funding and Calls for Voluntary Pause on Research of Pandemic Potential of Pathogens

Catholic center in Dallas took in Ebola contacts (Duncan's fiancé & nephews)

Obama's Ebola Czar Is A Dangerous Mistake: Here Are Three Who Could Do The Job

When the first practicing Muslim dies of Ebola in America Sharia law will spread it like wildfire

No.

How many American lives will be threatened by 7th Century ignorance and agenda driven politics

Ebola patient Amber Vinson's family disputes CDC story, gets a lawyer

Quarantine Quandary

Even ‘Shock-a-holic’ presidents can’t stampede nations into mass hysteria

What Does It Mean for an Ebola Outbreak to End?

Well, well. I had forgotten about THAT. Ebola Czar Ron Klain was Janet Reno's Chief of Staff at the

CDC Ebola Plane N163PA Scheduled To Go to Africa Tonight?(Atlanta-Bermuda-Dakar)(Vanity)

If no checks, more Ebola cases might leave Africa

Spanish nurse who beat Ebola is unaware that her family dog was killed

Ebola is an Economic Catastrophe

Liberian air passenger checked for Ebola in New Jersey: media

More people hospitalized in Turkey, suspected having Ebola

Ebola researchers frustrated by lack of support until outbreak hits

4,405 posted on 10/22/2014 7:10:53 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Dark Wing

Thanks for posting this information on incubation times from the New England Journal of Medicine.

Has anyone seen data that suggests what factors may cause longer incubation times? I’m wondering if someone is exposed to a person in the earlier stages of the disease if that exposed person may exhibit a longer incubation time.


4,406 posted on 10/23/2014 6:02:11 AM PDT by MulberryDraw (Repeal it.)
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To: MulberryDraw
I haven't seen anything, but that doesn't preclude some speculation.<

I would expect the longer incubation times are a factor of lower initial viral load. If the ID50 is 1-10 viral organisms, starting with that lower spectrum of load in the patient it will take longer for the virus to replicate and disperse throughout the body. If the initial viral load consisted of millions of viral organisms, what was mentioned as being the viral load in droplets for instance (500,000 to 1,000,000 organisms) could constitute a significant advantage for the virus and a 'leg up' resulting in shorter incubation.

I would suspect the route of infection to make a difference: through a wound vs. droplet inhaled or ingested vs. possibly transdermal contact (sweaty patient/infectee), vs. (possibly) fomite contact.

This is the end of the spectrum we least understand: it is the end where how little it takes to infect someone matters, and the route of infection may not be clear.

4,407 posted on 10/23/2014 7:43:05 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Smokin' Joe
U.S. plans 21-day monitoring of people who arrive from Ebola-stricken nations

Our New Missiles of October

Ebola riot in Sierra Leone kills two as WHO to launch vaccine trials

Dallas Nurse Amber Vinson No Longer Has Ebola: Family

Interesting timeline graphic in that one (calender).

4,408 posted on 10/23/2014 8:01:11 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Thud
>>The data on infection date is suspect due to differences
>>between the rural model used and the current urban
>>environment. The latter also presents the potential for
>>fomite infection.

Ahem...Dallas is an urban area, as were the various places in Ohio and elsewhere contacts of Ms Vinson visited.

We can say the data is bad, but we can't say anything more.

For “Bad how?” see Smokin’ Joe's post above.

We don't know and the public health people who should be asking are too deep into “Risk Messaging” cant to want to go there.

At least absent of a looking down the barrel of a public riot dumped on their collective heads.

4,409 posted on 10/23/2014 8:42:03 AM PDT by Dark Wing
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To: Smokin' Joe; Black Agnes; Dark Wing

I see where the 2nd Dallas nurse to contract 0bola is now cured. Has anyone heard any news about the 1st nurse, Nurse Nina Pham’s status? Just curious.


4,410 posted on 10/23/2014 8:53:42 AM PDT by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: Dark Wing
I don't believe it is possible to determine the duration of possible Ebola infection onset beyond the known 21-day period given the current chaotic state of affairs in West Africa, uncertainty about latent carriers being able to infect people without having visible symptoms, and the known fomite infection threat.

Ebola and diseases mimicking most of its symptoms are so widespread in Liberia as to vitiate precise identification of Ebola exposures from individual infecteds. That someone develops Ebola 32 days after a known exposure might be due instead to a more recent unsuspected exposure.

This is less of a problem outside Liberia, but in Guinea and Sierra Leone there are enough Ebola victims that the latent but infectious carrier threat makes precise identification of exposure dates difficult to ascertain.

The fomite infection possibility creates major problems in ascertaining precise infection date data in urban areas. This will become especially so in areas with significantly less sunlight than West Africa, but fortunately there have been relatively few such threats to date.

All of this uncertainty does make the 21-day rule more plausible, though.

4,411 posted on 10/23/2014 10:44:33 AM PDT by Thud
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To: Thud; Smokin' Joe

Via the PFIF


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-29750723

The Malian government has confirmed the first case of Ebola in the country.

It said a two-year-old girl had tested positive for the haemorrhagic virus. Reports say she recently returned from the neighbouring Guinea....


4,412 posted on 10/23/2014 3:00:45 PM PDT by Dark Wing
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To: Tilted Irish Kilt; Jim Noble; Nachum; Smokin' Joe; Black Agnes; Covenantor; Shelayne; ...
We are about to get our first practical demonstration of Ebola fomites in a cooler, densely packed, American urban environment.

>>The law enforcement official said the doctor was out in
>>public. Authorities also quarantined his girlfriend, with
>>whom he was spending time since his return from Africa.
>>
>>The doctor began feeling sluggish a couple of days ago,
>>but it wasn't until Thursday, when he developed 103-
>>degree fever, that he contacted Doctors Without Borders,
>>the official said.

G-d Help NY City.

The CDC “Risk Messaging” certainly won't.


Doctors Without Borders physician tested for Ebola in NYC

By Ray Sanchez and Shimon Prokupecz, CNN
updated 5:38 PM EDT, Thu October 23, 2014

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/23/health/new-york-possible-ebola-case/index.html

(CNN) — A Doctors Without Borders physician who recently returned from West Africa is at a New York hospital for isolation and testing for the Ebola virus, Authorities said.

The 33-year-old physician, employed at Columbia Presbyterian Hospital, developed a fever, nausea, pain and fatigue Wednesday night, a law enforcement official briefed on the matter told CNN. On Thursday morning he was taken to Bellevue Hospital in Manhattan for testing.

The doctor returned from West Africa about 10 days ago, the official said. His name is Craig Spencer, according to law enforcement officials.

The CDC had people packing up to go to New York on Thursday, and a specimen from the physician will be sent soon to Atlanta for testing, an official familiar with the situation told CNN’s Elizabeth Cohen.

Investigators are taking the case seriously because it appears the doctor didn't quarantine himself following his return, the law enforcement official said.

In a statement Thursday, Doctors Without Borders confirmed that the physicians recently returned from West Africa and was “engaged in regular health monitoring.” The doctor contacted Doctors Without Borders Thursday to report having a fever, the statement said.

The law enforcement official said the doctor was out in public. Authorities also quarantined his girlfriend, with whom he was spending time since his return from Africa.

The doctor began feeling sluggish a couple of days ago, but it wasn't until Thursday, when he developed 103-degree fever, that he contacted Doctors Without Borders, the official said.

The case came to light after the New York Fire Department received a call shortly before noon Thursday about a sick person in Manhattan. The patient was taken to Bellevue.

A statement from the New York Health Department said preliminary test results are expected in the next 12 hours.

Get up to speed

The health department said a special ambulance unit transported a patient suffering from a fever and gastrointestinal symptoms.

The health care worker returned to the U.S. within the past 21 days from one of the three West African countries currently facing the outbreak of the deadly virus, the health department statement said.

Bellevue Hospital is designated for the “isolation, identification and treatment of potential Ebola patients” in the city, the statement said.

“As a further precaution, beginning today (Thursday), the Health Department's team of disease detectives immediately began to actively trace all of the patient’s contacts to identify anyone who may be at potential risk,” the health department statement said.

“The chances of the average New Yorker contracting Ebola are extremely slim,” the statement said, adding that the disease is spread by direct contact with the bodily fluids of an infected person.

Bellevue Hospital is one of the eight hospitals statewide that Gov. Andrew Cuomo designated earlier this month as part of an Ebola preparedness plan, the state heath department said.

4,413 posted on 10/23/2014 3:07:11 PM PDT by Dark Wing
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To: Dark Wing
A lot depends on just when the victim noticed possible symptoms. That none of the four late Mr. Duncan's American relatives in that Dallas apartment caught Ebola from him in the week+ between his onset of symptoms and their moving out of the apartment indicates that Ebola is not easy to catch, and particularly not until its late stages.

If this first New York City victim reported himself soon after he noticed his elevated temperature, NYC is very likely safe.

4,414 posted on 10/23/2014 4:46:19 PM PDT by Thud
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To: Thud

I Don’t think there is any way that Duncan’s family did not catch the Ebola virus unless they were isolating him... They knew he had it..


4,415 posted on 10/23/2014 5:24:24 PM PDT by freespirit2012
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To: Thud

Though I agree about the nyc guy.. he was probably on top of his symptoms somewhat... so maybe not a huge likelihood of it having been spread..


4,416 posted on 10/23/2014 5:36:36 PM PDT by freespirit2012
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To: Dark Wing
Dark Wing:" In a statement Thursday, Doctors Without Borders confirmed that the physicians recently returned from West Africa
and was “engaged in regular health monitoring.”
The doctor contacted Doctors Without Borders Thursday to report having a fever, the statement said.

You failed to mention the doctor was (Voluntarily Quarantined)and "engaged in regular health monitoring", since that quarantine was not in place to him .
He went bowling in a 'common place' and didn't report until he had a temperature of 103 degrees, the next day.
Voluntary Quarantines don't work - ask Dr.Nancy (soupey) Snyderman.
Ask nurse Vinson (travel from Texas to Ohio) and puting an additional 100 people at risk.

4,417 posted on 10/23/2014 5:42:53 PM PDT by Tilted Irish Kilt
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To: Dark Wing; Thud; Smokin' Joe; Black Agnes; Tilted Irish Kilt

Breaking news: NYC doctor tested positive for Ebola.


4,418 posted on 10/23/2014 5:46:09 PM PDT by Covenantor ("Men are ruled...by liars who refuse them news, and by fools who cannot govern." Chesterton)
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To: Covenantor

If my bf got ebola and turned positive in the apartment that contained all or most of my worldly goods, subsequently carried off to the incinerator...he’d better hope the virus killed him. The docs would at least give him morphine for the pain. I’d make him suffer...


4,419 posted on 10/23/2014 5:48:23 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Covenantor

Patient in New York City Tests Positive for Ebola
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/24/nyregion/craig-spencer-is-tested-for-ebola-virus-at-bellevue-hospital-in-new-york-city.html?smid=tw-bna&_r=1


4,420 posted on 10/23/2014 5:51:58 PM PDT by Whenifhow
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