Posted on 04/28/2015 10:09:40 AM PDT by BenLurkin
A new report from the U.S. Geological Survey has warned the risk of 'the big one' hitting California has increased dramatically.
Researchers analysed the latest data from the state's complex system of active geological faults, as well as new methods for translating these data into earthquake likelihoods.
The estimate for the likelihood that California will experience a magnitude 8 or larger earthquake in the next 30 years has increased from about 4.7% to about 7.0%, they say.
...
The Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, or UCERF3, improves upon previous models by incorporating the latest data on the state's complex system of active geological faults, as well as new methods for translating these data into earthquake likelihoods.
The study confirms many previous findings, sheds new light on how the future earthquakes will likely be distributed across the state and estimates how big those earthquakes might be.
Compared to the previous assessment issued in 2008, UCERF2, the estimated rate of earthquakes around magnitude 6.7, the size of the destructive 1994 Northridge earthquake, has gone down by about 30 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
“Why is risk so risky.” —Seinfeld
“Thank you Roger for that report”
“And now to breaking news: It’s suspected the sun will come up again tomorrow ushering in the dawn of a new day...”
Ha ha. It is sad that is so funny.
I have never bought a house that was not right on the fault line.
Just bought a new one ... on the line. Cue Johnny Cash!
Umm, it already hit.
Oh good. Now there’s no need for me to prepare.
Always glad to be of service.
Naw. Fracking. You got to keep up with the current boogeyman.
As long as none of them escape inland.
Your cat - or dog - is more likely to predict one correctly.
Jumpin' Jehoshaphat!
The odds... Oooops... "likelihood" increased from around one in 20 to around one in 14.
Must be time to up the request for an increase in next year's budget.
Guess they forgot that other disciplines are very familiar with the very elastic nature of the definition of recurrence interval...
Sure look like US Geological Survey has borrowed the manual that the Climate Fraudsters invented.
Another computer model? Garbage in Garbage out?
Really?
I thought these folk were more engineers than delusional freaks like the fraudulent East Anglia "scientists."
The still unknown factors affecting earthquakes may be more complex and incompletely known than the arrogant climate fakers'.
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