Posted on 01/30/2016 1:36:44 PM PST by SoFloFreeper
Right. I knew that no one would get a majority...just trying to simplify. I can extrapolate. :)
GOP rules are that there can be no winner-take-all primaries until March 15.
With Iowa’s new rules, New Hampshire is no longer the first state to determine convention votes. That seems like a really big deal to me, and maybe not for the good.
Iowa GOP caucuses are actually now just a primary with caucus tasks following the presidential preference vote.
The Democrat system is designed so that the super delegates can override the electorate in the primaries.
Which lead to Watergate.
Thanks. I confused caucuses with primaries. Stupid me.
States used to be sovereign, and not really anybody else’s business, as long as they hold to a “republican form of government”.
I believe 27 will be allocated. Each state chair and two committee members are not pledged.
Thanks for the info. As an Iowan, your viewpoint is important to me.
What’s your overall take on Mondays out come. Any predictions based on what you’re seeing?
I was surprised to learn there are 13 caucuses! I thought maybe just 3 or 4.
Everyone might be disappointed. There may be a very narrow spread between the top two, with percentages surprisingly low.
The rules have evolved over many years.
The first several states are relatively small and geographically scattered. They are supposed to help winnow the field (eliminate those who have no chance). The later ones include the big winner-take-all states. By then, we’ll be looking at only a few candidates, maybe just three.
This year, we started out with so many credible candidates, the networks adopted the idea of two debates, one in the afternoon or early evening and the other in prime time.
Iowa uses it’s first in the nation status to lock in the ethanol mandate. Ted Cruz has taken some hits because he didn’t pander to the state on the issue. There’s pluses and minuses to all the rest. Lots of people enjoy being courted, and the business that’s brought to the state, but lots of people dispose the negative ads.
That’s interesting, with all the media hype, you’d think ther would be a high turnout. Is the weather much of a factor?
The turnout will be fine. It’s the vote that will split multiple ways. Something like 25% or less might win.
The whole cast of the Five out there fussing over 30 delegates, too.
You’re right, sheesch
So the winner will get 7 or 8 delegates. Seems like alot of effort for such a small reward.
Heck, this is the first time the ‘winner’ is guaranteed ANY delegates. Iowa was originally allowed to ‘go first’ because the winner didn’t get anything except bragging rights.
Now that I knew.
What is impressive is how Iowa has made the most of it. Turning lemons in to lemonade.
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