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What'll happen at a brokered convention. (your predictions)

Posted on 03/18/2016 6:35:33 AM PDT by MNDude

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To: G Larry; PJBankard; Nifster; Lady Heron; Robert DeLong; crusher2013; the_boy_who_got_lost

Gee, Larry, it would be GREAT to have a contested convention.

Just like Kasich said, it would be exciting, and little kiddies all over the whoo-wide-world would see democracy in action.

The GOP tells the lion to bow before the fox. What will the lion do?

Exciting, thrilling, like a nature scene in politics.


141 posted on 03/19/2016 3:45:26 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: G Larry; PJBankard; Nifster; Lady Heron; Robert DeLong; crusher2013; the_boy_who_got_lost

[53%] Trump breaks 50% in national support for the first time [Cruz 22, Kasich 11, Rubio 10]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3409079/posts

Even if Trump only picks up 3% each from Kasich and Rubio, that puts him at 59%.

Cruz, with 22% approval, wins a contested convention. Such fun! So exciting!


142 posted on 03/19/2016 3:49:16 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Pollster1

Your point is exactly why I wonder if a contested convention will destroy party unity faster than a brokered one ...

‘After the GOP establishment works so hard to get a brokered convention to deny him the nomination, Trump will make deals with individual delegates and get the nomination anyway’.

Ugly, ugly, ugly.


143 posted on 03/19/2016 4:05:42 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Pollster1; Impy
My first goal remains party unity. Going back to the poll linked to above, Trump is 53% and Cruz is 22%.

So it's unlikely that Trump will miss the ‘magic’ number.

But if he does, and if delegates choose to get in the way of party unity, the GOP would be completely at Trump's mercy.

~~~

Option 1 — would Trump endorse Cruz?

If he did, Cruz might stand a chance. There would be a drop in turnout and an utter collapse in energy, but it might work.

After all, Trump had softened up Hillary for him during the primary.

~~~

Option 2

Trump could support his son or wife or truted friend to run as an independent.

Helps to avoid the ‘sore loser’ laws.

But how many republicans remain ‘party faithful’? A wild guess, I would say maybe 10% of Trumpsters stick with the party. Now Trump is only 43% but Cruz would not be 57% because some people would stay home out of protest.

There is no telling how many would switch over to the independent bid, even if some states end up ‘write-ins’.

So both would control roughly half of what remains of the GOP.

A perfect split is possible.

President Hillary Rodham Clinton.

There's no way Cruz would win that way, but it is possible that Trump's proxy could.

144 posted on 03/19/2016 4:19:26 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March; G Larry
Don't be hard on G Larry, he is just upset because his perfect candidate is losing miserably and he must seek redemption at all cost, just like his hero must win power at all cost. Both are fighting an uphill battle.

By next Tuesday night he will either be in victory celebration or will begin to see that hill just grew into a mountain.

I'm hoping for the mountain scenario and it looks like that is going to be the case.

He can always look back on Cruz fondly and start planning for 4 years from now.

145 posted on 03/19/2016 5:07:39 AM PDT by Robert DeLong (u)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

You seem obsessed and nervous with your multiple defensive posts.

I’m off to Assembly to establish my credentials as a committed Cruz Delegate.

bye bye!


146 posted on 03/19/2016 5:20:38 AM PDT by G Larry (ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS impose SLAVE WAGES on LEGAL Immigrants.)
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To: Robert DeLong; G Larry

I need to keep reminding myself that Cruz supporters are patriots. Upstanding people.

You guys rock!

You are not Cruz. Its just that his finest qualities represent you.

FRegards ....


147 posted on 03/19/2016 5:45:42 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: G Larry

Very well, and Trump should quietly line up an independent to be on the ballot, a proxy who could make Trump his/her chief advisor.

Just a little leverage he can bring to the convention.

Bye-bye.


148 posted on 03/19/2016 6:12:34 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Ouderkirk; Pollster1; All

~~~ update ~~~

Ted Cruz thanks Mitt Romney for his endorsement
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3410949/posts


149 posted on 03/19/2016 6:15:01 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

Ted Cruz is in the race to win. An endorsement, even from Romney is not a flaw (although, being Romney, it is certainly too late to matter).

Based on what we have seen of Ted in office and in front of the Supreme Court, he remains true to his beliefs once in office. I do not see a Romney endorsement as a corrupting influence on Cruz, nor will Romney learn from exposure to a true conservative. It is just Romney tolerating Cruz while knowing that Cruz will not change, and only endorsing Cruz because at least the conservative senator is a known quantity.


150 posted on 03/19/2016 6:55:46 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("A Bill of Rights that means what the majority wants it to meand over an is worthless." - Scalia)
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To: Pollster1

‘Based on what we have seen of Ted in office and in front of the Supreme Court, he remains true to his beliefs once in office.’

If Ted can unite the base, I’d back him too.

‘I do not see a Romney endorsement as a corrupting influence on Cruz ...’

Wanting power too much is what corruption is all about. He’s confusing the base.


151 posted on 03/19/2016 9:03:14 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; sickoflibs
Trump could support his son or wife or trusted friend to run as an independent.

That's a new one.

If the GOP vote is split, either because Trump goes TR or because Trump is the nominee and some fool like Perry goes TR, Hillary wins a landslide in the electoral college, period.

152 posted on 03/19/2016 8:00:56 PM PDT by Impy (The night is dark and full of terrors.)
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To: Impy

By setting up an independent challenge contingency, Trump could have leverage in case delegates favor a less popular candidate who fails to rally the base.

Leverage. A doomsday option. If the GOP-e uses the nuclear option, Trump can too.


153 posted on 03/20/2016 4:48:20 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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