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How Poll Bias Obscures Trump’s Likely Election
Spectator.org ^ | 10.7.2016 | Milton Rosenburgh

Posted on 10/07/2016 11:34:02 AM PDT by Signalman

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1 posted on 10/07/2016 11:34:03 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman
On Facebook, I've noticed that all my Liberal family members attach Trump...but they show no support for Hillary.

During the primaries, there were a lot of "pro-Sanders" crap, but there has been nothing about Hillary since the Convention.

2 posted on 10/07/2016 11:37:28 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob
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To: Signalman

Add to this factor the element of uncooperative Trump supporters, of whom I am one.


3 posted on 10/07/2016 11:38:58 AM PDT by Genoa (Luke 12:2)
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To: Cowboy Bob

However, don’t underestimate the proclivity of the vast majority of Democrats to march lockstep into the voting booth and pull the “D” lever. Over many generations they have become very susceptible to the dutiful obligation to their masters and the sense that voting “D” makes them feel superior.


4 posted on 10/07/2016 11:41:21 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: Signalman

“Trump is saying things people need to hear”

- A most extremely liberal friend ...


5 posted on 10/07/2016 11:42:15 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (This posting is a microaggression.)
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To: Signalman

If we all go Democrat, there won’t be any more hurricanes.


6 posted on 10/07/2016 11:43:01 AM PDT by JusPasenThru (Democrat mantra: Promise Everything, Deliver Nothing, Blame Others)
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To: BlueStateRightist

We need to demoralize them.

I use the phrase “lying corrupt criminal” as much as I can, because none of them can deny it.

Perhaps they’ll stay home rather than vote for the known lying corrupt criminal Hillary.


7 posted on 10/07/2016 11:43:58 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (This posting is a microaggression.)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Or they may not vote for her as a protest? Anybody who thinks they know what is going to happen is trying to fool you.

Pray America wakes


8 posted on 10/07/2016 11:44:18 AM PDT by bray (I'm Deplorable)
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To: JusPasenThru

Raising taxes will provide plenty of jobs to the middle class. That’s what I read in my Democrat history book, so it must be true.


9 posted on 10/07/2016 11:44:22 AM PDT by JusPasenThru (Democrat mantra: Promise Everything, Deliver Nothing, Blame Others)
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To: Signalman

I wish Trump would wrap the Bush endorsement around Hillary’s neck! Dems hate the Bush’s and Hillary is just the latest extension of the Bush/Clinton dynasty. Haven’t they wreaked enough havoc already? Time for a change...but they are a machine with a vice grip on power.
This is war


10 posted on 10/07/2016 11:45:01 AM PDT by weston (SO HERE'S THE STORY: As far as I'm concerned, it's Christ or nothing!)
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To: Signalman

Maybe I’m just fooling myself, but this is what I see over the past two weeks:

Trump did well in the first debate and beat Hillary at least by a little.
Pence blew Kaine away in the VP debate.
Trump has ramped up his ad campaign very effectively.
Hillary screeched at people demanding to know why she isn’t 50 points ahead.
Trump has actively campaigned in front of big crowds.
Hillary has half-heartedly campaigned in front of small crowds.

And the polls show Hillary taking off like a rocket.

I’m gonna call BS on all polls from now until the end of this thing.


11 posted on 10/07/2016 11:46:51 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Abortion is what slavery was: immoral but not illegal. Not yet.)
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To: Signalman

Pat Caddell Blasts Reuters’ Back-Rigging Polls to Show Clinton Winning
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/07/30/exclusive-pat-caddell-blasts-reuters-back-rigging-polls-to-show-clinton-winning/


12 posted on 10/07/2016 11:47:17 AM PDT by tbw2
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To: Signalman

Right now media is trying to demoralize Trump supporters.


13 posted on 10/07/2016 11:48:10 AM PDT by jennychase
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To: JusPasenThru

If Trump wins, it will be for this reason more than any other;

People who do not consider themselves to be racist are sick and tired of being called racist.

And by that I mean when someone is called racist for saying things with which we agree.

This is how Trump will draw support from Democrat voters. Some of them get it.


14 posted on 10/07/2016 11:49:20 AM PDT by getitright (If you call this HOPE, can we give despair a shot?)
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To: JusPasenThru

They’ll make hurricanes illegal and use the money saved from FEMA to give you free health care.


15 posted on 10/07/2016 11:50:38 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Signalman

Another problem with skewed polls... violence after the election. I don’t think Hillary will graciously accept defeat after all of these years and as much as she and Soros and others have invested. They will go with the narrative that Trump “stole” the election and give no end of Hell over it...


16 posted on 10/07/2016 11:51:40 AM PDT by pgyanke (Republicans get in trouble when not living up to their principles. Democrats... when they do.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

For Hillary to skyrocket I’d expect she would be making a big push for the gibmedat vote. Forgive all the student loans and freebies all around. Really not hearing too much of that from her.


17 posted on 10/07/2016 11:52:32 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Cowboy Bob

There is literally no support for Hillary. Not even among Dems. They will vote for her but there is no support or enthusiasm.

This is why she won’t be able to get over 42/43% of the vote. Only the people who will vote D no matter what will vote for her.

Third party candidates won’t get 10% of the vote, probably 7-8% on the high end, so Trump should be in the 48-49% range as long as he doesn’t self destruct.

Now the 42-43% was if Hillary ran a perfect campaign.. She hasn’t. I expect she will be lucky if she gets 40% on Nov 8. I expect a Trump win by about 8-10 points.

Those dems I know, I mean hard core dems have no argument for her, they just offer at least she’s not Trump or she lies 25% of the time Trump loves 100% of the time...

She is facing flat out obliteration. The only way she wins is if Trump self destructs.


18 posted on 10/07/2016 11:55:22 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay
There is literally no support for Hillary. Not even among Dems. They will vote for her but there is no support or enthusiasm.

That was the same with Romney. Nobody liked the guy. People only voted for him to vote against Obama.

19 posted on 10/07/2016 11:56:22 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator

Here we are in bubble, have you tried asking other side, how they are voting.
Lets do this as assignment.


20 posted on 10/07/2016 11:58:30 AM PDT by jennychase
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