Skip to comments.Iranian Alert -- August 11, 2004 [EST]-- IRAN LIVE THREAD -- "Americans for Regime Change in Iran"
Posted on 08/10/2004 9:02:21 PM PDT by DoctorZIn
The US media still largley ignores news regarding the Islamic Republic of Iran. As Tony Snow of the Fox News Network has put it, this is probably the most under-reported news story of the year. Most Americans are unaware that the Islamic Republic of Iran is NOT supported by the masses of Iranians today. Modern Iranians are among the most pro-American in the Middle East.
There is a popular revolt against the Iranian regime brewing in Iran today. I began these daily threads June 10th 2003. On that date Iranians once again began taking to the streets to express their desire for a regime change. Today in Iran, most want to replace the regime with a secular democracy.
The regime is working hard to keep the news about the protest movement in Iran from being reported. Unfortunately, the regime has successfully prohibited western news reporters from covering the demonstrations. The voices of discontent within Iran are sometime murdered, more often imprisoned. Still the people continue to take to the streets to demonstrate against the regime.
In support of this revolt, Iranians in America have been broadcasting news stories by satellite into Iran. This 21st century news link has greatly encouraged these protests. The regime has been attempting to jam the signals, and locate the satellite dishes. Still the people violate the law and listen to these broadcasts. Iranians also use the Internet and the regime attempts to block their access to news against the regime. In spite of this, many Iranians inside of Iran read these posts daily to keep informed of the events in their own country.
This daily thread contains nearly all of the English news reports on Iran. It is thorough. If you follow this thread you will witness, I believe, the transformation of a nation. This daily thread provides a central place where those interested in the events in Iran can find the best news and commentary. The news stories and commentary will from time to time include material from the regime itself. But if you read the post you will discover for yourself, the real story of what is occurring in Iran and its effects on the war on terror.
I am not of Iranian heritage. I am an American committed to supporting the efforts of those in Iran seeking to replace their government with a secular democracy. I am in contact with leaders of the Iranian community here in the United States and in Iran itself.
If you read the daily posts you will gain a better understanding of the US war on terrorism, the Middle East and why we need to support a change of regime in Iran. Feel free to ask your questions and post news stories you discover in the weeks to come.
If all goes well Iran will be free soon and I am convinced become a major ally in the war on terrorism. The regime will fall. Iran will be free. It is just a matter of time.
Iran tests missile capable of hitting Israel
TEHRAN- Iran's defense ministry said on Wednesday it had carried out a field test of the latest version of its Shihab-3 medium-range ballistic missile which defense experts say can reach Israel or U.S. bases in the Persian Gulf.
Defense Minister Ali Shamkhani said last week Iran was working on improvements to the range and accuracy of the Shihab-3 in response to Israel's moves to boost its anti-missile capability.
A defense ministry spokesman confirmed a state television report that the test was carried out "to assess the latest developments implemented on this missile." He declined to give any further details.
Iran says its missile program is purely for deterrent purposes. Tehran also denies U.S. and Israeli accusations that it is seeking to develop nuclear warheads which could be delivered by the Shihab-3.
Based on the North Korean Nodong-1 and modified with Russian technology, the Shihab-3 is thought to have a range of 1,300 kilometers which would allow it to strike anywhere in Israel.
Shihab means meteor in Persian.
Amid media speculation that Israel may try to halt Iran's nuclear program by carrying out air strikes on some atomic facilities in Iran, Iranian officials have said Tehran would retaliate promptly and strongly to any such attack.
"If Israel behaves like a lunatic and attacks the Iranian nation's interests, we will come down on their heads like a mallet and break their bones," the ISNA students news agency quoted Revolutionary Guards Commander Yahya Rahim Safavi as saying on Wednesday.
Israel successfully tested its Arrow II anti-missile project in the United States last month. It was the seventh time the Arrow II had worked but the first time it had destroyed a Scud missile - similar to the Shihab-3 - in flight.
"The Israelis have recently tried to increase their missile capability and we will also try to upgrade our Shihab-3 missile in every respect," the ISNA students news agency quoted Shamkhani as saying last week.
He said the improvements to the Shihab-3 "will not be limited to the missile's range and will include all its specifications".
Iran deployed the Shihab-3 missiles to its Revolutionary Guards last July after preliminary field tests were successfully completed.
Six of the sand-colored missiles, bearing slogans which said "We will stamp on America" and "We will wipe Israel from the face of the earth", were displayed at an annual military parade last September.
Iran has not said how many of the missiles it has so far manufactured. Military analysts say questions remain about its reliability and accuracy.
A senior Israeli defense source said Israel believed Tehran was developing a Shihab-4 missile with a range of 1,700 km capable of reaching Europe. Iran has denied this.
"This 'new and improved' Shihab-3 could well be Iran's way of producing the extended-range missile while avoiding the Mark-4 label which would draw international concern," he said.
Iran reporters 'detained in Iraq'
At least three Iranian reporters, including the Baghdad bureau chief of Iranian news agency IRNA, have reportedly been detained in Iraq.
"Local police have arrested three of our colleagues in Iraq," Hassan Lavasani, IRNA's head of foreign news, told Reuters news agency.
Earlier reports had suggested the men had been kidnapped by an armed group.
Separately, officials have confirmed that a body found in the Tigris river was that of a Bulgarian hostage.
Ivaylo Kepov, a 32-year-old driver, was identified through DNA analysis, officials said.
Mr Kepov and his colleague, Georgi Lazov, 30, were kidnapped at the end of June in the northern Iraqi city of Mosul by militants loyal to the Jordanian-born al-Qaeda suspect Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.
Mr Lazov's body was also found in the Tigris.
As Bush and Kerry Focus Elsewhere, Atomic Threats Stew [Excerpt]
Wall Street Journal - Editorial
Aug 11, 2004
When Democrats gathered in Boston's boisterous Fleet Center for their national convention, there was, predictably, plenty of talk about Vietnam (John Kerry's old war) and Iraq (George W. Bush's new one).
But down the road at the more decorous Harvard Club, a group of foreign-policy professionals gathered, and their conversation was strikingly different. In a cavernous, dark-paneled room, the sense was that the most grave national-security problems facing the next president lie elsewhere: in North Korea and in Iran and their nuclear programs.
The mood was best captured by Graham Allison, a former Clinton national-security adviser, who declared: "If North Korea succeeds in becoming a nuclear-weapons state, which it could do at any moment...I believe historians will judge that the greatest failure in American diplomacy ever."
That's saying a lot, but the impulse is right. Americans correctly fear more terrorist attacks and more Middle East instability. Both threats will be far more grave if North Korea and Iran go fully nuclear. Yet the Bush and Kerry strategies for heading off calamity differ in significant ways.
In a world that has almost casually accepted Pakistan's and India's open acquisition of nuclear arms, the first question is why North Korea and Iran should strike such fear. Answer: India and Pakistan pose a threat mostly to each other. Iran and North Korea present threats that could ripple out much wider.
If North Korea -- which already claims to have a few nuclear bombs -- goes openly and promiscuously nuclear, dangers soar on two fronts. Asian neighbors that now focus on stopping proliferation might promptly reverse course and join the trend. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan all could embark on nuclear programs in self-defense. The global taboo on nuclear proliferation would go out the window, and America's role as nuclear protector of its Asian allies -- and its associated influence in keeping things under control -- would be undermined.
The far larger danger is that North Korea would develop a cash-and-carry arms program, selling to rogue states and terrorists alike in its desperation to feed itself. As Mr. Allison noted at the Boston event, hosted by the Council on Foreign Relations, the only way to stop that process may be to use military force to destroy the Korean program, "since I can't imagine how if they're running such a production line I can prevent them selling weapons."
Iran isn't as irrational as North Korea but lives in a neighborhood where its decisions may be equally profound. As former national-security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski notes, Iran's nuclear impulse is understandable. Pakistan and India to its east, Russia to its north and Israel to its west all have nuclear arms. America seeks to set up what Iran sees as client-states on its eastern border, in Afghanistan, and on its western border, in Iraq. Tough neighborhood, Tehran's ayatollahs must tell themselves.
If Iran keeps moving toward a nuclear weapon, Israel may launch a pre-emptive military strike to stop it, as it did against Iraq two decades ago. If Iran crosses the finish line anyway, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, for starters, may decide they also need nuclear arms. Imagine how al Qaeda operatives, who looked to wealthy Saudis for cash, would relish a buildup of nuclear-arms material there.
The Bush formula for dealing with these twin threats is embodied in current policy. Much as he is criticized for going alone on Iraq, Mr. Bush actually is depending heavily on allied help. As recently as Monday, he reiterated that his formula for dealing with North Korea's nuclear program is to avoid direct negotiation with the North and rely instead on the current six-nation talks in which the U.S. is joined by Japan, South Korea, China and Russia in trying to talk down Pyongyang. Mr. Kerry says he'd be willing to talk one on one with North Korea. ...
Iran Arrests U.S. Citizen for Illegal Entry
Aug 11, 2004, 11:54
Iran has arrested a U.S. citizen who entered the country illegally from Pakistan. Citing an unnamed provincial official in the southeastern Sistan-Baluchestan state, ISNA said the man was a Jewish Californian who was detained by security forces Tuesday after crossing the Pakistani border apparently en route to Turkey.
"It makes no difference to us what nationality he has, the important thing is he entered our soil illegally," the official said.
State television said the arrested man was "probably American" and had been detained as he attempted to leave Iran, but Interior Ministry officials said they could not confirm the arrest. Foreign Ministry and provincial officials could not immediately be reached for comment.
The Baztab news Web site, which is well informed on security matters in Iran, also said a 32-year-old Jewish Californian had been arrested entering Iran from Pakistan.
U.S. visitors to Iran are rare but are not barred from traveling to the Islamic Republic provided they obtain a visa beforehand.
They are lovely, and like all lovely young women they want others to know it. The mad mullahs won't be able to keep these ladies under cover much longer.
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