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Analysis Indicates Bush Stole Ohio in 2004 (*bong-cookoo* alert!)
prweb.com ^ | 1/18/06

Posted on 01/18/2006 11:22:26 AM PST by pabianice

2004 Ohio Precinct-Level Exit Poll Data Show Virtually Irrefutable Evidence of Vote Miscount

The National Election Data Archive (NEDA) is the first mathematical team to release a valid scientific analysis of the precinct-level 2004 Ohio presidential exit poll data. NEDA's analysis provides virtually irrefutable evidence of vote miscount.

(PRWEB) January 17, 2006 -- There is significant controversy about whether the 2004 presidential election was conducted fairly and its votes counted correctly. According to results of the major national election exit poll conducted for the National Election Pool by Edison/Mitofsky (E/M), Kerry won Ohio's pivotal vote, though the official tally gave the state, and thus the presidency, to Bush. The conduct of Ohio's election was formally debated by Congress in January 2005.

The National Election Data Archive (NEDA) is the first mathematical team to release a valid scientific analysis of the precinct-level 2004 Ohio presidential exit poll data "The Gun is Smoking: Ohio 2004 Exit Poll Discrepancies Are Consistent with Outcome-Altering Vote Miscount" available at http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/OH/Ohio-Exit-Pol... . NEDA's analysis provides significant evidence of an outcome-altering vote miscount.

The analysis is based on the most accurate statistical method yet devised for determining whether exit poll error, random variations, or vote count manipulation cause the discrepancies between exit polls and official vote tallies. This analysis method was made public recently by NEDA in "Vote Miscounts or Exit Poll Error? New Mathematical Function for Analyzing Exit Poll Discrepancy" available at http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Exit-Poll-Ana...

Exit Polls were conducted in 49 of Ohio’s 11,360 precincts. At least 40% of Ohio's polled precincts show statistically significant differences between Kerry’s exit poll percent and official vote count percent. 35% of these discrepancies underestimated the Kerry official vote share. This is five times the number expected... more...


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Politics
KEYWORDS: bongcuckoo; bushvictory; elections; gwb2004; lwmoonbats; ohio; ohio2004

1 posted on 01/18/2006 11:22:28 AM PST by pabianice
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To: pabianice

So exit polls are more accurate than the actual vote count?


2 posted on 01/18/2006 11:23:59 AM PST by Semper Paratus
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To: pabianice

Well, there you go. Its scientific. Bush stole the election again.


3 posted on 01/18/2006 11:25:51 AM PST by newconhere
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To: pabianice

roflmao!


4 posted on 01/18/2006 11:26:02 AM PST by just a dude
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To: Semper Paratus

How about an analysis of Wisconsin?


5 posted on 01/18/2006 11:26:07 AM PST by JRios1968 ("Cogito, ergo FReep": I think, therefore I FReep.)
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To: pabianice

I'll bet they're having fun with this story over in DUmmie Land.In fact,I think I'll pay a visit to check it out.


6 posted on 01/18/2006 11:27:01 AM PST by Gay State Conservative
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To: pabianice

There's lies, damn lies, then statistics.

(Forget who said that).


7 posted on 01/18/2006 11:27:14 AM PST by 1066AD
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To: pabianice

Where is the official seal of the Democratic Party? Cmon...I don't know how to post pix here.


8 posted on 01/18/2006 11:27:19 AM PST by fizziwig
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To: pabianice
Bush Stole Ohio in 2004

Where is he hiding it? You think someone would have found it missing before now!

9 posted on 01/18/2006 11:27:49 AM PST by DaveyB (Peace follows victory - never before)
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To: pabianice

A press release from some moonbat Dem group - now that's what I call an authoritative source!


10 posted on 01/18/2006 11:28:23 AM PST by steelcurtain
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To: 1066AD

Reputed to be Mark Twain.


11 posted on 01/18/2006 11:30:05 AM PST by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: JRios1968
How about an analysis of Wisconsin?

Exit polls of Wisconsin's cemeteries indicate Kerry was favored by a 2:1 ratio.

12 posted on 01/18/2006 11:30:19 AM PST by DaveyB (Peace follows victory - never before)
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To: 1066AD

I think it was Mark Twain... But maybe it was Will Rogers....
Doesn't really matter, it's a great quote and oh so accurate.
susie


13 posted on 01/18/2006 11:31:09 AM PST by brytlea (I'm not a conspiracy theorist....really.)
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To: pabianice
The National Election Data Archive (NEDA) is the first mathematical team to release a valid scientific analysis of the precinct-level 2004 Ohio presidential exit poll data.

So if we assume all exit pollsters are honest and all participants were randomly selected, then Bush winning was impossible. However, the probability that those assumptions are correct are zero. This so-called irrefutable case has just been destroyed. Q.E.D.

14 posted on 01/18/2006 11:31:35 AM PST by Always Right
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To: pabianice; PJ-Comix

Exit poll data can only be used this way if exit polls are mandatory, which they are not.

Exit polls are self-selecting, and statistically useless for mathematical proofs like this.



However, I suspect in a couple days this is going to produce a smashing edition of the DUmmy FUnnies!


15 posted on 01/18/2006 11:35:27 AM PST by Petronski (I love Cyborg!)
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To: pabianice
According to the esteemed statisticians people never lie about whom they voted for and random sampling of exiting voters somehow constitutes a reliable projection.

From their website:
7. Exit polls are unlikely to be inaccurate. We need by county EXIT POLLS by the 2006 Election. By county exit poll comparisons may be available for 2004 by aggregating multiple polls and adding county codes to existing polls to find large enough sample sizes in some counties (No one has mentioned that this is possible for 2004 to me yet though.)

16 posted on 01/18/2006 11:35:46 AM PST by BlueNgold (Feed the Tree .....)
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To: DaveyB

'xactly.


17 posted on 01/18/2006 11:37:14 AM PST by JRios1968 ("Cogito, ergo FReep": I think, therefore I FReep.)
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To: pabianice
...35% of these discrepancies underestimated the Kerry official vote share...

If I read this right - this means that 70% overestimated Kerry's vote share.

Or does it mean that Americans don't like the sanctity of a private vote violated so they lie to pollsters who annoy them?

Or does it mean that conservatives have jobs and don't like to waste time talking to pollsters?

So many question

18 posted on 01/18/2006 11:38:39 AM PST by DaveyB (I was educated in a public school so I could be wrong!)
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To: pabianice

this is LW mathematical masturbation

play with the numbers until you get the desired result


19 posted on 01/18/2006 11:40:20 AM PST by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: DaveyB
So many questions

This proves Democrats are too stupid to vote. They can't even work the machine. There it is proof!

20 posted on 01/18/2006 11:42:34 AM PST by DaveyB (I was educated in a public school so I could be wrong!)
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To: pabianice

The Mitofsky people have admitted that their polls were flawed. Working with bad data, this study reaches a bad conclusion.

The Kerry people deliberately stacked the exit polls, it appears, but whatever the reason, the polls were not at all accurate.


21 posted on 01/18/2006 11:47:15 AM PST by mak5
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To: Semper Paratus

Exactly what I'm scratching my head about.


22 posted on 01/18/2006 11:48:55 AM PST by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue.)
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To: Petronski
Exit Polls were conducted in 49 of Ohio’s 11,360 precincts.

49/11360 = 0.4%

Yep, self-selected surveys of less than half of one percent of the voters are a better indicator than counting the votes of everyone.

SD

23 posted on 01/18/2006 11:55:35 AM PST by SoothingDave
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To: fizziwig
I don't have that graphic, but I do have this one:

Bush Won - Get Over It!

24 posted on 01/18/2006 11:59:54 AM PST by andy58-in-nh
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To: fizziwig

I have that graphic but not on a URL, only on my PC so can't post it here. *sigh*


25 posted on 01/18/2006 1:07:26 PM PST by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue.)
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To: andy58-in-nh

Thanks, that one is even better!!......:)


26 posted on 01/18/2006 1:23:59 PM PST by fizziwig
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To: pabianice
My personal favorite:
27 posted on 01/18/2006 1:52:31 PM PST by Solamente
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To: pabianice
The analysis is based on the most accurate statistical method yet devised for determining whether exit poll error, random variations, or vote count manipulation cause the discrepancies between exit polls and official vote tallies.

So why even have elections, just do exit polling.....

This would be doubled-over, tears-streaming-down-the-face, sides-hurting, can't-catch-my-breath-from-laughing-so-hard FUNNY, if it wasn't for the fact that there are people out there that actually BELIEVE this!!!!!!

28 posted on 01/18/2006 4:21:45 PM PST by dirtbiker (I've tried to see the liberal point of view, but I couldn't get my head that far up my a$$....)
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To: pabianice

Let's just scrap voting. It apparently doesn't mean squat. Let's just tell the pollster with blue hair that we are voting Republican, I'm sure he will be honest and put down our choice. /sarc


29 posted on 01/19/2006 2:24:15 AM PST by imskylark
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