Posted on 10/03/2008 9:26:28 AM PDT by bmweezer
Prove me wrong, John
Despite Sarah Palin's impressive performance last night, for those that didn't know (or maybe don't care), I admited this earlier this morning: I believe that Barack Obama is going to win the election in 32 days. There, I said it. No, that doesn't make me a bad Republican, nor does it make me a bad American, because I'm not saying this because I want it to happen. In fact, I hope that on November 5th I wake up and have a "Dewey Beats Truman" moment. However, I consider myself a well-verse student of election history and as such, history tells us that Obama will win. What has been most disturbing to me, however, has been the speed of the McCain swoon, which lead to my conclusion.
On September 25 - just 8 days ago - most state polls showed Obama leading by no more than 286-252 electoral votes. In the popular vote totals taken that day, Obama lead by just 3 points, 48-45. Since that time, Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina, which total 62 electoral votes went to Obama, and the Democrats took nearly a seven point lead in the popular vote. Also, there were steady shifts away from McCain in Nevada, Michigan, and even in Indiana, so much so that the McCain camp pulled out of Michigan.
The financial bailout situation, of course, has not been kind to John McCain, and neither was the first presidential debate. The first elevated George W. Bush to the front of the cameras, which tied McCain again to the unpopular president of the same party. Then, during the debate, Obama did what he had to do: he convinced many that had been unconvinced that he could be president. Hence, the Obama surge, my anxiety, and McCain/Palin playing catchup.
What is amazing is this: if state polls - particularly those in the aforementioned Ohio, Florida and North Carolina - move back towards McCain, the race will be ever-closer to a tie once again and perhaps then all of this talk about an Obama coronation by the main streamers and yes, by me might lessen. Right now, according to RealClearPolitics, Obama leads by +2 in Ohio, +3 in Florida, and just +0.5 in North Carolina. In the next few days, I recommend that GOPers - including myself - watch the numbers from these states very closely. If McCain is going to come back, it will be detected here first.
It does make you foolish. A month is eternity in politics, and by saying such things you only depress the vote of those who may be considering the ticket.
If it was a 20 point lead, it would be one thing, but it is not.
What don’t you just give up? Apparently you already know what is going to happen.
Yawn.
Tell us something that we dont know from reading polls.
Now, if you spent an hour focussed on answering the question:
WHAT WILL AN OBAMA PRESIDENCY REALLY GIVE US?
and
WHY CANT WE GET THE REAL TRUTH ABOUT WHO OBAMA IS TOLD?
then you might have something interesting.
THE ONLY THING WE HAVE TO FEAR IS OBAMA HIMSELF
We don’t need to watch the polls we need to get out there and change the polls. So many conservatives are insular. Talk to your family friends and associates. Phone bank and door know. There is so much more we can do than just watch the polls. No one ever won anything being a cynic.
dippee reasoning... i’d say..
I see Luke is “well verse”.
Good for him. I hope his college education helps out.
OK, here. I'll play along.
McCain is toast! The election is over! This country is dead! We're all doomed! The sky is falling! OMG, OMG, OMG!!
There. Happy? :eyeroll:
this article is more handwringing based on polls. we aren’t buying this psy ops garbage by these so-called “republicans”.
Obama can only win by carrying typically solid GOP states...VA, OH, FL, CO, NV, NC, IN, et.
Though he leads in some of these polls, election day will be a different matter.
To win, he must:
win one of OH or FL
win two of VA/NC/CO/IN
win three of CO/IA/NV/NM
and, he must hang on to PA, WI, NH and MN
So, yes, he is leading in the polls, but his map is a challenge. His only way to win is on offense.
McCain can play defense, and even drop a few states, and still win.
Heck there are so many pundits out there today I should put out my own blog and call myself an expert.
More gloom and doom on freerepublic. What’s the point?
I don’t believe these polls. I believe that internal polls were worsening for McCain in Michigan. I think the Bailout hurt McCAin and once resolved he will rebound.
Bush lost the 1st debate to Kerry big time as I recall. He came back in number two, and hit him hard. The 527s kicked in too.
I look for McCain to hit hard on the issues and not let Obama slip away this time with his interruptions when the “truth hurts.”
Yes, I look for Obama to do this big time in the town hall meetings. i.e. interrupting McCAin again and again...and saying “John, I will NOT let you paint a false picture of me to the American public....etc”
McCain should counter with, “The truth hurts, doesn’t it Senator? I’m sorry if this offends you, but these are exactly your positions on these issues and this clearly is what you said and how you voted.”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2094322/posts
GOP Nation needs to watch this video. Defeat Obama Now, Fight McCain Later.
I believe Obama will never win and it’ll be a landslide for McCain/Palin.
“Uh-oh...it’s yet another Gloom-and-Doom Drama Queen thread.
OK, here. I’ll play along.
McCain is toast! The election is over! This country is dead! We’re all doomed! The sky is falling! OMG, OMG, OMG!!
There. Happy? :eyeroll:”
You’re still my hero.
Why it would appear on a "GOPnation" website is beyond me. I certainly wouldn't waste a dime on supporting a "GOP" website that runs such swill.
Let's leave the "defeat the Republicans" talk to the MSM, not our partisan websites.
They perform a valuable service to the left whether they know it or not.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2094322/posts
The OP is a serial hit and run article pimping poster and a member of the GOPNation.
We need doom and gloom articles from a pimper-poster like we need a hole in the head.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2094322/posts
You guys quit running spelling and grammar checks on the posting, even though it is short-sighted.
Remember, in 2004 Kerry was leading until election and then, according to him, OBL put out a video that killed his election.
Also, John McCain has been known to resurrect his candidacy. I also have a vision of a last minute field goal that will put him over the top. I was frustrated when McCain camp announced they were pulling out of Michigan, they could have done it and just shut up about it, publicizing it just gave Obomber a little more ammunition, even though it was obvious that, just like in the last 2 elections, Detroit would swing Democratic.
McCain hasn’t given up. He’s just tired from the Bailout Odyssey and the MSM beating him and Sarah Palin up. He will make a rebound. There’s still that silent majority out there (Ohio, Florida and all of the fly-over states) that will vote for him. John just needs to bone up and pounce on Obomber in the last 2 debates. Can’t play all your marbles too early, the Weasel (O) will just talk everyone down with all his lies.
I posted this on GOPNation.com just now.
True Republicans will go down swinging and despite what looks like a Democratic victory, we need to remember that the election isn’t until November 4. So as a true Republican, stop these negative posts and instead do something about it.
;-)
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