Skip to comments.Bad News For Obama: Polls Show That 6 Million+ Pro-Hillary Supporters Are Going To Vote For McCain
Posted on 10/28/2008 4:46:09 PM PDT by Laissez-faire capitalist
A poll was conducted back In June 2008, and it found that the number of Hillary supporters that were going to vote for Obama was 58%, with 28% going to vote for McCain. The rest were undecided.
In September, another poll was conducted, and it found that things were unchanged for Obama. This poll found that the percentages were still 58% going to vote for Obama and 28% going to vote for for McCain, with the remainder still undecided.
If the remainder ends up splitting evenly, that will give McCain 35% of Hillary supporters that will vote for him and 65% for Obama.
18 million people voted for Hillary in the Democratic primaries. 35% of those 18 million voting for McCain on Nov. 4th, 2008, will translate into about 6.4 million votes for McCain - votes that Obama will not get - and would have gotten had he chosen Hillary as his veep.
This may account for why the MSM pollsters have skewed their polls and rampantly oversampled Dems, and undersampled Repubs - along with tainting their polls with extra blacks and college students being polled.
6 million plus axtra voters for McCain...
Since early voting numbers show that few college students are turning out to vote early for Obama, even though he and his campaign have been pleading with them to do so, and with some polls showing that Obama's turnout of black voters won't be much better than John Kerry's were, the Obama campaign is worried.
This election is far from over. The polls are much, much closer than many realize.
What say you?
I think a lot, if not most, undecideds break for McCain..
Join your fellow Americans, and defeat the Obama thugs!!!
Can we get ‘em to vote in VA, CO, and PA?
Source for those figures about the college students?
That’s how they have in the past.
Undecideds don’t break for newbies.
Obama is a newbie.
140+ days in the Senate and he starts running for pres.
Fox News, Rachel Maddow’s show on MSNBC and few others...
My true blue RAT friend is not voting for Pres. She was big time Hillary supporter.
Rather, it's the over assignment of those polled to the "independent/undecided" category.
As long as the pollster has a reasonable idea of what percentage of the electorate belongs to which party it really doesn't matter how many of each party get polled. All that will happen is the pollster will get a better number from one set of voters than another.
If, on the other hand, the pollster takes all his Democrat respondents who might vote for McCain and calls them independents, but does not also reduce the percentage of Democrats in the total sampling universe, he simply gives each Obama vote greater weight and thereby distorts the results.
These guys all know that 20% of white Democrats will not vote for Obama under any circumstances. That's about 12% of all Democrats!
By calling them independents they give Obama as much as a 15% lead over McCain.
I think an approach like that might sell with the "moderate independents" with their thumb still up their....well, in their ear.
Obama has been around since the Fall.
Death to vanities and searing pain to those who post them.
Do Hillary supporters really think this way?
No matter how much resentment I might feel toward McCain and his natural RINO supporters I would never vote for a Democrat. How could the PUMA’s vote for us?
If I was still a Democrat, I would vote for McCain. There are so many reasons, but the biggest is because of what he did to Hillary.
One: They'll immediately try to undermine McCain, and more importantly, Palin.
Two: McCain has a propensity for reaching across the aisle and passing bad bi-partisan legislation.
It will be a long 4 years to keep McCain in line, reminding him the Conservative base is his constituency; not the PUMAS and MSM.
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