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Could There Be a 20% Increase In GOP Turnout?
The Patriot Room ^ | November 2, 2008 | Bill Dupray

Posted on 11/02/2008 7:00:45 AM PST by Bill Dupray

It's anecdotal, to be sure, but last time I checked, the Obama Brown Shirts haven't resorted to duck-taping Republican voters to their refrigerators . . . yet. From Jim Geraghty at The Campaign Spot.

While Texas will go solidly McCain as it did for Bush, I thought this was interesting. I live in Lubbock, TX a city of about 200,000 that went about 75-25% for Bush in 2004. In 2004 about 58,500 early voted in the county (total county pop is somewhat higher than city's 200,000), this year early voting was about 69,500. That's almost a 19% increase, and you can bet it's largely McCain support. No glum McCain supporters (as the AP reports) or apathy, or giving up, here.

Second, the Campaign Spot Hilton Head Bureau Chief (a.k.a., "Dad") is resigning in the near future to become the new president of the Hilton Head Republican Club. He mentioned an interesting anecdote to me recently. South Carolina in general, and the Low Country/Beaufort County portion of the state, are some of the most deep red sections of the country as you're going to find; in a year when traditionally Republican states Indiana, North Carolina, and Virginia has wavered, no one has contemplated any Obama movement in the Palmetto State.

More . . .


(Excerpt) Read more at patriotroom.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; gotv; polls; turnout; youthvote

1 posted on 11/02/2008 7:00:46 AM PST by Bill Dupray
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To: Bill Dupray

Funny you should say this: I just posted, below, Lee County FL that is deep red. It went for Bush by 20%, and the pop increased by 160,000. That’s a 20% increase if just the Rs vote R and the Ds vote D.


2 posted on 11/02/2008 7:03:27 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Bill Dupray
From your lips and keyboard...TO GOD's EAR
3 posted on 11/02/2008 7:07:13 AM PST by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: Bill Dupray

I’m telling everyone this is 1994! The last time middle America was very afraid.


4 posted on 11/02/2008 7:08:40 AM PST by AmericaUnited
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To: LS

But that additional 20% moved from somewhere where they won’t be voting. Hopefully they came from NY or some other lib hellhole.


5 posted on 11/02/2008 7:10:30 AM PST by wny
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To: AmericaUnited

Im on the left coast i I am scart pelosiless


6 posted on 11/02/2008 7:10:58 AM PST by al baby (Hi mom Honkeys for Mc Cain Palin)
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To: Bill Dupray
I have speculated for a long time now that there are thousands, if not millions of "operation chaos" operatives still operating.

I was polled about a week ago, and as far as the poller knows, I was in the tank for obama.

........I am drying out my powder anyway, just in case.....

7 posted on 11/02/2008 7:12:13 AM PST by B.O. Plenty (I am not ....him!)
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To: Bill Dupray

Lubbock has grown much more in the last 4 years than most anywhere else I know. I doubt this is any kind of national trend in voting.


8 posted on 11/02/2008 7:12:19 AM PST by JustaDumbBlonde (America: Home of The Free Because of The Brave)
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To: AmericaUnited
I’m telling everyone this is 1994! The last time middle America was very afraid.

Yes, it could well be.

The 1994 election, with its strong response from gunowners who now knew exactly what they were facing after the Clinton administration had went so strongly for gun control in its first two years, were particularly fired up.

Every gunowner has to be aware that Senators Obama and Biden are even more more dangerous gungrabbers than the Clinton administration.

9 posted on 11/02/2008 7:13:37 AM PST by snowsislander
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To: wny; All

If you want to help change the vote why print either one of these two articles and give them to your friends and neighbors http://www.theusmat.com


10 posted on 11/02/2008 7:14:20 AM PST by mosesdapoet (This election use your printer n pass out leaflets to tell em the truth we can't afford Obama)
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To: AmericaUnited

Gallup found 84% oppose redistribution of their wealth.


11 posted on 11/02/2008 7:15:52 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: AmericaUnited
I remember the 1994 turnout where the GOP captured both houses. The liberal news coined it - The massive turnout of the AWM (Angry White Male). It was like - how dare they turn out and vote Republican.

RightWingIt.com

12 posted on 11/02/2008 7:16:39 AM PST by GaryLee1990 (www.RightWingIt.com)
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To: TornadoAlley3

While 85% didn’t mind redistribution of other people’s wealth.

That is the sad part.


13 posted on 11/02/2008 7:17:16 AM PST by autumnraine (Churchill: " we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall never surrender")
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To: Bill Dupray
My mom vote Friday in Fort Bend County, Texas, the old Tom DeLay district. The line was 45 minutes long and the election judge said the turnout was double 4 years ago.
14 posted on 11/02/2008 7:17:58 AM PST by TWfromTEXAS
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To: Bill Dupray

Perhaps, but Lubbock does have plenty of minorities who probably don’t normally vote or aren’t usually amped up about voting— 28% Hispanic, 9% Black and others adding up to 39%. A huge part of Obama’s GOTV is grabbing every non-white they can find and getting them to the polls, without any other vetting of the voter they grab.


15 posted on 11/02/2008 7:18:01 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: Bill Dupray
All savvy stock market players know that FEAR is a much more powerful motivator than GREED. So what does that have to do with the price of tea in China or this election???

Middle America is EXTREMELY FEARFUL OF THE RADICAL MARXIST, whereas Barry's KoolAid drinkers are just greedy.

Middle America will turnout in numbers that will crush the Marxist's hordes.

16 posted on 11/02/2008 7:21:30 AM PST by AmericaUnited
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To: Bill Dupray

I think the whiny pubbies who let the Dimocrats take over our government by staying home in 2006 realize what a mistake they made.


17 posted on 11/02/2008 7:42:26 AM PST by tiki (True Christians will not deliberately slander or misrepresent others or their beliefs)
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To: Bill Dupray

It’s been a few years since I lived in Lubbock. Yes, they are strong conservative and that hasn’t changed. The numbers above have to favor the conservatives in some way even if only a small increase.


18 posted on 11/02/2008 7:47:40 AM PST by Doug TX
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To: Bill Dupray

I remember all the pundits saying Hillary couldn’t win because she would energize the republican bsse. Guess o did her one better.


19 posted on 11/02/2008 8:17:46 AM PST by Terry Mross
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To: GraniteStateConservative

I volunteer as a court-appointed advocate for abused kids here in Lubbock. I deal with the minorities on the north east side on a weekly basis — have had my car circled by emaciated crack whores like hyenas as I’ve gone searching for an AWOL mother. Grotesque. I’m telling you ACORN can register all these people they want, but they will not be able to get them out to vote. These mothers lay in bed behind cardboard-thin doors, so exhausted and high they won’t accept a free ride to CPS to visit their children who are waiting in tears to see them, or lift one finger to get them back — they’ll cry themselves to sleep over it, but they won’t do a damn thing to work a program and get them back, or even visit to check on them, write a note, place a phone call. They certainly will NOT turn out to vote. That is the Dem problem. If they can ever use their powers for good, and get these people cleaned up, then Republicans have a “problem” I’ll be happy to accept. Dem turnout % in Lubbock “may” be a little higher than usual (I predict it will be lower d/t more Republicans moving in plus a savage rage at the GALL of 0bama having the nerve to run in this election), but the numbers they are counting on will not materialize.


20 posted on 11/02/2008 8:36:20 AM PST by DRey
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Using Bureau of the Census figures, comparing the breakdown by race/ethnicity in the city of Lubbock, the population in 2000 was 199,564 with 72.9% white, 8.7% black, and 27.5 Hispanic. In 2006, the population was 210,178 with 76.2 white, 7.6% black, and 29% Hispanic. So, the white population has increased and the black population has decreased during that period.

In 2006 the county of Lubbock was 254,862 with 77.2% white. In 2004 Lubbock County went 70,135 for Bush and 22,472 for Kerry or 75.3% to 24.1%. Do you really believe that Obama can appreciably change that result in his favor?

21 posted on 11/02/2008 8:42:23 AM PST by kabar
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To: DRey

unfortunately they don’t need to get them out to vote, just follow up when they get their Absentee ballot and make sure they send it in.

all very sad.

and I also think the uptick in % is due to more ppl voting early - ok color me glass half empty.

Posting a “Proud member of the NRA” sticker on my door.


22 posted on 11/02/2008 8:45:25 AM PST by IOWAfan (What if the Hokey Pokey really IS what it's all about?)
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To: Bill Dupray

It will interesting to see if Republican turnout is higher than usual in California.

Because it will be due to prop 8.

If so we need to pair a traditional family values issues with every presidential election going forward.


23 posted on 11/02/2008 9:01:56 AM PST by NoLibZone (As insane as McCain is , my principles can't allow someone like Huessein to be president.)
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To: IOWAfan
"Posting a “Proud member of the NRA” sticker on my door." I joined the NRA in October. I don't even own a gun - never have.

I just don't think the numbers are Dems voting. This is the first time in my life I've been asked by friends: Have you voted yet? Please go vote.

I voted in October and so did everyone else I know -- Republican. It's been a phenomenon. Crazy.

McCain is pulling 302 EVs on Tuesday night.
24 posted on 11/02/2008 9:21:39 AM PST by DRey
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