Skip to comments.Washington Post Misses Irony of Showing Climate Change as a Roulette Wheel
Posted on 02/24/2009 10:20:41 AM PST by Matt Philbin
It might be easier to work up a proper sense of dread at a scary new climate change model if the group doing the scaring didnt use a roulette wheel for illustration. And The Greenhouse Gamble graphics only make the Washington Posts one-sided report on the model more laughable.
On the Feb. 23 Capital Weather Gang Web site, the Posts Andrew Freedman reported that MIT's Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change revised its predictions about just how hot the Earth will become in this century. Not surprisingly, the MIT group said that if governments dont institute drastic, economy-killing policies to reduce man-made greenhouse emissions, the global temperature could end up hotter than previously thought.
As Freedman explained it, The MIT Integrated Global System Model, showed significantly increased odds that by the end of the century warming would be on the high end of the scale for a so-called no policy scenario. Essentially, there is a one in 11 chance that by the end of the century, the average temperature will have risen by about 12.6 degrees. On the other hand, the odds are one in 100 that warming would be limited to below 5.4 degrees.
If that sounds more like a vague, well-hedged guess than useful scientific judgment, it is. The modeling experiments are not meant to provide precise forecasts of future temperature changes, Freedman wrote, but rather to serve as what one related MIT study calls thought experiments to help policymakers and the public understand how decisions regarding emissions reductions may affect the magnitude of climate change.
Read the rest of this article at http://www.businessandmedia.org/articles/2009/20090224090818.aspx
(Excerpt) Read more at businessandmedia.org ...
lol. roulette wheel
I’ve got a “thought experiment” for ya. But this is a family site.
Just more of the same panic crap...even though the “gambling” aspect of the article is hilarious. In real roulette, chance of hitting any one number is 1 in 38.
I have considered your thought experiment, and concluded that it is, unfortunately, physically impossible...
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