Skip to comments.“How to Save Obama’s Presidency” in Blockquotes
Posted on 10/01/2009 12:49:52 PM PDT by Starman417
"Never let a serious crisis go to waste. What I mean by that is it's an opportunity to do things you couldn't do before."-Rahm Emanuel
Is there any question that Obama's presidency is in crisis?
Biden's observation that Republican victory in 2010 would be "the end of the road for what Barack and I are trying to do" is telling. It is an excellent argument for voting GOP next year. However much the Republicans may deserve to lose yet again, the country does not deserve to have done to it what Barack and he are trying to do.
What Barack and he are trying to do is steamroll through Congress radical and destructive changes in policy: government takeovers of the medical industry and labor-management relations and massive taxes on energy in the name of combating so-called climate change. One may surmise that Barack and he expected to have accomplished much of this already.
All told, 49 Democratic House members sit in districts which voted for Republican presidential candidate John McCain last November, while only 34 Republican congressmen sit in districts won by President Obama. Given the magnitude of Obama's victory, these numbers understate the problem Democrats face, since some normally Republican districts were swept along in the Obama tide, but will likely return to their GOP roots in 2010 (and possibly in 2012, too).
Where, then, does each party stand? Republicans are rightfully optimistic in predicting gains in the House, since Democrats will be forced to play more defense than offense. However, that optimism should be tempered by Obama's approval ratings, which have fallen, but still remain in the 50 percent range according to recent polls. If even these modest ratings continue for the Democratic president, it is hard to imagine a GOP landslide occurring at 2006 or 2008 levels, when Democrats capitalized on the unpopularity of Republican President George W. Bush, whose approval ratings were hovering a full twenty points lower than Obama's. This lukewarm presidential approval, however, does create a set of conditions in which Republicans can certainly pick off a few incumbents while winning a number of open seat contests.
After examining all 435 House races for 2010, the Crystal Ball projects that Republicans will gain between 20 and 30 seats. While this is nothing to sneeze at, especially given that it would be the largest gain for congressional Republicans since 1994, it still puts them short of the 40 seat pick-up they need to take back the House.
(Excerpt) Read more at floppingaces.net
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