Palin would perhaps not win if the election were today but that’s irrelevant because she and her competitors haven’t made their final arguments, and America and American public opinion will evolve over the next couple of years.
Wouldn’t win against whom?
I hold that if a nationwide Republican primary were held today, Palin would have voters camped out the night before across the country—and would win solidly.
I also hold that when people are admitting to pollsters about the same level of approval for Obama and Palin, she’s got the clear edge, the anti-Obama voters are the motivated ones anyway, and she’d win solidly one on one against our sitting President.