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To: Liberty1970

OK, now I need to argue with myself: regardless the overall distribution of choices, each individual choice has a 50/50 chance of matching the result for each particular trial. So I’m not sure I see why it matters to stick with one result over randomly switching.


3 posted on 04/16/2010 7:26:29 AM PDT by Liberty1970 (http://www.caringbridge.org/visit/lydiablievernicht)
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To: Liberty1970

You were right to be confused, because the teaser was misspecified. It should read:

Acin’s experiment generates an “up” or “down”, each occurring as they may. When is guessing “up” every time better than switching guesses between “up” and “down”?


4 posted on 04/16/2010 10:47:39 AM PDT by mattstat (http://wmbriggs.com)
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