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World Cup Statistics and Predictions for the Final
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=2578 ^ | William M. Briggs

Posted on 07/04/2010 5:36:27 AM PDT by mattstat

It’s nice to be right once in a while. This was that while: taking into account Romero’s performance, it was easy to guess that Argentina would never have a chance against Germany.

But can we work our statistical magic for the rest of the tournament, and answer such questions as: Is the World Cup getting harder to win? Is the game becoming more rambunctious? And what will be the likely outcome?

The first Cup was held in 1930: there were only 13 teams that participated, and over the course of 18 games, 80 goals were made. Only one man was sent off (two yellows or one red card) in all of the 18 matches. By 2006, there were 32 teams in the tournament, with 64 games: 147 goals were scores and 28 men were sent to the showers early to curse their fate.

Here’s a picture, through time, of the goals per game scored (note that there were Cups while the world was engaged in its global folly):

(Excerpt) Read more at wmbriggs.com ...


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: goals; redcards; worldcup

1 posted on 07/04/2010 5:36:30 AM PDT by mattstat
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To: mattstat

"Soccer was invented by European ladies to keep them busy while their husbands did the cooking."

2 posted on 07/04/2010 5:41:39 AM PDT by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you.)
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To: mattstat

What’s the difference between soccer and tennis?

In tennis, the ball will actually make contact with the net.

AND

VUVUZELAS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111!!!!


3 posted on 07/04/2010 6:03:27 AM PDT by nhoward14 (A mind is a terrible thing to waste. That is why Obama gave his away.)
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To: mattstat

I dozed off somewhere between world and cup. Anyway, I like mine black with a little sugar.


4 posted on 07/04/2010 6:25:46 AM PDT by org.whodat
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To: mattstat

I predict 3 hours of sheer almost unrelenting boredom mixed with one or two minutes of interesting play.


5 posted on 07/04/2010 6:34:20 AM PDT by rsobin
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To: mattstat
Diego Primadonna

6 posted on 07/04/2010 7:45:16 AM PDT by mikrofon (Happy 4th to All)
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To: mattstat
Soccer = Rollerball.

Both suck.

AV

7 posted on 07/04/2010 7:56:58 AM PDT by Atomic Vomit (http://www.cafepress.com/aroostookbeauty/358829)
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To: mattstat
It seems as though a sizable group of posters can't wait to waste their time telling everyone how boring, effeminate and anti-American they see soccer must be. Personally, I enjoy soccer but can find no socially redeeming value in watching a bunch of cars drive around a track while the fans wait for a wreck. But then that is just my opinion and I like to think that I have better things to do with my time than trashing NASCAR threads.

That said, the Germans seen to be the best team at the moment.

8 posted on 07/04/2010 8:00:53 AM PDT by JimSEA
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To: JimSEA
Well said Jim. It is truly amazing the number of people who go out of their way to make total jackasses out of themselves. I also agree that Germany looks like the best team. Actually they are looking excellent!!!! Nice to watch a team play that seems to have it all. Some very exciting and unexpected moments in this Cup. Continue to enjoy the games. I certainly plan to.
9 posted on 07/04/2010 2:54:22 PM PDT by LuvFreeRepublic (Support our military or leave. I will help you pack BO!)
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To: mattstat

“World Cup Statistics and Predictions for the Final”

1. Someone will fall down pretending to be hurt.

2. There will be some ridiculous noise coming from the stands making the match unbearable to watch on tv with the mute button firmly mashed.

3. The final (finally) final will end 1 - 0.

4. There will be a riot of some kind.


10 posted on 07/04/2010 2:56:43 PM PDT by Grunthor (I like you but when the zombies chase us, I'm tripping you.)
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To: mikrofon

I love it. Thank you Germany for finally silencing that punk Maradona.


11 posted on 07/04/2010 3:00:00 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Grunthor
1. Someone will fall down pretending to be hurt.

The Italians won't be in the Final.

12 posted on 07/04/2010 3:01:27 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: JimSEA
That said, the Germans seen to be the best team at the moment.

And they are by far the most entertaining team.

13 posted on 07/04/2010 3:04:53 PM PDT by Doe Eyes
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To: JimSEA
That said, the Germans seen to be the best team at the moment.

And they are by far the most entertaining team.

14 posted on 07/04/2010 3:05:00 PM PDT by Doe Eyes
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To: dfwgator

1. Someone will fall down pretending to be hurt.

The Italians won’t be in the Final.


It’s soccer. Someone will stand in the gap for them I am sure.


15 posted on 07/04/2010 3:15:01 PM PDT by Grunthor (I like you but when the zombies chase us, I'm tripping you.)
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To: Grunthor
“World Cup Statistics and Predictions for the Final”

1. Someone will fall down pretending to be hurt.

— The teams who flop blatantly (are you listening, Argentina?) didn't make the semifinals. Furthermore, the refs are ignoring most of the playacting.

2. There will be some ridiculous noise coming from the stands making the match unbearable to watch on tv with the mute button firmly mashed.

Any more ridiculous than thundersticks? At least soccer fans get together to sing together.

3. The final (finally) final will end 1 - 0.

Not if Germany is in the finals.

4. There will be a riot of some kind.

Not if Germany is in the finals. The police won't issue a permit for a riot.

16 posted on 07/04/2010 3:16:53 PM PDT by GAB-1955 (I write books, love my wife, serve my nation, and believe in the Resurrection.)
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To: GAB-1955

I’d love to see a Germany-Holland final, can Holland finally get revenge for ‘74?


17 posted on 07/04/2010 3:18:02 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: GAB-1955

2. There will be some ridiculous noise coming from the stands making the match unbearable to watch on tv with(out) the mute button firmly mashed.

....”At least soccer fans get together to sing together.”

What did you think I was referring to?


18 posted on 07/04/2010 3:22:58 PM PDT by Grunthor (I like you but when the zombies chase us, I'm tripping you.)
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To: GAB-1955
At least soccer fans get together to sing together.

That's why I can't wait for the new EPL season to start, so I can finally hear the fans singing and chanting again.

19 posted on 07/04/2010 3:25:38 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator
I’d love to see a Germany-Holland final, can Holland finally get revenge for ‘74?

'74 and '54, no?

20 posted on 07/04/2010 7:37:46 PM PDT by SilvieWaldorfMD
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To: SilvieWaldorfMD

Nevermind. I just realized that the Germans were playing against the Hungarians in the ‘54 Final.

Holland played against Argentina in ‘78, and lost to the Argies.


21 posted on 07/04/2010 7:39:38 PM PDT by SilvieWaldorfMD
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To: dfwgator

I’m told that along with EPL, South American fans find those horns as stupid and annoying as we do.


22 posted on 07/04/2010 7:45:01 PM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult
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To: SilvieWaldorfMD
Holland played against Argentina in ‘78, and lost to the Argies.

The Dutch came so close, Resenbrink hit the post with about a minute left in regulation that would have won it.

The Dutch certainly deserve to get one after all this time, with all of the greats that have played for them over the years.

23 posted on 07/04/2010 9:20:32 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator

Two Words: MARIO KEMPES.

Yes, the Dutch deserve to win this one.


24 posted on 07/05/2010 4:38:39 AM PDT by SilvieWaldorfMD
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