11 points is close. Not really super close, but considering that we don’t know how much better the Republican turnout will be than the Democrat turnout, and each day brings great news, theres a good reason to think the race would be definitely in single digits if it was Democrats 40, Republicans 37 in terms of turnout.
The most recent poll is Rasmussen 11. The wider gap polls are the older polls.
I do agree with you, and have agreed with you, about the merit of the TCJ Research polls. We both think those are BS. And the TPE polls were good in September, but we don’t know about the particular poll that the TPE was talking about on Sunday.
I think she impressed in the debate, and that Coons is tied to the hip with Obama.
I think she wins.
The reason why the Dems and the media started talking about Christine on September 14/15 is that they can’t help themselves. They don’t like religion or religious people, and they don’t think their viewers do either. They are wrong. Many of their viewers don’t like religion, but many do. People around the country have been watching MSNBC and CNN and seeing the people up there trashing Christine as evil.
This is a very good point. They can't help themselves.
Still, I think COD is pretty tarred. Even a great candidate would have a hard time being the focus of millions upon millions of dollars of attack ads and scorn from the entire media and intellectual establishment.
She's handled herself well. I admire her. O'Donnell is a hell of a lot tougher than me or most people in this country. But political realities are what they are. I don't think she ever had any chance in Delaware. Never did, and don't think anything much has changed.
If the Republicans have an amazing night next week I think she'll still lose by 5. If Republicans just have a good night come election day, she'll lose by 10. I think we will see the latter.
Your point about the media/liberal elite not being able to help themselves is a good one though. These people don't understand the American public, they hate religion and religious people, they look down on regular folks - and yes, even if they were shooting themselves in the foot my guess is your right that they would still keep up with making fun of COD.