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Midterm Repudiations: What History Reveals About Obama’s Chances in 2012
Canada Free Press ^ | November 7, 2010 | David Pietrusza

Posted on 11/07/2010 4:47:03 PM PST by statestreet

So now what?

That’s what Republicans—and their vanquished opponents—are asking in the wake of 2010’s midterm Democratic debacle. Does 2010 foretell similar results in 2012? Can Democrats right themselves? Will an ascendant GOP stumble?

What does history tell us about what will transpire two Novembers from now?

The party in power generally loses seats in off year contests. Rarely (think 1934) the party in power may witness a pickup. “Draws” are also possible, with no appreciable gain or loss for anybody. But measurable losses for “ins” remain the norm. The “modern” Democratic Party-Republican Party Era (no Whigs. Federalists, Democratic-Republicans, or No-Nothings need apply), has witnessed any number of midterm tussles—1862, 1882, 1914, 1922, 1938, 1942, 1950, 1954, 1978, and 1982, for example—falling into the category not of “repudiations” but, rather of mere “rebukes.” The party in power takes a solid shot to the jaw but is shaken rather than dropped to the canvas.

(Excerpt) Read more at canadafreepress.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: belongsinbloggers; election; gingrich; midterms; repudiation

1 posted on 11/07/2010 4:47:15 PM PST by statestreet
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To: statestreet

Obama has a lot more problems then this article has stated. Two major ones are named Pelosi & Reid!!! The combo of Obama, Pelosi and Reid will lead to the near destruction of the Democrat Party in 2012!!! No more need be said, other then Democrats can remedy this problem very quickly. Guess how?


2 posted on 11/07/2010 4:52:58 PM PST by JLAGRAYFOX
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To: statestreet

“Rarely (think 1934) the party in power may witness a pickup”
2002 saw the GOP gain seats in Congress and the Senate I believe.


3 posted on 11/07/2010 4:53:59 PM PST by aft_lizard (Barack Obama is Hugo Chavez's poodle.)
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To: statestreet

It is the case that very few elected Presidents are not reelected. I think only two (Carter and Bush I... Ford was not elected to begin with, so he doesn’t count) in the last eighty-leven years or so.


4 posted on 11/07/2010 4:54:20 PM PST by XEHRpa
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To: statestreet

Obummer is nothing like Truman and Clinton. And he’s operating in a politically toxic environment whereas they operated in politically propitious ones. He has shown no clue as to how to turn the economy around except to spend more. For Obummer, his teleprompter has indeed met the end of the road.


5 posted on 11/07/2010 4:59:22 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: XEHRpa

Republicans need to keep Pelosi’s face on TV so more people will become sick of it.
Minority leader ? Have at it, Nancy !


6 posted on 11/07/2010 5:00:47 PM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (Impeachment !)
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To: statestreet
Thus, given a properly inept GOP opponent, Barack Obama can survive—though the odds are against him. First, he possesses little of Harry Truman or Bill Clinton’s political street smarts. He has never really come back from anything—save from Indonesia. His ability to blame opponents for his failings has already worn threadbare. He will not only have to successfully resolve the conflict in Afghanistan, he will have to hope that no other front erupts in the War on Terror. Even more problematically, inflation must be avoided. The deficit must at least seem to be on the road to control. Unemployment must be slashed dramatically.

That is a powerful coalition of obstacles to overcome. The writing may finally be upon the teleprompter wall.

I like how he ends it.

7 posted on 11/07/2010 5:02:56 PM PST by zeebee
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To: XEHRpa

Interesting observation, but if we look at the 20th and 21st centuries we see (surprisingly) that really most are not re-elected:

Defeated or not seeking re-election: TR, Taft, Coolidge, Hoover, Truman, LBJ, Carter, George H. W. Bush

Re-elected: Wilson, FDR, Ike, Nixon, Reagan, Clinton, George W. Bush. (and both Wilson and Clinton are elected only by pluralities in both terms)

Died: Harding, JFK

Not elected & not “re”-elected: Ford


8 posted on 11/07/2010 5:09:52 PM PST by statestreet
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To: statestreet
He has never really come back from anything—save from Indonesia.

Funny, but in error. He has had to make a comeback once.

He did try to run for congress once (the seat of Bobby Rush), it was the only time, he ever really fought a democrat.

He lost, and was damaged by it, but regrouped, became more corrupt then ever, and continued on.

To me, we need to look at what lessons he learned from his 2000 loss (this recent midterm is like a loss for him, so he is going to go back to his past experience).

To me, it looks like he actually became more orthodox and liberally dogmatic, while developing his style, and also become more corrupt and insidious in the process. Some lessons he learned, never, ever oppose his own party, or the liberal establishment. Never deviate from the power brokers of the left, and never challenge anything or anyone on the left. Never get outflanked by anyone on your left, and always, bow know before your left wing power structure, and do as it tells you, and you will be rewarded...

Two things he is not, pragmatic or idealistic.....that makes him more dangerous....

9 posted on 11/07/2010 5:14:34 PM PST by Sonny M ("oderint dum metuant")
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To: statestreet

The writer is ill informed. Bush made gains in ‘02 midterms. This article is nonsense. There are no historical comparisons to the times we live in now. Rats who think that this past election was just the normal midterm losing cycle are in for a rude awakening in ‘12. There is no way the Dims will recover from this last rout any time soon. Generations of Rat leaders were fired Nov 2nd from state houses nation wide. Whats left are scared out of their minds.


10 posted on 11/07/2010 5:17:25 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: statestreet

The past 2 years have blown away all illusion covering this Marxist Muzzie quisling and what has been seen cannot be unseen.

Nothing will re-elect him........


11 posted on 11/07/2010 5:21:37 PM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX
The combo of Obama, Pelosi and Reid will lead to the near destruction of the Democrat Party in 2012!!!

Not good enough. Need to push it over the edge. But how?

12 posted on 11/07/2010 5:24:42 PM PST by sionnsar (IranAzadi|5yst3m 0wn3d-it's N0t Y0ur5:SONY|TV--it's NOT news you can trust)
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To: Lazlo in PA

Most importantly, the “extend and pretend” policy of the administration guarantees that the foreclosure crisis remains in effect for at least two more years.

Until the foreclosure pipeline is cleared out of the housing market there is zero chance of a significant recovery.


13 posted on 11/07/2010 5:56:05 PM PST by cgbg (No bailouts for New York and California. Let them eat debt.)
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To: statestreet

Quit looking to history to see our reaction to our first Marxist, muslim, foreign President. Did the Russians look at history in figuring out the reaction to Lenin? There was no precedent. This isn’t Democrat liberalism vs. Republican fiscal restraint. This is America’s founding people and those who have assimilated to America versus global anti-American tyranny designed to make us obedient slaves.


14 posted on 11/07/2010 6:31:07 PM PST by Defiant (I'm a Fabian Constitutionalist. Roll back FDR and progressivism!)
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