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Mitch, Mitt, And The Race They Can Win (GOP Establishment Alert)
The Episconixonian ^ | February 25, 2012 | John Taylor

Posted on 02/26/2011 8:17:18 AM PST by Rufii

Mitch, Mitt, And The Race They Can Win

By John Taylor

Gov. Mitch Daniels of Indiana is, according to current criteria, a moderate Republican, which is to say an authentic Reaganite. His mentors include respected centrists such as William Ruckelshaus and Richard Lugar. Now David Brooks and Andrew Sullivan want him to run for president in 2012. I'm a little confused about why fans of a more pragmatic conservatism would feel that way. Assuming an incumbent's advantage in a recovering economy, President Obama will probably be reelected. Why waste a candidate who could win in an open year?

Presidential elections aren't parlor games, I realize. Both parties should try as hard as they can to win in order to keep debates vigorous and urgent and give voters a real choice as well as be in the position to exploit the vagaries of circumstance. A young first-term senator from Illinois didn't start out expecting to beat Hillary Clinton. No one expected the September 2008 financial crisis to guarantee the election of whichever Democrat had been nominated.

No, you never know what will happen in politics. You also don't know what's going to happen when a .240 singles hitter steps to the plate, but you can make a pretty good guess. As political scientists have shown and common sense confirms, the smartest money and best candidates have a tendency to stay away from riskier races. The last year a Democratic incumbent was up was 1996, when Bill Clinton, thanks to his survivor's instinct and the ministrations of the great triangulator Dick Morris, seemed well positioned for reelection. So the GOP anointed Bob Dole, a respected warhorse about whom no one seemed especially enthusiastic.

But as the open election of 2000 approached, the drum beat for George W. Bush began two years or more before election day. In Republican circles you could feel the influence and moneymassing behind him. That's not happening now with any candidate because most of them (such as Daniels, I'd think) are wondering whether this is really the right time to run. All things being equal, the best nominee, whoever he or she is, will be naturally disinclined, since a better chance looms for a shift to the GOP four years later. It will be an especially tough call for Mitt Romney, who lost a strenuous bid for the nomination in 2008 and can't risk being a two-time loser.

Losing matters less to true believers such as those conservatives who, in Richard Nixon's deathless formulation, would rather be right than president. The likes of Daniels and Romney would be wise to leave 2012 to any one of the tea party's Quixotes. Assuming I've read the tea leaves correctly and Obama wins, we'd see if in 2016 the GOP wanted to try to get another pot out a used bag or come back toward the center where the voters are.



TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2012; daniels; gigarinoromney; kilorinoromney; megarinoromney; rinoromney; romney; romneybigdig; romneycare; romneydeathpanel; romneytherino
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To: Rufii
Together, the losers Daniels and shapeshifter Romney add up to a number
less than Rush got. ROTLOL

Click here for HARRY info

21 posted on 02/26/2011 9:03:19 AM PST by Diogenesis (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: allmendream

Well, it’s like this. PUBs shift leftward to the center; then the RATs shift further to the left, causing PUBs to again shift leftward. Repeat enough times and tou have the situation we have today. Most, if not all, RATs today would have been locked up by Wilson and FDR. The “eatablishment” today would have been RATs under the same Presidents.

We are two nations - sane and insane. We have two political parties - Communist and Liberal. We have two legl systems - Constitutional law and anarchy.


22 posted on 02/26/2011 9:08:14 AM PST by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners)
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To: Rufii
Now David Brooks and Andrew Sullivan want him to run for president in 2012.

Heckuva endorsement right there. Makes me want to go right out and vote!

23 posted on 02/26/2011 9:15:14 AM PST by grandpa jones (Obama must be exhausted, having to tote that giant brain of his around all the time.)
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To: bwc2221
On base percentage is actually more important than batting average - a walk is as good as a hit.

If that were true, there'd never be any intentional walks. But a walk is much better than an out.
24 posted on 02/26/2011 9:19:34 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: Cicero
But I’m glad to have a RINO confirm my opinion that Mitch Daniels is a “moderate.”

I read some favorable articles about Daniels in the conservative press and thought he might be a good candidate for the White House. But after reading in this article that Ruckelshaus and Lugar are advising him, I'm crossing him off.

25 posted on 02/26/2011 9:26:16 AM PST by Rufii
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To: Rufii

Mitch daniels has an arrest record so this will disqualify him automatcally. Mitt romneys romneyCare will be a liability for running for president. now that ObamCare went into effect and Obama stated he took what Romney did for Mass. for all of the USA. Newt Gingrich had a problem with marital fidelity he had an affair while his first wife was suffering from Cancer. These three will drop out if that already have. republicans need someone whom has the scruples and no skeletons in the closet when going up aganst obama. whom in the republican establishment is an outsider and has no strikes against him.


26 posted on 02/26/2011 9:37:31 AM PST by hondact200 (Candor dat viribos alas (sincerity gives wings to strength) and Nil desperandum (never despair))
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To: Rufii

There’s plenty of other negatives, as well. Mitch and Chris Christie have been getting a lot of press for controlling budgets, but neither of them is a real conservative.


27 posted on 02/26/2011 9:52:35 AM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Vaquero

28 posted on 02/26/2011 10:23:50 AM PST by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: Flintlock
Listen:THERE IS NO MIDDLE ANYMORE! The Obama polarization has destroyed it for at least the next election cycle.

Think a dumbell graph on the political spectrum—not the usual bell curve. We have a bulge on the Liberal left, and one on the Conservative right, with very little in the “middle” anymore.

On the Internet, sure. But that's not the real world. The people who go to protests one way or the other aren't a large percentage of the population.

"Polarization" means people get fed up with one extreme or the other and vote accordingly, not that they permanently enroll on one extreme against the other.

If the whole country really were divided into two equal and hostile blocs, we'd be in civil war by now. It's not and we aren't.

BTW, this guy has had an interesting career: "Priest and vicar; former Nixon aide and Nixon Foundation executive director." When he says "Nixon aide," though, he means he worked for Nixon after he left office, not that he was part of the Nixon administration. Apparently, Nixon maintained his own "shadow cabinet" after he left office.

29 posted on 02/26/2011 10:26:27 AM PST by x
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To: x
When he says "Nixon aide," though, he means he worked for Nixon after he left office, not that he was part of the Nixon administration. Apparently, Nixon maintained his own "shadow cabinet" after he left office.

Indeed, Taylor worked for Nixon during his post-presidential years.

30 posted on 02/26/2011 10:50:53 AM PST by Rufii
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To: allmendream
...If you saw the size and quality of the fruit I grow...

ahhh...Diocletian is like Bawney Fwank eh?
...time to cross the Rubicon and fix America.

31 posted on 02/26/2011 12:32:53 PM PST by Vaquero ("an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Vaquero

Really? I mention fruit growing in a garden and you think of homosexuality? I think you may have a problem.


32 posted on 02/27/2011 12:05:34 AM PST by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: KansasGirl

I can’t take a hell of a lot more strain on mine either LOL.


33 posted on 02/27/2011 4:16:33 AM PST by Venturer
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To: Rufii
Another Obama term likely means he gets to replace at least one conservative SCOTUS justice with a another fellow America-hater like Kagan or Sotomajor.

Then we can really stick a fork in our country.

34 posted on 02/27/2011 4:34:21 AM PST by Dagnabitt ("Obama" - Swahili for "Fail")
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To: Dagnabitt
Another Obama term likely means he gets to replace at least one conservative SCOTUS justice with a another fellow America-hater like Kagan or Sotomayor.

For starters, the Boy Scouts will be finished.

35 posted on 02/27/2011 6:55:09 AM PST by Rufii
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To: allmendream
I mention fruit growing in a garden and you think of homosexuality?

NO....I think of Bawney Fwank...

actually I do not care who sleeps with who(adults, that is)...as long as bone smugglers are not teaching kids....getting married....or doing dirty in public.

36 posted on 02/27/2011 8:29:24 AM PST by Vaquero ("an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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