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New Poll Shows Turner Ahead In NY-9
TalkingSides.com ^ | 09/06/11 | CaroleL

Posted on 09/06/2011 1:50:29 PM PDT by CaroleL

A new poll released today shows Republican Bob Turner with a 4 point lead over Democrat David Weprin in their race to replace disgraced Congressman Anthony Weiner (D-New York). In addition to the surprising lead in a district in which Democrats out number Republicans by a margin of 3 to 1, the poll also found that Mr. Turner wins the favorability contest with 37% of respondents viewing him favorably compared to just 29.8% for Mr. Weprin.

With just one week before the special election to fill a seat that was recently considered a sure hold for the Democrats, there's more bad news for Team Weprin. The editorial board of the New York Post endorsed Mr. Turner today and while their choice was hardly a surprise from the right-leaning paper, the endorsement included some strong criticism of Mr. Weprin.

(Excerpt) Read more at talkingsides.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: blogpimp; brooklyn; newyork; pimpmyblog; serialblogpimp; turner; weprin
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1 posted on 09/06/2011 1:50:33 PM PDT by CaroleL
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To: CaroleL

Sweet!


2 posted on 09/06/2011 1:52:07 PM PDT by Nonstatist
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To: DarthVader

PING


3 posted on 09/06/2011 1:52:20 PM PDT by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: CaroleL

Excellent!


4 posted on 09/06/2011 1:58:28 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: CaroleL

Sorry, but, a 4 point lead by a republican in a democrat district, especially in a democrat state, is like a 4 point margin for the democrat. That race, unless the republican gets a much wider margin, like 10% or more, might as well be counted as a loss right now. Democrat voter fraud easily overcomes any “slight” republican lead, and a 5% lead is slight.


5 posted on 09/06/2011 2:00:38 PM PDT by adorno (<)
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To: CaroleL

A lead in the polls won’t overcome vote early and often. The Dems run the voting in New York, and they run the counting.


6 posted on 09/06/2011 2:00:47 PM PDT by Daveinyork
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To: CaroleL
The new poll shows the president's approval rating in NY-9 is just 36% while 52% disapprove of his performance (13% have no opinion).

Wow. If things are that dire in that district for Obummer, Turner has a real shot.

7 posted on 09/06/2011 2:01:03 PM PDT by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: CaroleL

How long before people coming flying in here saying that we don’t need this seat because Turner is too RINO?


8 posted on 09/06/2011 2:01:52 PM PDT by rjeffries
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To: rjeffries

See post#5


9 posted on 09/06/2011 2:04:38 PM PDT by DarthVader (That which supports Barack Hussein Obama must be sterilized and there are NO exceptions!)
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To: Daveinyork

I hope the Pubbies have a team of lawyers standing by as the votes are counted. I want them to check every friggin’ ballot.


10 posted on 09/06/2011 2:05:23 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: CaroleL

This is a tall order. But I welcome any good news, and I would be thrilled at a GOP victory.


11 posted on 09/06/2011 2:06:28 PM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: Signalman

Lots of DNC phone calls to get Maury and Irma to return from Boca Raton to cast their vote in the old nighborhodd where they still are registered.


12 posted on 09/06/2011 2:08:53 PM PDT by slapshot ("Were not gonna take it anymore" Twisted Sister)
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To: CaroleL; Clintonfatigued; randita; Impy; GOPsterinMA; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Liz; ...
We shouldn't count our chickens before they hatch, but man would this be SWEET revenge for NY-26 when the Dems were gloating about how they won Chris Lee's "Republican district".

I wonder if Turner's campaign has the ablity to have volunteers do phone-banking by proxy? Sounds like a worthy project for freepers to get involved in if that's possible. I did phone banking for Pat Toomey's 2004 campaign against Arlen Specter using my cell phone in Illinois.

Oh, and if there's any liberals lurking on FR, I hear the Democrat nominee is NOT progressive enough. You should support Socialist Worker's Party nominee Chris Hoeppner instead. Hee hee hee... ;-)

13 posted on 09/06/2011 2:24:01 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Impeach Obama? Yes We Can!)
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To: CaroleL

This would be so cool! Smack Andrew the Great and The Wunnerful Whizzard of BOZ!


14 posted on 09/06/2011 2:27:37 PM PDT by Shady (The undeniable truth of the Obama Administration...The numbers do not lie.)
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To: BillyBoy

This would be a HUGE win for the GOP.


15 posted on 09/06/2011 3:41:59 PM PDT by GOPsterinMA (Perry/Bachmann 2012 - they can share hair care products.)
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To: BillyBoy

Thanks for the ping.

The beauty part is that all the pundits will characterize the Dem election loss as a blow against Obama.


16 posted on 09/06/2011 3:42:51 PM PDT by Liz (The rule of law must prevail. We can’t govern ourselves by our personal point of view.)
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To: BillyBoy; perfect_rovian_storm; randita; Impy; GOPsterinMA; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Liz; ..

A Republican victory here would be amazing. I expect that Turner would face another incumbent in 2012 if he wins, with an upstate Democrat (probably ultra-leftist Maurice Hinchley) also getting the ax in redistricting.


17 posted on 09/06/2011 5:35:29 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Illegal aliens collect welfare checks that Americans won't collect)
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To: Clintonfatigued

What, he lives in/near Howard Beach? — the narrow neck of the 9th?

He could be put in with Towns (10th) or Meeks (6th) but those districts will be majority black and he will have no chance.

If this is the case then I suspect Hochul will be left without a district also.

If the 9th stretches north, I don’t think it can stretch all the way to Roslyn Heights (Ackerman). It might stretch to Woodside (Crowley). The 12th is 44% Hispanic - it could be majority if it borrows some from Crowley’s 7th.

If the 9th stretches southwest I don’t think it can stretch all the way to Manhattan, although it could take in a good bit of the current 8th (Nadler).

If the 9th stretches southeast, he could be matched with Peter King (in which case Hochul is matched with either Higgins or Slaughter), or McCarthy, or he has his own seat.

If the latter then Hochul has her own as well. Slaughter’s seat would have to stretch to Syracuse — possibly Ithaca but if so then Hinchey is in a difficult position.


18 posted on 09/06/2011 9:22:31 PM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: Clintonfatigued; GOPsterinMA; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj; scrabblehack

Yes he would be the obvious target for elimination in the traditional 1 for 1 NY fashion (do they lose 2 seats every time?).

But they key is that would save another Republican from getting it in his place.


19 posted on 09/06/2011 11:24:25 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Impy; Clintonfatigued; GOPsterinMA; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj; scrabblehack
Well the good news is the "NY-26 in reverse" scenario I envisioned from a few monthes ago didn't seem likely but the pieces have fallen into place nicely. There are only three choices on the ballot for this Congressional seat -- 1) a likeable, political outsider Republican candidate getting crossover support, 2) a gaffe-prone machine Dem candidate who serves in the state legislature, and 3) a far-left third party candidate who appears to be polling around 3-4%, nearly all of his votes coming from liberals who are dissatified with the RAT nominee.

I agree that if Turner wins this seat, it's quite possible that NY might eliminate BOTH Weiner and Lee's former seats. That would essentially make both "upsets" meaningless and be an effort on the part of NY politicians to hope voters forget about the fisacos that happened when Congressman resigned in 2011.

But whatever, a "GOP wins Congressional seat held by Dems since 1920s" headline would be worth it just to rub in the faces of the RATs who gloated they had a "mandate" on "Medicare, medicare, medicare!" when they won Lee's seat thanks to a phony "tea party" candidate splitting the conservative vote.

20 posted on 09/07/2011 2:35:08 AM PDT by BillyBoy (Impeach Obama? Yes We Can!)
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