Mitt 2008 = Mitt 2012
McCain 2008 = Newt 2012
Ron Paul 2008 = Ron Paul 2012
Huckabee 2008 = Bachmann + Santorum 2012
Giuliani 2008 = Perry 2012
F. Thompson 2008 = Cain 2012
You don’t necessarily get the same results every year.
Newt has more terrible divorces, has peaked, or will peak, too early, and is no war hero.
Ron Paul, 4 years ago at this time, was at 3% in the polls, and some recent polls have him as high as 20% (others around 12%). So, he’s ahead of last time.
The tea party didn’t exist 4 years ago. Will they rally behind a candidate they don’t really like that much, or if they’re worried about other factors, if the alternative is Romney?
You can't compare a POS RINO AR Gov with two conservatives. I see no populism or schmaltzy folk-isms from Bachmann or Santorum.
In '08, my most sensible choice in the Primaries was Mittens compared to the other garbage running. There was no Obamacare and McLame was to the left of Mittens in that field. Now Mittens is to the far left of the other candidates like McLame was to those candidates. There are some other questionable calls. Guiliani is a straight up pro choice RINO. Not really a good match up with a God fearing Perry. Also I don't see a match-up for Newt at all. So many things are different, like you point out, that there are few comparisons that can be made.