Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

46 States & 96% of Delegates Remain, Conserv Base Backs Gingrich, SC vs FL Victory Margin Same
Bloggers and Personal ^ | 1 Feb 12 | Xzins

Posted on 02/01/2012 5:26:00 AM PST by xzins

Top Reasons the Romney Win in Florida Is NOT what the Romney supporters in the LSM are suggesting. It is not the end of the road and the coronation of Mitt Romney.

1. Only about a hundred out of roughly 2300 delgates have been chosen.

2. Romney can't win over the conservative base.

3. 46 States remain on the schedule.

4. Romney has seriously elevated his negatives. Many now despise the guy.

5. Romney is being protected by the media from his weaknesses. Time and repetition will get the truth out.

6. Romney can't continue spending at that level and enter the general is good shape.

7. At the end of the day, Romney is still a flip-flop liberal.

8. Liberal Media is Starting to Train Guns on Romney


TOPICS: Local News; Miscellaneous; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: election; gingrich; romneytruthfile; santorum

1 posted on 02/01/2012 5:26:03 AM PST by xzins
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: All

This is far from over.

Our lives, our fortunes, our sacred honor.


2 posted on 02/01/2012 5:28:33 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: xzins
The State-Run-Media has only ONE Agenda, that can be guaranteed in 2 ways:

Re-Elect The Messiah by promoting a weak, Liberal (R) Opponent

OR:

Get a weak, Liberal, like-minded Opponent (aka: Romney-the-RINO) and lose nothing in pursuit of Utopian Socialism.

3 posted on 02/01/2012 5:31:51 AM PST by traditional1 (Free speech for me.....not for thee)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: xzins

Congrats idiot Romney voters. John Kerry II is pro-choice, pro-govt run healthcare, pro gay marriage, anti-gun, etc... Fools.


4 posted on 02/01/2012 5:42:41 AM PST by petercooper (The one difference between Obama & Romney: Obama is only half white.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

HAVE A LITTLE HEART.
FOIL THE NAY-SAYERS.



Click the Pic


Support Free Republic

5 posted on 02/01/2012 5:43:11 AM PST by deoetdoctrinae (Gun-Free zones are playgrounds for felons)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: traditional1; onyx; TitansAFC; P-Marlowe; wmfights

Obama with a deadlocked Congress is actually better than Romney with a deadlocked Congress.

Romney will go liberal to look like he’s doing something PLUS he’ll get liberal Republicans to back him. He needs only 25 in the House and with a 53-47 majority in the Senate, Romney would need only 7 Rino Senators to impose his liberal legislation on the whole nation.

To include RomneyCare which he is not backing off of and is PROUD of.


6 posted on 02/01/2012 5:45:26 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: xzins
I agree that it is far from over, and hopefully Newt can pull this one out, but:

SC vs FL Victory Margin Same

however, delegate count is not the same.

7 posted on 02/01/2012 5:46:07 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: petercooper

Kerry, Kennedy, Romney...all Massachusetts liberals.

And Romney is more dangerous because he combine rinos + liberals in Congress to pass liberal legislation.

That is something a deadlocked Congress has not been able to do even with Obama as president.


8 posted on 02/01/2012 5:47:19 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

The media is pretending that the “size” of the victory is a Mitt coronation moment. Actually, the size is little different than the SCarolina victory.

So far as delegate difference, with FL’s penalty they had only 50 delegates to SC’s 26 or so. The difference is about .01 of the total number of delegates.


9 posted on 02/01/2012 5:51:23 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: xzins

The media, including Faux News, wants Gingrich to withdraw before the numbers happen and Romney is shown to be Obama-lite.


10 posted on 02/01/2012 5:52:55 AM PST by Redleg Duke ("Madison, Wisconsin is 30 square miles surrounded by reality.", L. S. Dryfus)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Redleg Duke

The liberal media was finally starting to attack Romney last night. It made watching their programming more fun that watching the wretched ass kissing going on over at Faux News.

There is no person at Fox News that is a friend to strong conservatives....none, to include Sean Hannity.


11 posted on 02/01/2012 5:56:02 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: xzins

If Romney wins, it’s 1968, 1988, and 2000 all over again.


12 posted on 02/01/2012 5:57:35 AM PST by ngat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: xzins
2. Romney can't win over the conservative base.

According to CNN exit data, Romney did get conservative support. Even in the 'conservative' northern part of FL, Gingrich and Romney were splitting the conservative vote 38% to 38%.


13 posted on 02/01/2012 5:57:43 AM PST by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: xzins
Mornin:
redMDer made this for me last night and I'm spammin the threads with it. Feel free to use or share.


14 posted on 02/01/2012 6:16:22 AM PST by hoosiermama (Stand with God: Newt, Rick and Sarah will be right next to you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ngat

Nixon imposed wage and price controls: a play right out of socialism.

Bush daddy said “read my lips no new taxes” and proceeded to raise taxes.

Bush II said “don’t defend our entry into Iraq and search for WMDs”.

EACH of the above was liberalism at its worst AND led to the victory of the democrats.


15 posted on 02/01/2012 6:16:22 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: hoosiermama

Awesome Shirt, Hoosiermama!

Thanks


16 posted on 02/01/2012 6:17:37 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: xzins

“The media is pretending that the size of the victory is a Mitt coronation moment.”

Yes, Charlie Rose just had his little coronation interview with Mitt on CBS this morning. CBS is reporting the size of the “victory” to be 14% now. Last night it was 20% on some outlets to start, dropped, and waound up at 15%. After Iowa and the MSM falsely reported a Romney victory only to find out weeks later it was a Romney loss, who knows what the final percentage above Gingrich numbers will be? 13%, 12%, 11.5%? They don’t even report this was a plurality in which Romney did not even get a majority! What might happen in a runoff? I bet Gingrich would win - maybe even in Florida! Why? Because I don’t think Romney could spend 7 or 8 times as much as Gingrich on negative advertising in a runoff (maybe he could), but Gingrich, Santorum, and Paul voters are much more motivated, and in in a low-turnout election this is the difference. Every Santorum and Paul voter I talk to, when forced to make a choice, breaks against Romney. This nonsense is damaging the credibilty of the entire system.

All this election proved is that Romney can win a plurality of votes in a four-way contest in a heavily urbanized state whose population includes lot of retirees and immigrants from other parts of the country and world.


17 posted on 02/01/2012 6:18:54 AM PST by ngat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: TomGuy

Read it again Tom. He lost both “evangelical” + “strong conservatives”

That equals the social conservative base.

There is lots of distortion in the meaning of the words “evangelical” and “conservative”.


18 posted on 02/01/2012 6:20:17 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: xzins

In 2008 there were 8 million votes cast during the general. 4 million for McCain and 4.2 million for Romney. The votes cast last night were just under 2 million. Where are the other 2 million Republican votes? My view is many if the independEnt tea party votes were locked out. Romney eeked out a win this time but his days are numbered!


19 posted on 02/01/2012 6:25:12 AM PST by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rwoodward

do you have a link?


20 posted on 02/01/2012 6:28:50 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: xzins
He lost both “evangelical” + “strong conservatives”

Maybe so, but he did win by MORE than the combined totals of Gingrich + Santorum.
21 posted on 02/01/2012 6:29:00 AM PST by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: xzins

One of the things I see here that is funny is that Romney bought the Florida vote by spending tons of money. Money that Newt did not have to spend.

Now we know that Romney has money, but when and if he comes out against Obama he is looking at a clown who has a billion dollar campaign fund. What will happen to Romney when he comes face to face with a guy who can outspend him, has the media behind him, and has free unlimited travel in Air Force One and can take as many reporters with him as he likes.

Romney is about to find out that without the support of the whole party his money cannot buy him the Presidency, and he cannot win the support of the whole party by a scorched earth policy against another Republican.

Obama and his money will eat Romney and his money alive.


22 posted on 02/01/2012 6:34:07 AM PST by Venturer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: xzins
There is no person at Fox News that is a friend to strong conservatives....none, to include Sean Hannity.

You know, you're right. Let's talk about the steady diet of "experts" we get on a nightly basis with Hannity...

Juan Williams
Ann Coulter
Karl Rove (with whiteboard, of course)
Bob Beckel
Dick Morris

A veritable "who's who" of conservative thought ...NOT!

23 posted on 02/01/2012 6:35:17 AM PST by The Citizen Soldier (America needs Gingrich in 2012 about as much as England needed Churchill in 1940!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: xzins
ROMNEY SELF DEBATE, MASTERDEBATER
24 posted on 02/01/2012 6:38:10 AM PST by FrankR (You are only enslaved to the extent of the entitlements you receive.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TomGuy; wagglebee; narses; Salvation; onyx; Cincinatus' Wife; Jim Robinson
Maybe so, but he did win by MORE than the combined totals of Gingrich + Santorum.

I'll never support Romney. EVER.

How many percentage points do you think a GOP nominee can afford to throw away before losing?

Bush 2000 says they can afford to throw away 0%

Romney will be worse than Obama because Romney, on the strength of Rino friends in Congress, WILL betray us to liberal legislation, whereas Obama would be held up by a politically deadlocked Congress.

Ergo, Romney is WORSE than Obama.

25 posted on 02/01/2012 6:38:19 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: The Citizen Soldier

Precisely.

I listened to Hannity on both his radio show and on TV interview Gingrich.

He was clearly in CYA mode. He even begged listeners at one point to (paraphrase) ~please understand I get callers on both sides...~

Wimp


26 posted on 02/01/2012 6:46:23 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Venturer

Even in the primary, Romney is spending himself out.

Goldman Sachs money is not Romney money, and Goldman was a big Obama supporter. They’ll decide to dump Romney because they won’t have to spend as much to have Obama again.


27 posted on 02/01/2012 6:47:46 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: FrankR

love it


28 posted on 02/01/2012 6:48:53 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: xzins
Romney Gingrich Santorum Paul Huntsman Perry Bachman Totals
Votes % Delegts Votes % Delegts Votes % Delegts Votes % Delegts Votes % Delegts Votes % Delegts Votes % Delegts Votes Delegts
Iowa 39,805 30.46% 7 16,163 12.37% 2 29,839 22.83% 7 26,036 19.92% 7 245 0.19% 0 12,557 9.61% 0 6,046 4.63% 0 130,691 23
New Hampshire 97,532 39.77% 7 23,411 9.55% 0 23,362 9.53% 0 56,848 23.18% 3 41,945 17.11% 0 1,766 0.72% 0 349 0.14% 0 245,213 10
South Carolina 167,279 27.75% 2 243,153 40.34% 23 102,055 16.93% 0 77,993 12.94% 0 1,161 0.19% 0 2,494 0.41% 0 494 0.08% 0 602,821 25
Florida 771,842 46.30% 50 531,294 31.87% 0 222,248 13.33% 0 116,776 7.00% 0 6,182 0.37% 0 6,742 0.40% 0 3,947 0.24%   1,667,223 50
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
                                               
At large Dels     18     2     1     0     0     0     0   21
TOTALS 1,076,458 40.81% 84 814,021 30.86% 27 377,504 14.31% 8 277,653 10.53% 10 49,533 1.88% 0 23,559 0.89% 0 10,836 0.41% 0 2,637,756 129


It's pretty straight forward based on the cumulative totals thus far.

Rick needs to bow out and throw in behind Newt. If he does, the conservative base will win. If he does not he will continue to split the vote and hand it to Romney.

I believe Santorum is actually the more conservative of the two...but he is not garnering support and does not have that spark that inspires people to get onboard and fight with all they have. Newt does. Newt simply needs to control his emotions and stay on topic and target.

If he does...and if Rick does this, Newt wins.

BTW, Newt won SC by 12.59% on a total vote of around 600,000. Mitt beat newt by 14.43% on a total vote of 1.66 million. We cannot underestimate Mitt and think he cannot get a large percentage of the vote in large states. He proved yesterday that he can so this ceiling we had hoped he was not going to crack is now a myth and we need to get Newt and Rick together so they can beat those numbers.

29 posted on 02/01/2012 6:59:39 AM PST by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ngat
Note that Gingrich won the northern counties and most of the Panhandle, aka South Georgia and Lower Alabama. He also came within a few hundred votes of winning Jacksonville (Duval County), the most Southern-oriented of Florida's metro areas. It is obvious that Romney has a Southern problem. Romney did very well in southeast Florida, with its concentration of retired Northeasterners, and southwest Florida, with its concentration of retired Midwesterners. He won 61% of the vote in Miami-Dade County and 51% of the vote in Sarasota County. Take away the 20%+ voting margins in the retirement oriented counties, and Romney's victory is less substantial.

Romney's advantage is his funding power, second only to Obama. Gingrich is weak financially, but Santorum is even weaker. Paul manages money well and can last very long given his strategy to work on caucus states and states with libertarian leanings, like New Hampshire or Nevada. Santorum and, surprisingly, Paul did better in the Southern-oriented, evangelical counties of northern Florida. But Santorum was a weak third and is competing for the same pool of voters as is Gingrich. Without another Iowa-type victory, Santorum will have to shut down for lack of funding.

For Gingrich to remain competitive, he will need a strong financial boost from Sheldon Adelson or another financial angel.

30 posted on 02/01/2012 7:18:19 AM PST by Wallace T.
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: xzins

I don’t give a rip who he names as his VP.

That ticket won’t get my vote or the votes of any of my family members.


31 posted on 02/01/2012 7:22:51 AM PST by onyx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: xzins

GO TEA PARTY!

GO NEWT!


32 posted on 02/01/2012 7:23:23 AM PST by onyx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: xzins

Raymond Arroyo is on Laura Ingraham praising Newt and bashing Romney..has a great perspective. Talked about Newt wanting a new Contract with America and what a great speech he had last night.


33 posted on 02/01/2012 7:31:31 AM PST by Mountain Mary (Awaken Oh America...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: onyx

Me either, onyx.
and I don’t care what the GOP-E. thinks of my decision.


34 posted on 02/01/2012 7:32:42 AM PST by Mountain Mary (Awaken Oh America...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head

There is something to be gained in dissecting numbers. 53% did not want Romney who needs all of them.

Bush 2000 says Romney cannot afford to lose anyone in his supposed fight to defeat Obama.

I for one will work against him even if he wins the nomination.


35 posted on 02/01/2012 7:33:33 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: onyx; Mountain Mary

My objective if Romney is the nominee is to win my precinct for a 3rd choice here in swing state Ohio.

I’ll never vote for Obama, and for exactly the same reasons, I’ll never vote for Romney.

Obama is a world socialist; Romney is a national socialist. I wonder if he’s related to the Krupps?


36 posted on 02/01/2012 7:36:45 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: xzins

Until Rick gets behind Newt...or vice versa, Romeny’s people will make an even more compelling statistical arguement against either one of them individually. It is when their vote (Newts and Ricks) comes together that the truth will win out...and it needs to happen sooner rather than later.


37 posted on 02/01/2012 7:40:11 AM PST by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Wallace T.

This election is a very fluid situation and unpredictable, beacuase whatever happens is dependent upon some other unknown happeneing or not happening.

For example:

“Santorum will have to shut down for lack of funding.”

What if there is already a back room deal? Romney and his backers which include Koch, could inject enough to keep Santorum going.

“For Gingrich to remain competitive, he will need a strong financial boost from Sheldon Adelson or another financial angel.”

Or perhaps true grassroots support in those other Southern states with active campaigning from Cain, Perry, Thompson, Bachmann (unless she truly is a Romney mole as I’m beginning to suspect). The next states are extremely different from Florida.

My only point is that I think this way this plays out is completely unpredictable, given that the anti-establishment movement position is hardened.

Do you think will the establishment-Romney scam work throughout the primary season?


38 posted on 02/01/2012 7:51:18 AM PST by ngat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head

I agree that a combined conservative vote would be best.

At this point, though, Rick’s argument is less compelling given his declining numbers. He’s going to try a revival in some smaller states and see if he can displace Newt.

I don’t think it will work, but I think he’s full speed ahead on the plan. That means his exit won’t take place for nearly a month.


39 posted on 02/01/2012 7:53:42 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head
Rick needs to bow out and throw in behind Newt. If he does, the conservative base will win. If he does not he will continue to split the vote and hand it to Romney.

This needs to be put to Rick in VERY clear terms.

He is not going to get the nomination.

Therefore, does Rick really want to become the guy that put Mittwitt on the Republican ticket, thus losing the general election and subjecting the united States to little bammy's "Endgame For America?"

I believe Santorum is actually the more conservative of the two...

In many areas that might be true.

However, there exists in dee-cee a gigantic rat nest of socialists, marxists, fascists, and outright communists, woven together with all the cash their grubby hands can loot from the American people plus warehouse loads from "other" (illegal) sources.

Rick does not posses the depth of experience it will require to design the process that will deconstruct that rat's nest. Undoubtedly he is a great guy and good at what he has done in the past but the task ahead is far beyond his skill set.

Newt is far from perfect HOWEVER he is capable of constructing the machine that can effectively unravel the communist cluster f*** of the donks.

Rick should be smart enough to know that there IS a place for him just as there will be for ALL of the solid conservatives if the election goes our way. If it does not? There will not be anyplace for him or anyone else that is not kissing the communist ring.

Again, the question is...

Does Rick Santorum want to become the guy that subjected the united States to little bammy's "Endgame For America?"

BTW, the same is true for Ron Paul but he is just beyond reasoning with.

One more thing, did you make that chart yourself or is is posted somewhere? Thanks!

. .

40 posted on 02/01/2012 8:06:43 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head
Rick needs to bow out and throw in behind Newt. If he does, the conservative base will win. If he does not he will continue to split the vote and hand it to Romney.

This needs to be put to Rick in VERY clear terms.

He is not going to get the nomination.

Therefore, does Rick really want to become the guy that put Mittwitt on the Republican ticket, thus losing the general election and subjecting the united States to little bammy's "Endgame For America?"

I believe Santorum is actually the more conservative of the two...

In many areas that might be true.

However, there exists in dee-cee a gigantic rat nest of socialists, marxists, fascists, and outright communists, woven together with all the cash their grubby hands can loot from the American people plus warehouse loads from "other" (illegal) sources.

Rick does not posses the depth of experience it will require to design the process that will deconstruct that rat's nest. Undoubtedly he is a great guy and good at what he has done in the past but the task ahead is far beyond his skill set.

Newt is far from perfect HOWEVER he is capable of constructing the machine that can effectively unravel the communist cluster f*** of the donks.

Rick should be smart enough to know that there IS a place for him just as there will be for ALL of the solid conservatives if the election goes our way. If it does not? There will not be anyplace for him or anyone else that is not kissing the communist ring.

Again, the question is...

Does Rick Santorum want to become the guy that subjected the united States to little bammy's "Endgame For America?"

BTW, the same is true for Ron Paul but he is just beyond reasoning with.

One more thing, did you make that chart yourself or is is posted somewhere? Thanks!

. .

41 posted on 02/01/2012 8:06:48 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: TLI
I SWEAR I only clicked once...

.

42 posted on 02/01/2012 8:09:39 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: xzins; Jeff Head; All

And what exactly makes you believe Santorum would combine forces with Gingrich? Out of the gate in Nevada he is attacking Newt. Considering his “No Florida” campaign, he could have asked his supporters to vote Newt.
Santorum is pulling a Huckabee with the devout game.
You want to get some attention, start a third party candidacy in the same fashion as the Christine Todd Whitman/Jon Huntsman. The difference is, Gingrich has political traction.


43 posted on 02/01/2012 8:10:40 AM PST by j.argese (Newt ... the Nixon of our time ...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: TLI; xzins

I made the chart in Excel and then converted it to html and update it after every Primary/Caucus.

I believe Rick hopes he can win in Missouri where he will be one on one against Mitt (Newt did not get on the ticket there). If he does he will try and claim that, see, I am the one who can beat Mitt on a head up fight. But the fact is, if there is just one conservative (Newt or Rick), in most states that one person has an excellent chance of winning in the primaries.

Rick just has not been able to get that spark...that special something that energizes people and gets them excited to he point of getting out, spreading the word, and bringing other people to the fire.

Newt does, despite his problems. If he can stay focused and not let Mitt’s or later, Obama’s negative ads make him mad and get him off his game, he can clean the floor with Obama.

But Rick bowing out and Newt staying on target are both what need to happen to make that possible...the numbers to date reflect this clearly. Overall, after four elections Rick is getting just 14%, Newt is getting 31%. The two together at 46% beat Mitt Romney’s almost 42%, and I bet Romeny would lose some more votes if there was just one conservative alternative.


44 posted on 02/01/2012 8:46:15 AM PST by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: j.argese

Rick is doing this in Nevada precisely because he wants to try and bring down Newt and be the only Conservative left standing. But the numbers do not support him and all he is going to do is prolong the split vote.

He hopes to take a good showing in Nevada (which I do not believe he will have) and then go head to head with Romney in Missouri (where Newt did not make the ballot) and then try and say that he is the one who can take Mitt in a one on one contest.

The fact is, if given the chance, so could Newt, and probably even better.

Rick does not have the spark...or the traction as you say. Newt does, and the numbers to date after four contests reflect this. After the four, cumulatively Rick is getting just 14%, Newt is getting almost 32%. The two together with 46% beat Mitt Romney’s almost 42%, and Romney would probably lose more votes if there was just one conservative alternative.


45 posted on 02/01/2012 8:50:59 AM PST by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head

One other point based upon your last sentence regarding one conservative alternative; this primary is exposing how shallow our bench truly is.


46 posted on 02/01/2012 9:18:40 AM PST by j.argese (Newt ... the Nixon of our time ...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: ngat
If Romney wins, it’s 1968, 1988, and 2000 all over again.

Precisely.

47 posted on 02/01/2012 11:06:22 AM PST by surely_you_jest
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson