Skip to comments.GOP Rule Won’t Block Gingrich’s Chances
Posted on 03/22/2012 11:07:20 AM PDT by Josh Painter
If Newt Gingrich fails to win five states, he might not be eligible in the first round of voting at the Republican National Convention.
That doesnt mean he cant be the nominee, and it may not even complicate his chances any further than they already have been...
If no candidate wins on the first round of voting, primary and caucus results will matter progressively less. Some states delegates are bound by primary results only through the first round of convention voting. Others are bound through the second and third.
If Gingrich enters the convention ineligible, he can still win on later rounds of voting.
An RNC official acknowledged that on later rounds of voting, it would be possible for a motion to be made to nominate a candidate who did not qualify on previous rounds. Essentially, the nomination-for-the-nomination process begins anew. At that point, a new candidate could demonstrate plurality support from five states and qualify.
Gingrich, or anyone else who can demonstrate support from five states on a later voting round Ron Paul? Chris Christie? Sarah Palin? Mike Bloomberg? Dennis Kucinich? will be eligible to win the nomination.
It also bears mentioning that Gingrich wouldnt have to win five primaries or caucuses to demonstrate support from five states. No delegates from Iowa, Minnesota, Wyoming, Maine, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Montana are bound to their state results, meaning they can support whomever they choose.
So if Gingrich intends to keep running until the convention, even if he never wins another state, hell continue to be a technically viable candidate under party rules.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
Anybody but RINOmney.
Oh please, oh please.
Ah ha!! That all-important first ballot! Getting past it is the key.
Michele Malkin was on Fox & Friends this morning and Fox asked her if everyone should drop out now and support Romney. She said no. A convention is coming up soon. (@ 5:09 on the video below.)
Algae for Oil? — Michelle Malkin — Fox & Friends — 3-22-12
Of course, Newt would have to overcome the RNC's efforts, and they've already made their choice known.
Very interesting! Thanks for posting this.
The worst that could happen is the GOPe shoves another RINO down our throats like they always do.
If Newt and Paul are ineligible on the first ballot, “their” delegates all become free agents (technically, “unbound” delegates, akin to “super-delegates) on the first ballot. If Romney is close to, but not over the mark, they would be available, along with other “unbound” delegates, to get to the mark. Newt or Paul could act as kingmaker, working with enough of “their” delegates to put Romney over the mark.
Once over the mark, Romney is declared the “presumptive nominee” and everything starts being run by the party based on this presumption. This means speaking slots at the convention, the party platform, and as of yet uncommitted superdelegates. Even already committed superdelegates will be under pressure to switch to the presumptive nominee.
I don’t think Newt will be a problem; but, you can never really know about these things. Paul, on the other hand, might be looking for a legacy.
I believe Newt would support Santorum before he ever would Romney.
Gingrich is not going to be the nominee. The convention is not going to nominate someone who came in third place. It will either be Romney, or if Romney can’t get a majority, it will be someone who hasn’t run.
I believe Reagan conservative Newt Gingrich would nominate Reagan conservative Sarah Palin before he ever would support liberal Romney or big government Republican Santorum.
If I recall, Bedford Falls/Pottersville is in Massachusetts.
HA! I thought the same thing.
You know what? Lots of people are kind of glad that this is still up in the air. I hear from a lot of people; “Finally, my vote will matter”.
Usually it’s all a done deal pretty early on, so voters in places like NY have no impact on the primaries really.
What it sez to me, is that those same people aren’t OK with the idea of having Romney foisted off on them.
Just hang in there Newt.
Yes. Sarah said she will be at the convention. The establishment is spitting nails right now.
Thank you, Josh, for posting this.
There remains ONLY ONE candidate whom Democrats/Marxists and RINO’s fear.
It isn’t Rick Santorum, nor Myth Romney, who both ingratiate themselves with the establishment and then ease the Left with their legislation. “It’s the record, stupid.”
Your are exactly right.
This is pure fantasy, he won’t be the nominee, and he should not be the nominee.
I voted for him in Florida, however it is apparent that Newt does not connect with the GOP base, and I know he doesn’t connect with the rest of the population, and forcing him to be the nominee via whatever method would be suicide.
He isn’t the guy, it’s time to get over it.
The fact of the matter is that the RINO party is going to nominate a RINO, shocking though it may be, and if it can’t get Etch-A-Sketch nominated, then it will nominate another un-named Etch-A-Sketch.
People need to start dealing with reality, or we are going to lose this election to Obama the Communist.
“it will be someone who hasnt run”
And if it is a real Conservative then we still win.
Some of us are wanting a brokered convention we have to serve notice on the GOP-e that we want go quietly into the night. And right now Newt is our mouthpiece.
If only two candidates can be nominated on the first ballot, the first ballot will be the only ballot unless Paul and Ginchrich delegates (assuming they’re the odd men out) voluntarily abstain.
This paper examines the growth of government during this century as a result of giving women the right to vote. Using cross-sectional time-series data for 1870 to 1940, we examine state government expenditures and revenue as well as voting by U.S. House and Senate state delegations and the passage of a wide range of different state laws. Suffrage coincided with immediate increases in state government expenditures and revenue and more liberal voting patterns for federal representatives, and these effects continued growing over time as more women took advantage of the franchise. Contrary to many recent suggestions, the gender gap is not something that has arisen since the 1970s, and it helps explain why American government started growing when it did.
I've been developing a suspicion/fantasy that the plan is to keep WrongMee from getting over the top during the primaries, so there is some degree or other of brokered convention. Then Newt proposes a Palin/Gingrich or Gingrich/Palin ticket, and asks uncommitted and newly unbound (assuming they make it past round 1) delegates to vote for that ticket. A number of things have made me suspicious about this.
"I'm not so sure you wouldn't get a series of brand new players" stepping forward during a brokered convention, he told Morning Edition co-host Steve Inskeep.
Great so going into the General, Newt will have Georgia at 15 electorals and SC which has 8. He will be starting off with 23 electoral college. We need to do better than that if we are going to beat Obama.