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GOP Rule Won’t Block Gingrich’s Chances
ABC News/The Note ^ | Chris Good

Posted on 03/22/2012 11:07:20 AM PDT by Josh Painter

If Newt Gingrich fails to win five states, he might not be eligible in the first round of voting at the Republican National Convention.

That doesn’t mean he can’t be the nominee, and it may not even complicate his chances any further than they already have been...

[...]

If no candidate wins on the first round of voting, primary and caucus results will matter progressively less. Some states’ delegates are bound by primary results only through the first round of convention voting. Others’ are bound through the second and third.

If Gingrich enters the convention ineligible, he can still win on later rounds of voting.

An RNC official acknowledged that on later rounds of voting, it would be possible for a motion to be made to nominate a candidate who did not qualify on previous rounds. Essentially, the nomination-for-the-nomination process begins anew. At that point, a new candidate could demonstrate plurality support from five states and qualify.

Gingrich, or anyone else who can demonstrate support from five states on a later voting round — Ron Paul? Chris Christie? Sarah Palin? Mike Bloomberg? Dennis Kucinich? — will be eligible to win the nomination.

It also bears mentioning that Gingrich wouldn’t have to win five primaries or caucuses to demonstrate support from five states. No delegates from Iowa, Minnesota, Wyoming, Maine, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Montana are bound to their state results, meaning they can support whomever they choose.

So if Gingrich intends to keep running until the convention, even if he never wins another state, he’ll continue to be a technically viable candidate under party rules.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: brokeredconvention; conventiondelegates; gingrich; gop; newt4teaparty; newtgingrich; only1forsmallgovt; rncconvention; rules; teaparty4newt

1 posted on 03/22/2012 11:07:32 AM PDT by Josh Painter
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To: Josh Painter

ABR.

Anybody but RINOmney.

Oh please, oh please.


2 posted on 03/22/2012 11:09:27 AM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: Josh Painter

Ah ha!! That all-important first ballot! Getting past it is the key.


3 posted on 03/22/2012 11:10:36 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: Da Coyote

Nobamney


4 posted on 03/22/2012 11:12:59 AM PDT by Cold Heart
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To: Da Coyote

Michele Malkin was on Fox & Friends this morning and Fox asked her if everyone should drop out now and support Romney. She said no. A convention is coming up soon. (@ 5:09 on the video below.)

Algae for Oil? — Michelle Malkin — Fox & Friends — 3-22-12

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SDGggomEa8Y


5 posted on 03/22/2012 11:13:29 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("We Need To Teach The Establishment a Lesson" - Newt Gingrich)
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To: Josh Painter
An RNC official acknowledged that on later rounds of voting, it would be possible for a motion to be made to nominate a candidate who did not qualify on previous rounds.

Of course, Newt would have to overcome the RNC's efforts, and they've already made their choice known.

Henry Potter, the face of the RNC


6 posted on 03/22/2012 11:14:47 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Mitt Romney is SEVERELY conservative - and I'm SEVERELY against giving him my vote!)
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To: Josh Painter

Very interesting! Thanks for posting this.


7 posted on 03/22/2012 11:15:31 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("We Need To Teach The Establishment a Lesson" - Newt Gingrich)
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To: Josh Painter

bflr


8 posted on 03/22/2012 11:20:01 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Josh Painter
The goal now is a brokered convention, and Newt staying in increases the odds.

The worst that could happen is the GOPe shoves another RINO down our throats like they always do.

9 posted on 03/22/2012 11:28:15 AM PDT by Joe the Pimpernel (Islam is a religion of peace, and Moslems reserve the right to slaughter anyone who says otherwise.)
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To: Josh Painter

If Newt and Paul are ineligible on the first ballot, “their” delegates all become free agents (technically, “unbound” delegates, akin to “super-delegates) on the first ballot. If Romney is close to, but not over the mark, they would be available, along with other “unbound” delegates, to get to the mark. Newt or Paul could act as kingmaker, working with enough of “their” delegates to put Romney over the mark.

Once over the mark, Romney is declared the “presumptive nominee” and everything starts being run by the party based on this presumption. This means speaking slots at the convention, the party platform, and as of yet uncommitted superdelegates. Even already committed superdelegates will be under pressure to switch to the presumptive nominee.

I don’t think Newt will be a problem; but, you can never really know about these things. Paul, on the other hand, might be looking for a legacy.


10 posted on 03/22/2012 11:29:22 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

I believe Newt would support Santorum before he ever would Romney.


11 posted on 03/22/2012 11:32:26 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("We Need To Teach The Establishment a Lesson" - Newt Gingrich)
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To: Da Coyote
Photobucket
Obama (D)

Photobucket
Obama (R)

12 posted on 03/22/2012 11:32:34 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Josh Painter

Pure fantasy.

Gingrich is not going to be the nominee. The convention is not going to nominate someone who came in third place. It will either be Romney, or if Romney can’t get a majority, it will be someone who hasn’t run.


13 posted on 03/22/2012 11:36:22 AM PDT by Kevin C
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To: sheikdetailfeather

I believe Reagan conservative Newt Gingrich would nominate Reagan conservative Sarah Palin before he ever would support liberal Romney or big government Republican Santorum.


14 posted on 03/22/2012 11:41:42 AM PDT by Josh Painter ("We intend to change Washington, not accomodate it." - Newt Gingrich)
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To: COBOL2Java

If I recall, Bedford Falls/Pottersville is in Massachusetts.


15 posted on 03/22/2012 11:44:45 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (May Mitt Romney be the Paul Tsongas of 2012.)
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To: EGPWS

HA! I thought the same thing.

You know what? Lots of people are kind of glad that this is still up in the air. I hear from a lot of people; “Finally, my vote will matter”.

Usually it’s all a done deal pretty early on, so voters in places like NY have no impact on the primaries really.

What it sez to me, is that those same people aren’t OK with the idea of having Romney foisted off on them.


16 posted on 03/22/2012 11:47:50 AM PDT by Ladysforest
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To: Josh Painter

Just hang in there Newt.


17 posted on 03/22/2012 11:50:04 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Josh Painter

Yes. Sarah said she will be at the convention. The establishment is spitting nails right now.


18 posted on 03/22/2012 11:55:24 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("We Need To Teach The Establishment a Lesson" - Newt Gingrich)
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To: Josh Painter

Thank you, Josh, for posting this.

There remains ONLY ONE candidate whom Democrats/Marxists and RINO’s fear.

It isn’t Rick Santorum, nor Myth Romney, who both ingratiate themselves with the establishment and then ease the Left with their legislation. “It’s the record, stupid.”

Yawn.


19 posted on 03/22/2012 11:55:50 AM PDT by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. Newt knows where all the bodies are buried, because he buried them.)
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To: Kevin C

Your are exactly right.

This is pure fantasy, he won’t be the nominee, and he should not be the nominee.

I voted for him in Florida, however it is apparent that Newt does not connect with the GOP base, and I know he doesn’t connect with the rest of the population, and forcing him to be the nominee via whatever method would be suicide.

He isn’t the guy, it’s time to get over it.

The fact of the matter is that the RINO party is going to nominate a RINO, shocking though it may be, and if it can’t get Etch-A-Sketch nominated, then it will nominate another un-named Etch-A-Sketch.

People need to start dealing with reality, or we are going to lose this election to Obama the Communist.


20 posted on 03/22/2012 11:57:50 AM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Kevin C

“it will be someone who hasn’t run”

And if it is a real Conservative then we still win.

Some of us are wanting a brokered convention we have to serve notice on the GOP-e that we want go quietly into the night. And right now Newt is our mouthpiece.

Go Newt


21 posted on 03/22/2012 12:31:37 PM PDT by Bailee
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To: Josh Painter

If only two candidates can be nominated on the first ballot, the first ballot will be the only ballot unless Paul and Ginchrich delegates (assuming they’re the odd men out) voluntarily abstain.


22 posted on 03/22/2012 12:51:31 PM PDT by only1percent
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To: Josh Painter
Gingrich or consequences? It appears that the consequences are being chosen so far. Have fun. Enjoy the reckoning.

How Dramatically Did Women's Suffrage Change the Size and Scope of Government?

JOHN R. LOTT Jr.
American Enterprise Institute (AEI) (download links for whole document at bottom of page)

September 1998

University of Chicago Law School, John M. Olin Law & Economics Working Paper No. 60
Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 107, Number 6, Part 1, pp. 1163-1198, December 1999

Abstract:
This paper examines the growth of government during this century as a result of giving women the right to vote. Using cross-sectional time-series data for 1870 to 1940, we examine state government expenditures and revenue as well as voting by U.S. House and Senate state delegations and the passage of a wide range of different state laws. Suffrage coincided with immediate increases in state government expenditures and revenue and more liberal voting patterns for federal representatives, and these effects continued growing over time as more women took advantage of the franchise. Contrary to many recent suggestions, the gender gap is not something that has arisen since the 1970s, and it helps explain why American government started growing when it did.


23 posted on 03/22/2012 12:53:14 PM PDT by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the planet.)
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To: Josh Painter
I believe Reagan conservative Newt Gingrich would nominate Reagan conservative Sarah Palin before he ever would support liberal Romney or big government Republican Santorum.

I've been developing a suspicion/fantasy that the plan is to keep WrongMee from getting over the top during the primaries, so there is some degree or other of brokered convention. Then Newt proposes a Palin/Gingrich or Gingrich/Palin ticket, and asks uncommitted and newly unbound (assuming they make it past round 1) delegates to vote for that ticket. A number of things have made me suspicious about this.


24 posted on 03/22/2012 5:09:31 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: Josh Painter
Oh, and to my list of reasons to suspect that scenario, add this Gingrich quote from this morning:

"I'm not so sure you wouldn't get a series of brand new players" stepping forward during a brokered convention, he told Morning Edition co-host Steve Inskeep.

25 posted on 03/22/2012 5:27:15 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: Josh Painter

Great so going into the General, Newt will have Georgia at 15 electorals and SC which has 8. He will be starting off with 23 electoral college. We need to do better than that if we are going to beat Obama.


26 posted on 03/24/2012 7:21:25 AM PDT by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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