95% of voters are not paying much attention to election right now. They have short attention spans and short memories and no interest in politics.
Only things which will matter are the convention speeches, and TV ad’s 10 days before November 6th.
You are probably right, but that’s sad, also.
It’s hard to imagine that in America the vote for POTUS hinges on the best advertisements or even the debates or speeches.
I still feel that there is around 40% on both sides - solid blocks of votes with 20% up for grabs that are influenced by advertisements, etc. Of course, it’s win or lose with that 20%.