Skip to comments.TEA Party Failures In Florida This Week Are A Warning
Posted on 08/16/2012 4:55:53 AM PDT by rightjb
I’m concerned about the unrestrained euphoria of conservatives who believe that the Tea Party is unstoppable and that the election will be a rout in November. As a Cub fan I haven’t dealt with it often, but I’ve heard that over confidence can lead to disaster. (Somehow the Cubs are able to invite disaster without it.)
The TEA Party candidates lost Tuesday in Florida and Wisconsin. Even after flirting with attractions to elements of ObamaCare, former Governor Tommy Thompson won in Wisconsin. The Queen of TEA herself endorsed Rep. Sandy Adams but even that couldn’t create a repeat of the Texas grassroots tsunami experienced by the Palin/Cruz combo. What happened?
If this brings new calls that the TEA Party is dead, that is just as ignorant as thinking that it can’t be stopped.
I’ve been trashed for trying to bring a little perspective to the real TEA Party power, and no doubt the Pollyannas will think I’m trying to water it down. Nothing is further from the truth. What I’ve learned in 30 years of business is that while faith may move mountains, NOT accurately understanding your predicament can bring a mountain crashing down upon you. Even in Texas where the Cruz win is cited as a TEA Party victory, only 1/3rd of GOP voters would self-identify themselves as with the movement. This fits with national statistics that only about 27% of Americans drink the TEA. The more sobering stat is that 24% support Occupy Wall Street. But you won’t hear that in conservative media. TEA Candidates have not been dominating as some might think. Statistics show...
CONTINUED AT: WARNING Conservatives: Tepid TEA Party Not Boiling In Florida
(Excerpt) Read more at rantpolitical.com ...
Blog pimp troll warning!
I guess that’s why Ted Yoho beat the smack out of long-timer Cliff Stearns.
Give me a break.
Peddle it somewhere else.
No one said anything about the Tea Party winning every race.
But they are winning ENOUGH to make a real clear statement.
If anyone needs to be concerned it is OWS. As far as we can tell, their candidates haven’t managed to turn off the Farmville and put on pants yet.
Nevertheless, there are so many more successes than failures as to leave me not at all worried.
Haven’t you heard?
The GOP is a fragile sailboat that will be destroyed if we don’t tack with the wind.
Every race is different. And things happen that are unexpeced in every race. One tea party candidite lost against a committee chairman, but then another won against a committee chairman.
The point is to get as many tea party people elected of course, but these politicians who have successfully defeated tea party candidates will have to be looking over their shoulder when they cast their votes. They are feeling the pressure of the people. And that’s a good thing.
Ultimately, it’s the candidate who must attract voters. We can help, but it would be foolish to think we’ll win everything.
A more accurate name for this blog would be:
Free Tripe dot com
How dare you confuse the issue with facts??? :)
Even the vaunted Murderers Row Yankees of 1927 and The Big Red machine of 1976 did not win every single game. It’s all about winning percentage and the Tea Party is looking mighty strong this season.
I live in Sandy Adams new district and voted for her. Unfortunately, Mica is supported by the establishment big time and had a TON of money behind him. He started advertising here early and was relentless. He also went on Greta several times, among other programs I’m sure, touting his conservative bona fides. He talked about waste and spending as if he had nothing to do with it but, by God, he’d fixed if (re) elected.
Mica’s a loser but he knew he was up against it with Sandy if he didn’t destroy her. Palin jumped in late; too late for Sandy’s benefit.
I live in the 7th district in Florida - a district that, in spite of an overwhelming Republican majority in our legislature, was created in the recent post-census redistricting. District pitted our longtime congresscritter, John Mica, with Tea Party-supported Sandy Adams who had finished her 1st term as congresscritter from a then-district involving primarily Brevard County/Space Coast. Adams had not had any involvement in our area, while Mica has been in Congress since 1993. Mica was a bit of a conundrum, in that while he was a big-govt spender (esp with transportation issues), he had an otherwise good conservative voting record. Thus, he was able to get significant support from both establishment and even some well-known conservative figures. There was not a significant local push (that I could see) to get Mica out of congress.
Furthermore, Adams ran a horrible campaign. She was barely visible, with the exception of 1 very good ad that ran a fair amount; I didn’t see any email and only a little social media presence. And, in spite of Sarah Palin’s (whom I adore) support, this was limited to robocalls (no ads, in-person campaigning, etc). Contrast with Mica who ran a very aggressive campaign with not only extensive TV ads, but direct mailing and a very sophisticated email and social media campaign. It was obvious that Mica was much better funded, organized and strategized. No one in his previous district was surprised Mica won going away.
I wanted to describe this race in detail in order to argue against extrapolating its result to a “demise of the Tea Party” meme. This was a rather unusual race, pitting 2 sitting congress critters in a newly cobbled district with 1 of the critters having a decades’ long presence there and the other essentially no presence. We don’t love Mica, but - outside of his penchant for mega-transporation boondoggles - he does seem to be pretty reliable votes for conservative budgets, repeal O’care, right to life, etc.
Looking at the US Senate primary, again no one was surprised that Connie Mack did well. He has extraordinary name recognition (past US Congress, legacy political family in Fla) and truly very little was known about his poorly funded opponents.
Florida is a truly battleground state with, even on the Repub side, a mixture of extremely red areas and some purplish ones. It has a history of “moderate” GOP statewide election winners (Jeb Bush, Mel Martinez) but occasionally will propel true conservatives (eg Rick Scott) into statewide office. Given Florida, I would contend that the Tea Party in Florida DID do well on Tuesday. Alan West won overwhelming in a liberal S. Florida district. And, in the 3rd district (N. Florida), longtime congresscritter Cliff Stearns was upset by little known and TEA PARTY FAVORITE veterninarian Ted Yoho (no prior political experience). So, like we saw in 2010, the TP has significant grassroots power nationwide and in Fla. Does that translate to winning every election? Certainly not, as some are obviously much “fairer” contests (pitting GOPe vs TP philosophy) than others. Additionally, we have to keep in mind that the TP is only 2-3 years old, yet its influence has grown such that the GOP-e-ers know that it’s a force to be reckoned with (even when they get into Washington). And, it’s doubtless that the makeup of the 2013-14 Congress will have more TP influence than the present 2011-12 one. Despair not!!
Thompson won in WI because there were three other TEA party conservatives running and they split the vote.
Thompson only got 34% of the vote and he had name recognition, and ran on the message that he could defeat the lesbian demonRAT lefty bitch in November.
In Florida, Stearns, 12 term pubbie incumbant, was booted by the TEA party, so I'm not sure what the blogging promoter is referring to.
Yoho made it a trifecta for the Tea Party. Mourdock took out a long standing Senator (and a favorite of the Beltway crowd) in Indiana, while Cruz defeated the Lt. Gov. of Texas, arguably the most powerful politician in Texas.
Just read my tagline: "100's of aftershocks to come."
Well....you said it WAY better than I did :)
What part of this district do you live in? I’m in WP.
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