The key to winning, as always, is to get your party base to TURN OUT TO VOTE for you. If you can do that you will almost always beat the other guy.
If you can't, you lose.
So, is there some reason Republicans should vote for a Democrat that we don't know about? Must be a secret here.
In that case the base did turn out, but a whole bunch of people crossed over and voted against Carter who was messing up so bad that the impact was felt by all Americans...and most of them responded accordingly. Those folks who were democrats became known as the "Reagan Democrats".
As bad as Obama's record is. As many peope, even people who voted for him initially, as have been hurt by his policies and his refusal to not only back off away from them, but to double down on them after the 2010 elections...given that hurt that is being felt across the nation, I believe we have the chance to see the same thing happen in 2012.
Three months will tell us.
Read “The Forgotten Man”. Amity Shlaes talked about the 1940 election. Willkie was running the 1936 race again yet FDR had already moved away from the New Deal and started to talk about the coming World War. In fact, the Schechter brothers came out in support of FDR.